NASCAR Draft Kit: 2024 Driver Projections

William Byron had a breakout season last year and Mark Taylor is projecting another strong campaign for the No. 24 in 2024. Check out the sortable projections now.

January 2, 2024

NASCAR Draft Kit: 2024 Driver Projections

By:

Mark Taylor

January 2, 2024

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The following are our driver projections for the 2024 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	POLES	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kyle Larson	4	3	1,178	15	20
2	William Byron	5	4	928	14	20
3	Ryan Blaney	3	0	659	10	18
4	Denny Hamlin	3	4	827	14	19
5	Christopher Bell	2	5	598	10	18
6	Chase Elliott	2	2	787	10	17
7	Joey Logano	2	2	495	11	17
8	Kyle Busch	2	1	445	10	17
9	Tyler Reddick	2	2	435	9	16
10	Martin Truex Jr.	2	3	621	8	16
11	Ross Chastain	2	1	419	9	15
12	Chris Buescher	2	1	279	8	15
13	Brad Keselowski	1	1	389	7	15
14	Ty Gibbs	1	1	224	6	13
15	Alex Bowman	1	1	118	5	11
16	Bubba Wallace	1	1	218	5	10
17	Austin Cindric	0	1	179	6	11
18	Chase Briscoe	0	0	108	4	9
19	Michael McDowell	1	0	105	3	8
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	0	1	69	3	9
21	Daniel Suarez	0	1	49	4	8
22	Josh Berry	0	1	24	2	8
23	Erik Jones	0	0	29	1	6
24	Austin Dillon	0	0	47	1	6
25	Noah Gragson	0	0	25	1	5
26	Ryan Preece	0	0	28	1	5
27	John Hunter Nemechek	0	0	36	1	6
28	Corey Lajoie	0	0	56	1	4
29	Todd Gilliland	0	0	17	1	4
30	Harrison Burton	0	0	21	0	3
31	Daniel Hemric	0	0	6	0	3
32	Ty Dillon	0	0	15	0	1
33	Justin Haley	0	0	12	0	1
34	Zane Smith	0	0	9	0	1
35	Carson Hocevar	0	0	11	0	0
36	J.J. Yeley	0	0	5	0	0
37	AJ Allmendinger	0	0	29	0	2
38	Shane van Gisbergen	0	0	27	0	2
39	Jimmie Johnson	0	0	0	0	0
40	David Ragan	0	0	0	0	1

The following are our driver projections for the 2024 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	POLES	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kyle Larson	4	3	1,178	15	20
2	William Byron	5	4	928	14	20
3	Ryan Blaney	3	0	659	10	18
4	Denny Hamlin	3	4	827	14	19
5	Christopher Bell	2	5	598	10	18
6	Chase Elliott	2	2	787	10	17
7	Joey Logano	2	2	495	11	17
8	Kyle Busch	2	1	445	10	17
9	Tyler Reddick	2	2	435	9	16
10	Martin Truex Jr.	2	3	621	8	16
11	Ross Chastain	2	1	419	9	15
12	Chris Buescher	2	1	279	8	15
13	Brad Keselowski	1	1	389	7	15
14	Ty Gibbs	1	1	224	6	13
15	Alex Bowman	1	1	118	5	11
16	Bubba Wallace	1	1	218	5	10
17	Austin Cindric	0	1	179	6	11
18	Chase Briscoe	0	0	108	4	9
19	Michael McDowell	1	0	105	3	8
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	0	1	69	3	9
21	Daniel Suarez	0	1	49	4	8
22	Josh Berry	0	1	24	2	8
23	Erik Jones	0	0	29	1	6
24	Austin Dillon	0	0	47	1	6
25	Noah Gragson	0	0	25	1	5
26	Ryan Preece	0	0	28	1	5
27	John Hunter Nemechek	0	0	36	1	6
28	Corey Lajoie	0	0	56	1	4
29	Todd Gilliland	0	0	17	1	4
30	Harrison Burton	0	0	21	0	3
31	Daniel Hemric	0	0	6	0	3
32	Ty Dillon	0	0	15	0	1
33	Justin Haley	0	0	12	0	1
34	Zane Smith	0	0	9	0	1
35	Carson Hocevar	0	0	11	0	0
36	J.J. Yeley	0	0	5	0	0
37	AJ Allmendinger	0	0	29	0	2
38	Shane van Gisbergen	0	0	27	0	2
39	Jimmie Johnson	0	0	0	0	0
40	David Ragan	0	0	0	0	1

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Mark Taylor

Author

Taylor is RotoWire's senior NASCAR writer. A nine-time FSWA finalist, Taylor was named the Racing Writer of the Year in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2016 and 2017. He is also a military historian, focused specifically on World War II and the U.S. Navy's efforts in the Pacific.