Denny Hamlin

45-Year-Old Driver

Joe Gibbs Racing

2025 Cup Stats

Points

5031

Starts

Wins

Poles

Top 5

Top 10

2026 Fantasy Outlook

Just when you think Hamlin is approaching that age where his skill will begin to deteriorate, he goes out in 2025 and racks up six victories (leading the series) and 18 Top-10 finishes. His late-season heroics would catapult the No. 11 Toyota team in the championship round at Phoenix. However, Hamlin still couldn't deliver on that long awaited championship. Despite leading 208 laps that day, Hamlin would fade to sixth-place by the checkered flag and watch Kyle Larson collect his second series championship. At 45-years-old and with over 700 Cup Series starts to his credit, we keep waiting for Father Time to catch up to Hamlin, but it hasn't happened yet. He keeps winning races (now 60 to his credit) and pushing the 20 Top-10 envelope each season. Hamlin still has fire in his belly and it shows on the race track. He's never to be underestimated. Read Past Outlooks

Car No. 11 Toyota

Crew Chief Chris Gayle

Rookie Year 2006

Birth Date 11/18/1980

Born Chesterfield, Virginia, United States

Country UNITED STATES

Suffers shoulder injury

NASCAR Cup

February 4, 2026

Hamlin tore his shoulder in the offseason but said that he will not have surgery, Bob Pockrass of Fox Sports reports.

ANALYSIS
Hamlin previously tore this same shoulder back in 2024 and had surgery on it. He suffered the injury after falling going through the rubble after the tragic fire at his paren't house in December. Hamlin has had plenty of injuries throughout his career and been able to race through a lot of them. There's a good chance that he opts for surgery after the 2026 season, but with the Daytona 500 just a couple weeks out he likely would not have been ready if he went the route to repair the shoulder. It's been a difficult few months for the 60-time Cup winner both on and off the track. Hamlin is probably just looking to get back in the car and do what he does best.

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Racing Stats

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2025

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2023

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2021

2020

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2018

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2008

2006

Hamlin has averaged four wins and finished inside the Top-5 of the championship points in each of the last five seasons. We don't see that changing anytime soon for the Joe Gibbs Racing star. While he didn't race for the title at Phoenix, he was the first guy "outside looking in" and wound up a very respectable fifth-place in the points. The driver of the No. 11 Toyota showed his staying power with three wins and 19 Top-10 finishes in 2023. For the 43-year-old Hamlin that proved his worth in a sport that is ever shifting younger. We didn't see many cracks in the armor in the past season, so we're projecting similar performance for this driver and team in 2024. Short tracks and intermediate ovals were Hamlin's sweet spots last season and that should continue to keep him championship relevant for the immediate future.

It took some time for Hamlin to acclimate to the new generation stock car last season, but once he made the adjustment he was able to stack up some solid stats. His two wins and 16 Top-10 finishes were below recent seasons, but still good enough to net a strong fifth-place finish in the final driver standings. His slow start to 2022 led to the lower stat totals and elevated (15.5) average finish for the campaign. Now that Hamlin and the No. 11 team have 36 starts under their belt with the new car, we should see him return to more normal consistency and performance levels in the upcoming season. Chris Gabehart returns to the team as crew chief and Hamlin will look to continue his pursuit of the elusive NACAR Cup Series title. Certainly a return to multiple race wins and low-to-mid 20's in Top 10's should be expected.

The wins were slow to come last season and in the end, he captured only two over the 36-race schedule. Still, Hamlin had one of his most consistent efforts in 2021. The Joe Gibbs Racing star captured a career-best 25 Top-10 finishes and posted the lowest average finish of his career at 8.4. It didn't add up to that long-sought championship, but it kept Hamlin relevant the entire season and in the championship conversation right up until the end. Now 41-years-old, there appears to be no slowing down in sight for Hamlin. At least not yet. The No. 11 JGR team returns completely intact for the upcoming season and Hamlin will continue to work with Chris Gabehart atop the team's war wagon. The 16-season veteran will once again set out in pursuit of that elusive Cup Series championship, and he will win multiple races and challenge once again for NASCAR's highest honor.

The 40-year-old veteran is coming off the best two-season run of his NASCAR Cup Series career. Hamlin has averaged seven wins and 23 Top 10s the last two campaigns and he's challenged for the championship. Were it not for some ill-timed inconsistency during the playoffs, Hamlin could have likely won the championship each of the last two years. However, that has been his lone shortcoming. As to dominance and statistical production, the Joe Gibbs Racing star has it in spades. The No. 11 Toyota team returns completely intact after last season and still headed up by crew chief, Chris Gabehart. Hamlin and he will keep this team operating at a high level, but we tend to believe the numbers will begin a slow creep downward with time. The veteran driver has crossed that invisible 40-year-old line that typically starts to erode driving ability.

