The Big Game is here with a winner-take-all bout featuring the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots, a rematch of Super Bowl 49. Both teams are coming in hot off stellar seasons, with a great storyline in the works for SEA QB Sam Darnold and an MVP run for NE QB Drake Maye.
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Best Bets for Seahawks vs Patriots
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Best Bets for Seahawks vs Patriots | Sam Darnold U 230.5 Passing Yards
While Seattle QB Sam Darnold has had a great season, Sunday is his biggest test. Whether he can shine under the brightest lights that the NFL has to offer is the big question. The bet here is that he falls short at Levi's Stadium, as I expect Darnold to see ghosts in the final game of the season.
Overall, Darnold has been great in the pocket, but he hasn't faced a defense quite like New England's. On their way to the Big Game, the Patriots held opposing QBs to an average of 168 passing yards per game. With Darnold's passing yards line at 230.5, I'm taking the under here.
Best Bets for Seahawks vs Patriots | Sam Darnold O 0.5 Interceptions
Despite his great season, Sam Darnold was third overall in terms of interceptions thrown at 14. In fact, his interceptions in 2025 was the second-highest for a single season in his career, behind only his rookie season in 2018 when he threw 18 picks.
Similarly to my rationale for his passing yards, I'm looking at the Patriots' defense. The Pats ended the regular season ranking 8th in total yards allowed per game, including 6th in rushing yards allowed.
Expect the Pats to lock down the run and force Darnold to throw here, with a pass bound to find a Patriots defender.
Best Bets for Seahawks vs Patriots | Patriots ML
I fully expect to see Darnold to see ghosts in the Big Game, leading to a Patriots win for a record 7th Lombardi Trophy. The big question is whether Drake Maye can keep the ball out of the Seahawks' possession, but I like those odds. Plus, with the Patriots ML at plus money, I like the idea of an unlikely upset, and a bigger payout for yours truly.
Best Seahawks vs Patriots Picks
- Sam Darnold U 230.5 Passing Yards
- Sam Darnold O 0.5 Interceptions
- Patriots ML
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