Gavin Williams

Gavin Williams

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Guardians
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Williams didn't make his season debut with the Guardians in July after working his way back from an elbow injury suffered during spring training. While the big right-hander never really got on a roll, he pitched better than his 4.86 ERA would suggest, as his 4.14 xERA, 4.19 SIERA and 3.67 FIP indicates. Williams' strikeout prowess in the minors (33.3 percent) has not yet carried over to the major-league level (23.6 percent), and his walk rate is hovering above 10 percent with the Guardians, as well. The 25-year-old seems to still be searching for the right pitch mix, as he introduced a cutter and used a curveball as his primary breaking ball in 2024 after a slider was his main breaking pitch in 2023. Williams' pedigree and the Guardians' pitching development track record points to the righty taking a step forward eventually, and perhaps as soon as 2025. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#211
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Guardians in March of 2024.
Tallies eight Ks in win
PCleveland Guardians
April 21, 2025
Williams (2-1) earned the win Monday against the Yankees, yielding two runs on seven hits and two walks over 6.1 innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old was masterful in this 104-pitch outing, generating an astounding 21 whiffs. Williams stymied the Yankees until the seventh inning, when New York finally scored via a two-run bomb off Jasson Dominguez's bat. Perhaps Williams feels most at home in Cleveland, where he's pitched to a 2.38 ERA over 11.1 innings this season while sporting a 5.52 ERA across 14.2 road innings. The right-hander is currently slated to make his next start against the Red Sox at home this weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Gavin Williams generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Gavin Williams generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-40%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .221 412 96 50 78 18 1 12
Since 2023vs Right .245 374 90 31 83 18 4 7
2025vs Left .180 55 12 5 9 1 0 2
2025vs Right .298 54 14 7 14 1 0 2
2024vs Left .219 174 44 17 33 8 1 3
2024vs Right .275 158 35 15 39 9 2 4
2023vs Left .237 183 40 28 36 9 0 7
2023vs Right .200 162 41 9 30 8 2 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-57%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-46%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.53 1.44 97.1 5 10 0 10.2 3.8 1.1
Since 2023Away 3.53 1.18 86.2 3 6 0 7.9 4.2 0.7
2025Home 2.38 1.24 11.1 2 0 0 11.9 3.2 0.8
2025Away 5.52 1.43 14.2 0 1 0 6.8 4.9 1.8
2024Home 6.55 1.70 33.0 0 7 0 11.5 3.8 1.4
2024Away 3.56 1.12 43.0 3 3 0 7.7 3.8 0.4
2023Home 3.74 1.32 53.0 3 3 0 9.0 3.9 1.0
2023Away 2.48 1.14 29.0 0 2 0 8.7 4.3 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Gavin Williams compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.17
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
4.2
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
96.9 mph
 
ERA
4.15
 
WHIP
1.35
 
BABIP
.286
 
GB/FB
1.21
 
Left On Base
71.4%
 
Exit Velocity
85.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.9%
 
Spin Rate
2341 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.7%
 
Swinging Strike
13.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Williams opened the season in Double-A Akron but pushed his way into Cleveland's rotation by mid-June and remained there for the rest of the season. The apex of his season was consecutive double-digit strikeout games against Toronto and Tampa Bay in early August while the only true disastrous outing was one against the Dodgers later that month. The complaint with the rookie would be walks as he had four walks in five of his 16 outings but Williams also benefited from stranding runners in those outings as none of the five were terrible outings. We could also nitpick at him only going six or more innings in 5 of his 16 outings which made it tougher for him to net wins and quality starts. Cleveland has an excellent track record of pitching development and they'll no doubt continue to mold Williams into the front half of the rotation pitcher they envision him to be. That project just may not be completed in 2024.
Chasing college pitchers with big stuff and a non-premium first-year player draft price tag is a strong strategy in dynasty leagues, and Williams has thus far rewarded those who targeted him last offseason. A sturdy 6-foot-6 righty from East Carolina whom Cleveland selected with the 23rd overall pick in 2021, Williams has a power arsenal featuring an upper-90s fastball and three offspeed offerings that have above-average to plus potential. Williams registered a 1.96 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 149:40 K:BB in 115 innings across 25 starts in High-A and Double-A. He has SP1 or SP2 potential if he stays healthy and throws enough strikes. Cleveland's rotation will be tough to crack in the near future, but Williams could be the first of the Guardians' next big wave (also featuring Daniel Espino and Tanner Bibee) to debut.
More Fantasy News
Falls to Orioles
PCleveland Guardians
April 16, 2025
Williams (1-1) took the loss Wednesday against the Orioles, allowing five runs on four hits and four walks over 6.2 innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Grabs first win
PCleveland Guardians
April 10, 2025
Williams (1-0 ) earned the win Thursday over the White Sox, allowing a run on three hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Labors through three frames
PCleveland Guardians
April 4, 2025
Williams didn't factor in the decision Friday against the Angels after giving up four runs (two earned) on five hits and three walks over three innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up no-decision vs. Royals
PCleveland Guardians
March 30, 2025
Williams didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 4-3 loss to the Royals. He went five innings, allowing two runs on four hits and a walk, striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Up to 80 pitches
PCleveland Guardians
March 20, 2025
Williams allowed three runs on three hits and two walks while striking out five over 4.1 innings in Wednesday's split-squad start against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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