The Joe Gibbs Racing veteran rebounded spectacularly last season. After posting a disappointing 2018 campaign, Hamlin erased any doubts about his driving ability with a stellar six-win, 24 Top 10 campaign in 2019. The driver of the No. 11 Toyota would race for the championship at Homestead but fall short finishing fourth in the title chase. Still, it was a very impressive effort for the 39-year-old driver. Hamlin will look to hold onto those gains with crew chief, Chris Gabehart, who led him to that success. He posted career-best marks in terms of Top 5's, Top 10's and average finish position for the season. It will be tough to top that level of performance, so we expect a slight pull back in those numbers in 2020. Hamlin will still be in the top tier of drivers, but don't expect a carbon copy of last year's titanic performance.

The Joe Gibbs Racing veteran endured a challenging season in 2018. Hamlin went winless for the first time in his 13-season career, and posted a five-season low in Top 10s with 17. It all added up to his worst point standings finish (11th) of the last five years. Hamlin will look to hit the reset button this season and get back to his winning ways. He'll start out with a new crew chief as Mike Wheeler moves on to other challenges and the No. 11 team will be headed up by new chief, Chris Gabehart. We expect Hamlin to rebound to more recent numbers this season. That would include getting back to victory lane once or twice and a Top-10 total closer to 20 or more. Hamlin could come cheaper in fantasy drafts this season, and that presents some value to those that wait.

The Joe Gibbs Racing star is coming off a typical season for the No. 11 Toyota team. Hamlin racked up two victories and 22 Top-10 finishes en route to finishing sixth in the driver standings for the second-straight year. That's been the pattern and the mark for this driver and team for the last three seasons. Crew chief Mike Wheeler and Hamlin have found a good level of consistency and the ability to win races, but they're just shy of the serious championship contender level. Although Hamlin came painfully close to making the Championship 4 at Homestead, but came up just short. With the retirement of Matt Kenseth, we expect more focus at Joe Gibbs Racing to fall on Hamlin and his race team. He and Kyle Busch are the faces of the franchise now, and championship contention is the ultimate measure of success. We expect to see Hamlin race with some real urgency in 2018.

The Joe Gibbs Racing star is one of the streakiest driver's in the Monster Energy Cup Series. Hamlin is known for his classic hot and cold streaks throughout each season. He can go on a tear for several races and be the best driver in the series or he can go completely stone cold for a period. However, it all seems to work out in the end and he'll post 2-to-3 wins and 20-22 Top 10's with a Top-10 finish in the final driver standings most of the time. 2016 was a high point in some ways as Hamlin managed a career-best 11.8 average finish. This was due in large part to much better qualifying than Hamlin typically does over a season. Hamlin and crew chief Mike Wheeler will be reunited in 2017 and they'll get right to work on improving on what was a pretty good campaign last season. This is a contract year for Hamlin, so motivation to push even higher will be priority.

There was some good news and some bad news for the driver of the No. 11 Toyota in 2015. While Hamlin rebounded to two victories and 20 top-10 finishes, it was his inconsistency late in the season that prevented him from making the Championship 4 in the Chase like he did in 2014. The disappointment of not racing for the title at Homestead was a bit mitigated by the fact that Hamlin performed better and more consistently than he has the two previous campaigns. The veteran driver will have a new crew chief in the upcoming season with Mike Wheeler taking over the duties during the offseason. Considering that Joe Gibbs Racing in general is on the rise, we can only be very optimistic that Hamlin will continue his upward trajectory in 2016.

Last season’s Chase for the Cup was like a tale of two seasons for Hamlin. He started the 10-race playoff with one victory and three Top-10 finishes, but in the second half he faded miserably. Hamlin only posted one Top 10 in the final five races of last year and limped to the finish line of 2012. That gave the driver of the No. 11 Toyota a sixth-place finish in the final driver standings. As good as Hamlin can be, he often shows mental fragility when it’s all on the line. Still, his 18 victories the last four years rank him among the elite in NASCAR. A potential championship may lie just out of reach for a time for this talented driver, but race wins and many Top 10’s are certainly in his near-future with Joe Gibbs Racing.

Hamlin filled in the last races of 2005 for Gibbs in the #11 car very well. He captured the pole position at Phoenix and collected a few top 10 finishes in his handful of starts. A rookie of the year award could be in the future of Hamlin this season.

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Championship Slips Away

NASCAR Cup

November 2, 2025

Hamlin finished sixth in the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway on Sunday afternoon.