15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 9/12/2025
2025 Stats
W-L
0-3
ERA
5.24
WHIP
1.34
K
57
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Burns was touching triple digits as an amateur but made it to campus at Tennessee and eventually transferred to Wake Forest for his junior season before the Reds selected him second overall in 2024. He logged a 7.7 percent walk rate as a junior, which is a mark in line with a typical premium college starting pitching prospect, and his elite 48.8 percent strikeout rate just barely edged out Hagen Smith, whom the White Sox selected fifth overall. Burns hasn't had any notable arm injuries or surgeries, which is a bit surprising given how long he's been throwing this hard. In addition to his fairly straight upper-90s fastball (touches 102 mph), Burns has a monster upper-80s slider that is one of the best pitches in the class. His curveball is also a plus pitch, and his seldom-used changeup will flash plus. There's a chance big-league hitters are able to tag his fastball more often than its velocity would portend, but there are no obvious concerns here beyond the fact that pitchers who throw this hard often need Tommy John surgery early in their careers. He didn't pitch in official games after signing and should spend the bulk of 2025 in the upper levels of the minors. Read Past Outlooks

Slated to return Friday
The Reds intend to activate Burns (elbow) from the 15-day injured list Friday, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
Analysis
Burns was cleared to resume throwing in mid-August and progressed to facing live hitters in early September. He's in the final stages of his recovery from a Grade 1 right elbow strain, and the 22-year-old looks poised to skip a rehab assignment and return to the majors as long as he gets through Tuesday's bullpen session without suffering a setback, per Wittenmyer. Burns started in all eight of his appearances with the Reds prior to his injury and posted a 5.24 ERA and 1.34 WHIP across 34.1 innings, but manager Terry Francona has hinted at Burns working out of the bullpen for the tail end of the season.
Burns was cleared to resume throwing in mid-August and progressed to facing live hitters in early September. He's in the final stages of his recovery from a Grade 1 right elbow strain, and the 22-year-old looks poised to skip a rehab assignment and return to the majors as long as he gets through Tuesday's bullpen session without suffering a setback, per Wittenmyer. Burns started in all eight of his appearances with the Reds prior to his injury and posted a 5.24 ERA and 1.34 WHIP across 34.1 innings, but manager Terry Francona has hinted at Burns working out of the bullpen for the tail end of the season.
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2025 MLB Game Log
2025
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
76
Last 10 Games
76
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Chase Burns generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Chase Burns generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-4%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .236 | 32 | 9 | 17 | 3 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .246 | 25 | 4 | 16 | 1 | |||
2025vs Left | .236 | 32 | 9 | 17 | 3 | |||
2025vs Right | .246 | 25 | 4 | 16 | 1 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-37%
ERA at Home
2025
-37%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 4.08 | 1.13 | 17.2 | 15.3 | 2.0 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 6.48 | 1.56 | 16.2 | 14.6 | 4.9 | ||||
2025Home | 4.08 | 1.13 | 17.2 | 15.3 | 2.0 | ||||
2025Away | 6.48 | 1.56 | 16.2 | 14.6 | 4.9 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Chase Burns compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.38K/9
14.9BB/9
3.4HR/9
1.0Fastball
98.5 mphERA
5.24WHIP
1.34BABIP
.421GB/FB
1.00Left On Base
56.9%Exit Velocity
81.8 mphBarrels/BBE
3.7%Spin Rate
2619 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
18.3%Swinging Strike
15.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
More Fantasy News

Facing live hitters
Burnes (elbow) is scheduled to throw a live batting practice session Tuesday and will throw another later in the week, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Throws bullpen session Saturday
Burns (elbow) threw a bullpen session Saturday, MLB.com reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Bullpen scheduled Saturday
Burns (elbow) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Saturday, MLB.com reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Throwing bullpen session Tuesday
Reds manager Terry Francona said that Burns (elbow) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Set to resume throwing Monday
Reds manager Terry Francona said in an interview on MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM that Burns (elbow) will resume a throwing program Monday.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.