Bailey Falter

Bailey Falter

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Falter got his most extended opportunity as a starter in 2024 by taking 28 turns through the rotation as a member of the Pirates. His 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP were both unremarkable, and those results were backed by similarly uninspiring skills. His strikeout rate dipped to 16.5 percent, and his career 9.2 percent swinging strike rate doesn't suggest there's much additional upside. The positive from his profile was his ability to blend a relatively high 42.1 percent flyball rate with a more muted 1.1 HR/9. That could offer a streaming opportunity in favorable pitcher's parks or power-deficient lineups, so long as Falter can stick in the rotation. The latter point is hardly a given with Johan Oviedo (elbow) likely to be back in the mix, as well as promising prospects such as Thomas Harrington, Braxton Ashcraft (forearm) and Bubba Chandler all likely to reach the majors at some point in 2025. All told, Falter should be on the radar for NL-only leagues, but his appeal in mixed formats should be a streamer at most. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#382
ADP
Signed a one-year, $2.22 million contract with the Pirates in January of 2025.
Mixed results in fourth loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 4, 2025
Falter (6-4) took the loss Friday against the Mariners, giving up four runs (three earned) on three hits and no walks in 5.2 innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
After working just 1.2 innings in a rain-shortened appearance in his last start, Falter managed his longest outing Friday since his May 31 start. The four strikeouts matched the southpaw's most in his last eight appearances, and he avoided issuing a free pass for the first time since May 20. Falter will take a 3.69 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 56:32 K:BB across 92.2 frames on the road his next time out against the Royals, who are batting just .228 versus left-handed pitching since and including June 10.
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Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
77
Last 10 Games
73
Last 5 Games
69
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .297 283 42 13 79 15 1 11
Since 2023vs Right .249 1027 171 84 230 52 2 35
2025vs Left .272 88 11 4 22 1 1 2
2025vs Right .217 286 45 28 55 15 0 10
2024vs Left .277 126 19 6 33 9 0 3
2024vs Right .255 463 78 39 105 25 1 14
2023vs Left .364 69 12 3 24 5 0 6
2023vs Right .269 278 48 17 70 12 1 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-24%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 3.95 1.19 166.1 12 8 0 6.3 2.5 1.1
Since 2023Away 5.00 1.39 149.1 4 14 0 5.8 3.0 1.5
2025Home 3.25 1.12 52.2 5 1 0 5.0 3.1 0.7
2025Away 4.28 1.25 40.0 1 3 0 6.1 3.2 1.8
2024Home 3.98 1.25 74.2 5 4 0 6.5 2.7 1.2
2024Away 4.92 1.33 67.2 3 5 0 5.7 3.1 0.9
2023Home 4.85 1.18 39.0 2 3 0 7.8 1.6 1.6
2023Away 5.83 1.63 41.2 0 6 0 5.6 2.8 2.2
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Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.75
 
K/9
5.4
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
92.1 mph
 
ERA
3.69
 
WHIP
1.18
 
BABIP
.240
 
GB/FB
0.96
 
Left On Base
70.5%
 
Exit Velocity
84.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.0%
 
Spin Rate
1993 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.1%
 
Swinging Strike
7.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bailey Falter See More
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bailey Falter See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal.
Falter spent last season as the Phillies' sixth starter and was needed in the rotation for roughly half the year, making 16 starts and four relief appearances. The results were perfectly respectable for the second-year lefty, as he finished the year with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 84 innings of work. He didn't provide much in the strikeout category, but his 21.2 K% was close enough to league average and paired well with his 4.9 BB%. Throwing that many strikes is a good thing, but allowing plenty of contact can be an issue at cozy Citizens Bank Park. His 1.7 HR/9 overall was poor, and that number spiked to 2.1 at home, leading to a 5.49 ERA. Falter's 31.7% groundball rate was sixth-lowest among pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, so don't expect those homer problems to disappear any time soon. Still, if he's able to win a rotation spot, his control is good enough to make him usable in the right spots, especially on the road.
More Fantasy News
Start cut short due to rain delay
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 28, 2025
Falter did not factor into Saturday's decision against the Mets, allowing one run on four hits and one walk while striking out one batter over 1.2 innings.
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Earns win despite five walks
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 22, 2025
Falter (6-3) earned the win against the Rangers on Sunday, allowing three runs on six hits and five walks with one strikeout over 5.1 innings.
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Hit hard in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 18, 2025
Falter didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 7-3 loss to the Tigers, giving up three runs on five hits and a walk over five innings. He struck out four.
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Sharp in Wednesday's win
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 11, 2025
Falter (5-3) picked up the win Wednesday, allowing one run on five hits and a walk over 5.1 innings during a 5-2 victory over the Marlins. He struck out three.
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Quick hook in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 7, 2025
Falter didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 5-4 win over the Phillies, coughing up four runs on five hits and two walks over 3.2 innings. He struck out two.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Makes Pirates history
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 3, 2025
Falter's 0.76 ERA across six starts in June is the lowest mark by a Pirates pitcher that made at least six starts in a month since 1920.
Analysis
The left-hander's fantasy upside continues to be limited due to his low strikeout numbers, but he was dominant in May with just three earned runs allowed and a 19:13 K:BB across 35.2 innings. Falter was a decent rotation piece for Pittsburgh last year with a 4.43 ERA in 28 starts, but he's looking like a borderline All-Star early in 2025 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 66 innings.
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