Jake McCarthy

Jake McCarthy

28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Arizona Diamondbacks
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Players who hit the ball without much authority are subject to more variance than those generating elevated exit velocity. In 2023, McCarthy was sent to the minors twice, both after a horrid BABIP (.160 in April and .208 in August). Last year, he avoided a similar fate by maintaining monthly levels between .272 and .417. McCarthy also posted a career-best 15.8 percent strikeout rate, the third straight season with a decline. He stole 25 bases in 142 contests, but considering he swiped 49 in 198 games over the prior two seasons, 2024's total was disappointing. McCarthy's defense is palatable, but it's not going to keep him in the lineup. Despite the bounce-back season, he's the same player, sporting one of the lowest average exit velocities and hard-hit rates in the league, but he doesn't fan much and sports 98th percentile sprint speed. Cheap steals are his asset, but not as a primary source. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#222
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Diamondbacks in March of 2025.
Pilfers sixth base
OFArizona Diamondbacks
August 17, 2025
McCarthy went 3-for-5 with a steal and two runs scored in Sunday's 6-5 loss to the Rockies.
Analysis
The 28-year-old drew the start in left field and made the most of it, producing his first three-hit performance of the season. McCarthy picked up his sixth steal of the season and third of the month in this contest. The Arizona outfielder is mired in a part-time role but has played well since the All-Star break, batting .325 (13-for-40) with four runs scored and two RBI across 13 games.
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Batting Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
4
11
9
4
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+54%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .651 256 24 1 20 17 .249 .319 .332
Since 2023vs Right .704 694 90 11 63 40 .262 .328 .376
2025vs Left .407 27 1 0 1 0 .185 .185 .222
2025vs Right .628 116 10 2 10 6 .204 .278 .350
2024vs Left .698 147 15 0 15 7 .284 .340 .358
2024vs Right .772 348 51 8 41 18 .286 .353 .419
2023vs Left .649 82 8 1 4 10 .206 .325 .324
2023vs Right .643 230 29 1 12 16 .255 .316 .327
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Minor League Splits View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+29%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+14%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .738 472 61 7 47 28 .274 .327 .411
Since 2023Away .641 478 53 5 36 29 .242 .324 .317
2025Home .674 58 5 2 9 2 .208 .259 .415
2025Away .522 85 6 0 2 4 .195 .262 .260
2024Home .798 246 35 3 32 10 .305 .363 .435
2024Away .700 249 31 5 24 15 .265 .335 .365
2023Home .671 168 21 2 6 16 .252 .297 .374
2023Away .607 144 16 0 10 10 .231 .343 .264
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Stat Review
How does Jake McCarthy compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.37
 
BB Rate
7.2%
 
K Rate
19.6%
 
BABIP
.216
 
ISO
.128
 
AVG
.184
 
OBP
.248
 
SLG
.312
 
OPS
.560
 
wOBA
.250
 
Exit Velocity
85.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
29.0%
 
Barrels/PA
2.9%
 
Expected BA
.218
 
Expected SLG
.360
 
Sprint Speed
26.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
50.5%
 
Line Drive %
14.4%
 
Fly Ball %
35.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jake McCarthy See More
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jake McCarthy See More
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2019
McCarthy entered the 2023 season with plenty of fantasy buzz after finishing the previous year with a flourish. Unfortunately, he found himself back in the minors before the end of April following a slow start. He returned after a month on the farm and hit .311 with 15 stolen bases during a 31-game stretch, but that surge in production wound up being short-lived. McCarthy hardly played in the final two months of the season and was removed from the Diamondbacks' Wild Card Series roster due to an oblique injury. The 26-year-old has been an elite base stealer with 49 swipes since 2022 as a semi-regular. His quality of contact (23.7 percent hard-hit rate in 2023) has been woeful, though, and he hasn't graded out well defensively, so getting enough consistent playing time to take advantage of those wheels is a legitimate question. Arizona re-signed Lourdes Gurriel, which could push McCarthy to a reserve role.
McCarthy began the 2023 season on the big-league roster as a reserve and was up and down a couple times before ultimately settling into a regular role in the second half. A supplemental first-round pick by Arizona in 2018, McCarthy showed a great deal of improvement with his bat-to-ball skills during his time at Triple-A last season and those improvements carried over, fueling his .300/.360/..426 line after the break. Best of all for fantasy players, McCarthy racked up 23 steals in total across 99 games (354 plate appearances) while only getting caught stealing three times. His sprint speed ranked in the 98th percentile, though the Statcast numbers throw cold water on his plate production. Regardless the Diamondbacks will want to see what they have in McCarthy, who should continue to have the green light given his success rate. The 25-year-old showed that he can hold his own against lefty pitching (.764 OPS).
The younger brother of Joe McCarthy, an OF/1B prospect in the upper levels of the Rays' system, Jake entered the year with a chance to go in the middle of the first round, but a broken wrist cost him most of his junior year at Virginia. He didn't fall far in the draft, going in the competitive balance round (39th overall) and netting a $1.65 million bonus. McCarthy spent most of his debut season in the Northwest League, where his 0.55 BB/K ranked eighth and his 132 wRC+ ranked 12th. He put his plus speed to work, stealing 20 bases on 28 attempts. McCarthy will stick in center field and may have a good enough approach to eventually hit atop a lineup. The recent history of high-pedigree Virginia hitters in pro ball isn't great, but McCarthy has better raw tools than most of those examples. He is not expected to hit for a ton of power (53.0 GB%), but at 6-foot-3, 195 pounds, he could unlock 15-to-20 homer pop with more professional instruction.
More Fantasy News
Rare multi-RBI effort Friday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
August 15, 2025
McCarthy went 2-for-4 with two RBI and a stolen base in Friday's 4-3 loss to Colorado.
Analysis
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Back on bench against righty
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 28, 2025
McCarthy is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Tigers.
Analysis
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Playing time tailing off
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 21, 2025
McCarthy is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Astros.
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Extends hit streak to seven
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 3, 2025
McCarthy went 2-for-5 with an RBI in Wednesday's 6-5 extra-inning loss to San Francisco.
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Swats go-ahead homer
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 1, 2025
McCarthy went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run in Tuesday's 8-2 win over the Giants.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Diamondbacks listening to offers
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 14, 2025
The Diamondbacks could listen to offers for McCarthy before the trade deadline, Jon Heyman of The New York Post reports.
Analysis
Even though the Diamondbacks aren't going to part ways with star outfielder Corbin Carroll, who figures to be a franchise cornerstone for years to come, they could listen to offers for some of their outfielders before the deadline. However, it's unclear if there will be a lot of interest in McCarthy. The five-year veteran has been limited to only 25 games at the big-league level in 2025 due to his inability to produce at the plate. Through 29 games and 102 plate appearances, McCarthy is hitting .144 with a .472 OPS.
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