Termarr Johnson

Termarr Johnson

21-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Pittsburgh Pirates AA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Johnson won't make good on some of the ridiculous comps scouts were putting on his hit tool as an amateur before the 2022 draft, but he's still tracking towards being a bat-first everyday second baseman. He got off to a slow start in a return to High-A as a 20-year-old, but from mid-May on, he slashed .260/.364/.437 with 14 home runs, 18 steals and a 20.4 percent strikeout rate in 90 games, including 14 games at Double-A to close the year. Johnson also slashed .250/.444/.475 with three steals and more walks (14) than strikeouts (11) in 11 Arizona Fall League games. He still saw 40 starts at shortstop in 2024, but he played the majority of his games in all three leagues at second base, which is a better fit for his fringe-average arm. An opportunistic base stealer with a career .390 OBP, Johnson is a better prospect in dynasty leagues that use OBP instead of batting average. He hits most of his home runs to the pull side, and it's possible he could be a 25-homer/15-steal second baseman in a couple years. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
Signed a $7 million contract with the Pirates in July of 2022.
Power lacking at Double-A
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
September 4, 2025
Johnson is slashing .270/.353/.386 with nine home runs and 20 steals in 109 games for Double-A Altoona.
Analysis
His slash line doesn't excite, but he's been 15 percent better than the average Eastern League hitter. For what it's worth, Johnson's been racking up hits of late, batting .370 with a .446 OBP over his last 18 games, although none of his 27 hits during this stretch have left the yard. Johnson will likely be given more opportunities than his overall skill set might otherwise warrant due to the fact he was the No. 4 overall pick in 2022, but his dynasty stock is trending down. He hasn't slugged over .400 since he was at High-A in 2023 and he doesn't project to add defensive value at second base.
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Minor League Game Log
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Minor League Left/Right Batting Splits (AA)
Since 2023
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2025
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+71%
OPS vs LHP
2023
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .760 102 2 5 .293 .347 .413
Since 2023vs Right .724 425 9 37 .256 .348 .376
2025vs Left .680 91 1 4 .309 32.011 .395
2025vs Right .612 379 8 30 .258 129.005 .379
2024vs Left .909 11 1 1 .182 2.000 .545
2024vs Right .531 46 1 7 .243 16.000 .351
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prospect Rankings History
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Johnson hasn't been bad in pro ball -- he has been between 39 and 42 percent better than the average hitter in the full-season leagues he has played in -- but his performance has not quite matched the pre-draft scouting report. Seen by some evaluators as one of the best pure hitters from the prep ranks since Joe Mauer ahead of the 2022 draft, Johnson has had success despite a .240 average in 128 pro games. What he has lacked in high batting averages, Johnson has made up for with high on-base percentages and walk rates. He has a career .413 OBP and walked at a 21.8 percent clip at Single-A and a 22 percent clip at High-A during his age-18/19 season. Johnson has logged solid exit velocities relative to most teenage middle infielders, but he has been inconsistent on contact, sporting a mediocre 22.1 Soft% and infield-flyball rates north of 21 percent at both stops last year. Given his overall production and the investment from the Pirates (No. 4 overall pick in 2022), Johnson is on track to be the team's everyday second baseman in a couple years, but he figures to be better in OBP leagues than batting average leagues and may only be a plus contributor in OBP and runs while being adequate in the rest of the offensive fantasy categories.
With the fourth-overall pick in the 2022 draft, the Pirates landed one of the most highly-touted prep hitters in years. Some scouts go all the way back to Joe Mauer or Ken Griffey Jr. when trying to find a comparable high-school hitter to Johnson. While prep position players with a 70-grade hit tool are rare, it's even rarer to see likely second basemen who stand 5-foot-8 getting selected in the top five of the draft. He played shortstop in high school in Atlanta but primarily played second base in his pro debut, and that's where he figures to stick. Johnson got off to a slow start in his 23-game pro debut across complex ball and Single-A, but he closed strong, slashing .357/.500/.607 with one home run, four doubles, four steals and an 11:10 K:BB over his last 10 games. The hope is that he remains hit-over-power and naturally gets to 20-plus homer pop rather than selling out for power at the expense of his greatest tool. He is already physically maxed out and doesn't grade well as a runner, but Johnson attempted seven steals in his first 23 games, so perhaps he could chip in double-digit steals in the majors if he develops into an on-base machine. The main thing is the hit tool, however. If he hits as expected, he will be a sought-after fantasy asset for a decade-plus. Johnson should spend most of his age-18/19 season at High-A.
More Fantasy News
Collects two hits in return
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
April 21, 2025
Johnson (knee) went 2-for-5 with a double and one run scored during Sunday's game against Double-A Somerset.
Analysis
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Dealing with knee injury
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
Knee
April 19, 2025
Johnson suffered a knee injury during Double-A Altoona's 12-1 loss to Somerset on Friday, Jarrod Prugar of DK Pittsburgh Sports reports.
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Moves past foot injury
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
April 7, 2025
Johnson (foot) has played in two of Double-A Altoona's first three games of the season, going 2-for-8 with a double, a walk, a stolen base and a run.
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Dealing with bone bruise in foot
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
Foot
March 14, 2025
Johnson was removed from the Pirates' Spring Breakout game roster due to a bone bruise in his left foot, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
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Looks healthy for camp
2BPittsburgh Pirates  AA
February 13, 2025
Johnson (foot) was spotted taking grounders at second base during Thursday's spring training workout, Kevin Gorman of TribLive.com reports.
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