Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Seattle Mariners
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Miller had a breakout sophomore campaign with outcomes that would have been even better if Seattle had a better offense to support him. Somewhere, Felix Hernandez nods in approval and is offering Miller a supporting hug. Miller made 18 quality starts, winning 12 of them, while using a septet of pitches highlighted by the debut of a fantastic splitter. Miller watched other teammates use the pitch effectively in 2023 and honed it himself over the winter. The addition of the splitter paired extremely well with his fastball, as both pitches had opponents' batting averages below .200 and whiff rates above 25 percent. The league hit nearly 75 points worse off the fastball now that it had a more effective partner in crime than the traditional changeup from 2023. The pitch change particularly helped Miller against lefties who hit nearly 100 points lower than they did in 2023 and helped him become more split neutral in 2024 compared to his imbalanced 2023 season. Miller has everything needed to take his career and production to another level, if the Seattle offense comes along for the ride in 2025. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#88
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2025.
Gives up four runs in loss
PSeattle Mariners
April 22, 2025
Miler (1-3) took the loss against Boston on Tuesday. He allowed four runs on five hits and four walks while striking out four across 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
Miller particularly had trouble facing off against Alex Bregman, with the third baseman responsible for driving in three of the four runs Miller gave up in Tuesday's contest. Miller wasn't able to make it out of the fifth inning despite tossing 100 pitches (59 strikes) and has yet to complete six frames through five starts. He's up to a 4.21 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over 25.2 innings this year and in line to make his next start against the Marlins at home this weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-30%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-34%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .243 683 145 59 149 41 2 27
Since 2023vs Right .203 667 170 26 129 27 0 13
2025vs Left .194 48 13 11 7 2 1 0
2025vs Right .276 61 12 3 16 5 0 1
2024vs Left .207 380 85 32 72 16 1 15
2024vs Right .192 324 86 13 59 9 0 6
2023vs Left .303 255 47 16 70 23 0 12
2023vs Right .200 282 72 10 54 13 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-52%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 2.73 0.98 181.0 11 7 0 9.2 2.2 0.8
Since 2023Away 4.55 1.19 156.1 10 11 0 7.4 2.4 1.3
2025Home 3.38 1.22 10.2 0 1 0 7.6 4.2 0.8
2025Away 4.80 1.60 15.0 1 2 0 9.6 5.4 0.0
2024Home 1.96 0.87 96.1 6 3 0 10.4 2.1 0.6
2024Away 4.07 1.10 84.0 6 5 0 6.4 2.4 1.6
2023Home 3.65 1.08 74.0 5 3 0 8.0 1.9 1.2
2023Away 5.18 1.22 57.1 3 4 0 8.3 1.6 1.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.79
 
K/9
8.8
 
BB/9
4.9
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
94.5 mph
 
ERA
4.21
 
WHIP
1.44
 
BABIP
.317
 
GB/FB
0.84
 
Left On Base
70.2%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.5%
 
Spin Rate
2277 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.3%
 
Swinging Strike
10.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Miller See More
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Lonely at the Top
5 days ago
Todd Zola is back with his weekly pitcher rankings. And while there aren't many decent starters on multiple appearances, a couple stand out from the rest.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Third Time Through
12 days ago
With a number of starters already logging three turns through the rotation, Todd Zola is here to give his thoughts in addition to the latest pitcher placements.
MLB DFS: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Friday, April 11
13 days ago
Friday's DraftKings MLB DFS picks include Seattle pitcher Bryce Miller, who's off to a slow start but could right the ship against the Rangers.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Lefties Rule the Roost
19 days ago
Garrett Crochet leads a group of three lefties atop this week's pitcher rankings.
MLB DFS: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for Saturday, April 5
19 days ago
Saturday’s key FanDuel picks include a healthy Jacob deGrom, who looked great for five innings in his first start of 2025.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Miller is a fascinating pitcher to study because we expect to see rookie pitchers struggle in some areas, but in this case, there is not any one thing that sticks out as the source of his 4.32 ERA. Miller was stingy with walks, was tough to hit, and stranded runners at a league-average rate. His extreme flyball outcomes left him more susceptible to homers than other starters, but even his 1.2 HR/9 ratio was not terribly out of whack for someone with his volume of flyball outcomes. Simply put, this was a solid foundational beginning to what could be a bright pitching future if he can fine-tune some things. His whiffiest pitch is his fastball, which speaks to a need for him to find a secondary offering that can get swings and misses when needed. A six-pitch repertoire may be better suited if tuned down to four pitches. Seattle has steadily increased his workload, so 170+ innings is there for the taking if he is ready for it.
When factoring in movement and shape, Miller's mid-90s fastball is a 70-grade pitch. He also has a plus mid-to-high-80s slider. Those two offerings allowed him to climb three levels of the minors in 2022, with over half his innings coming at High-A and a 10-start run to close the year at Double-A. He had three double-digit strikeout games over his final 13 starts, compiling a 3.46 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 81:22 K:BB in 67.2 innings over that run to close the year. The 24-year-old righty might have a good enough one-two punch in his fastball and slider to have success as a starter who relies heavily on two pitches, but improving his changeup would really help matters. The Mariners don't love sending prized pitchers to the Pacific Coast League, so it's possible Miller will return to Double-A to start the year and he may even bypass Triple-A altogether down the road. He could help the club this summer as a reliever if they wanted to ease him into big-league action while continuing to view him as a long-term starter.
More Fantasy News
Fans eight for first win of 2025
PSeattle Mariners
April 16, 2025
Miller (1-2) earned the win against the Reds on Wednesday, allowing three hits and two walks while striking out eight across five scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans five in five strong innings
PSeattle Mariners
April 12, 2025
Miller didn't factor into the decision Friday against the Rangers after allowing one run on two hits and three walks in five innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to 0-2
PSeattle Mariners
April 5, 2025
Miller (0-2) took the loss against San Francisco on Saturday, pitching 5.1 innings and allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out four batters.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss in first start
PSeattle Mariners
March 29, 2025
Miller (0-1) took the loss against the Athletics on Saturday, allowing three runs on six hits and two walks while striking out four batters over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Making spring debut
PSeattle Mariners
February 27, 2025
Miller (finger) will start Thursday's Cactus League game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Finding success with new splitter
PSeattle Mariners
April 22, 2024
Miller has induced a swing-and-miss on 33 percent of the swings on his new splitter through four starts, per Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times.
ANALYSIS
Miller has pitched well early in 2024 with a 1.85 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 24:7 K:BB across 24.1 innings, and the splitter has clearly played a role in that success. The right-hander is also using the new pitch at a decent clip of 19.4 percent, trailing only his four-seam fastball and sinker. It's still a small sample size, but Miller is building on his strong 2023 rookie campaign.
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