NASCAR Draft Kit: 2025 Driver Projections

Driver projections for the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season from Mark Taylor who thinks Christopher Bell could be in for a big year. Check out the sortable projections now.

January 6, 2025

NASCAR Draft Kit: 2025 Driver Projections

By:

Mark Taylor

January 6, 2025

NASCAR Draft Kit

SPECIAL OFFER

Get 20% OFF

To celebrate the start of the NBA season, we're giving away 20% off all subscriptions. Ends 10/26. Use promo code .

PROMO CODE BASKET

The following are our driver projections for the 2025 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	POLES	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kyle Larson	5	5	1,625	15	22
2	Ryan Blaney	4	2	643	15	21
3	William Byron	3	3	478	13	20
4	Christopher Bell	3	4	1,115	12	19
5	Denny Hamlin	3	3	975	12	18
6	Tyler Reddick	2	3	515	12	18
7	Joey Logano	3	3	412	11	17
8	Chase Elliott	1	1	457	9	16
9	Alex Bowman	1	2	98	8	15
10	Brad Keselowski	1	1	349	8	15
11	Chris Buescher	1	1	279	7	14
12	Ross Chastain	1	1	378	6	14
13	Ty Gibbs	1	2	425	6	14
14	Kyle Busch	1	1	328	6	12
15	Chase Briscoe	1	2	255	5	11
16	Bubba Wallace	0	1	177	5	11
17	AJ Allmendinger	1	0	72	4	10
18	Austin Cindric	0	0	179	4	10
19	Daniel Suarez	1	0	175	3	9
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	1	0	45	3	8
21	Carson Hocevar	0	0	22	2	8
22	Noah Gragson	0	0	25	2	7
23	Riley Herbst	0	0	129	2	6
24	Michael McDowell	1	0	45	2	6
25	Josh Berry	0	0	68	1	5
26	Shane van Gisbergen	1	1	155	2	5
27	Austin Dillon	0	0	55	1	4
28	Ryan Preece	0	0	12	1	4
29	Cole Custer	0	0	56	1	4
30	Zane Smith	0	0	20	1	4
31	John Hunter Nemechek	0	0	42	0	4
32	Todd Gilliland	0	0	35	1	3
33	Erik Jones	0	0	10	0	2
34	Justin Haley	0	0	45	0	2
35	Ty Dillon	0	0	21	0	2
36	Kaz Grala	0	0	0	0	0
37	Cody Ware	0	0	5	0	0
38	J.J. Yeley	0	0	2	0	0
39	Jimmie Johnson	0	0	0	0	0
40	B.J. McLeod	0	0	3	0	0

The following are our driver projections for the 2025 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	POLES	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kyle Larson	5	5	1,625	15	22
2	Ryan Blaney	4	2	643	15	21
3	William Byron	3	3	478	13	20
4	Christopher Bell	3	4	1,115	12	19
5	Denny Hamlin	3	3	975	12	18
6	Tyler Reddick	2	3	515	12	18
7	Joey Logano	3	3	412	11	17
8	Chase Elliott	1	1	457	9	16
9	Alex Bowman	1	2	98	8	15
10	Brad Keselowski	1	1	349	8	15
11	Chris Buescher	1	1	279	7	14
12	Ross Chastain	1	1	378	6	14
13	Ty Gibbs	1	2	425	6	14
14	Kyle Busch	1	1	328	6	12
15	Chase Briscoe	1	2	255	5	11
16	Bubba Wallace	0	1	177	5	11
17	AJ Allmendinger	1	0	72	4	10
18	Austin Cindric	0	0	179	4	10
19	Daniel Suarez	1	0	175	3	9
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	1	0	45	3	8
21	Carson Hocevar	0	0	22	2	8
22	Noah Gragson	0	0	25	2	7
23	Riley Herbst	0	0	129	2	6
24	Michael McDowell	1	0	45	2	6
25	Josh Berry	0	0	68	1	5
26	Shane van Gisbergen	1	1	155	2	5
27	Austin Dillon	0	0	55	1	4
28	Ryan Preece	0	0	12	1	4
29	Cole Custer	0	0	56	1	4
30	Zane Smith	0	0	20	1	4
31	John Hunter Nemechek	0	0	42	0	4
32	Todd Gilliland	0	0	35	1	3
33	Erik Jones	0	0	10	0	2
34	Justin Haley	0	0	45	0	2
35	Ty Dillon	0	0	21	0	2
36	Kaz Grala	0	0	0	0	0
37	Cody Ware	0	0	5	0	0
38	J.J. Yeley	0	0	2	0	0
39	Jimmie Johnson	0	0	0	0	0
40	B.J. McLeod	0	0	3	0	0

Want to Read More?

Subscribe to RotoWire to see the full article.

We reserve some of our best content for our paid subscribers. Plus, if you choose to subscribe you can discuss this article with the author and the rest of the RotoWire community.

Access Full Article Get Instant Access To This Article

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Mark Taylor

Author

Taylor is RotoWire's senior NASCAR writer. A nine-time FSWA finalist, Taylor was named the Racing Writer of the Year in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2016 and 2017. He is also a military historian, focused specifically on World War II and the U.S. Navy's efforts in the Pacific.