2025 Stats
W-L
3-2
ERA
5.40
WHIP
1.17
K
18
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Eflin's 2024 season failed to live up to his 2023 levels of production, but he was mostly a victim of circumstance. Eflin did hit the IL twice in the season with back and shoulder issues, but both were minimum stays. The larger problem for Eflin was his time with Tampa Bay before he was dealt to Baltimore. Eflin was awarded a win in just five of his 19 starts, as the Rays offense struggled to provide runs, while Eflin struggled to prevent them as well as he did in 2023. The trade to Baltimore saw Eflin win five of his nine starts there, and paints a better picture of what is possible for 2025. Eflin remains one of the stingiest pitchers in baseball at giving up walks, as his walk percentage has remained below 5.0 percent for four consecutive seasons. He continues his kitchen-sink-like approach using six different pitch types against hitters to pepper the strike zone and keep hitters off balance, but the seven percentage-point drop in strikeouts from 2023 to 2024 is concerning, as several of his pitches lost their whiffiness. Perhaps that can be written off to his back and shoulder troubles, but it bears watching moving forward. Camden Yards is likely to remain a pitcher's park, but Baltimore is moving the left-field walls during the offseason after a couple years of having one of the deepest left fields in baseball. Read Past Outlooks

Labors again Saturday
Eflin allowed five runs (four earned) on five hits and two walks while striking out one batter over five-plus innings in a no-decision against Boston in Game 1 of Saturday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
Five hits over five frames is typically a pretty good line, but Eflin served up three homers among those knocks. Two of the long balls came among the first three batters he faced, and though the right-hander was able to pitch into the sixth frame, he didn't retire any batters in his final inning, with two more runs being charged to him. Eflin also struggled to miss bats in the outing -- he notched only six whiffs and one punchout. The 31-year-old held a 3.13 ERA through his first four starts of the campaign, but with two straight rough appearances, that number now sits at a poor 5.40. Eflin will try to get back on track in his next start, which lines up to be a promising matchup at home against the White Sox.
Five hits over five frames is typically a pretty good line, but Eflin served up three homers among those knocks. Two of the long balls came among the first three batters he faced, and though the right-hander was able to pitch into the sixth frame, he didn't retire any batters in his final inning, with two more runs being charged to him. Eflin also struggled to miss bats in the outing -- he notched only six whiffs and one punchout. The 31-year-old held a 3.13 ERA through his first four starts of the campaign, but with two straight rough appearances, that number now sits at a poor 5.40. Eflin will try to get back on track in his next start, which lines up to be a promising matchup at home against the White Sox.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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2017
Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Zach Eflin generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Zach Eflin generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-2%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .223 | 163 | 31 | 159 | 27 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .270 | 175 | 22 | 199 | 23 | |||
2025vs Left | .268 | 9 | 2 | 19 | 7 | |||
2025vs Right | .263 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 2 | |||
2024vs Left | .225 | 74 | 16 | 71 | 11 | |||
2024vs Right | .281 | 60 | 8 | 95 | 11 | |||
2023vs Left | .210 | 80 | 13 | 69 | 9 | |||
2023vs Right | .259 | 106 | 11 | 89 | 10 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-15%
ERA at Home
2025
-58%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 3.40 | 1.09 | 182.2 | 9.2 | 1.0 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 4.00 | 1.09 | 193.2 | 7.1 | 1.5 | ||||
2025Home | 8.74 | 1.59 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | ||||
2025Away | 3.68 | 0.95 | 22.0 | 3.7 | 2.0 | ||||
2024Home | 2.66 | 1.08 | 67.2 | 7.6 | 0.8 | ||||
2024Away | 4.24 | 1.20 | 97.2 | 7.1 | 1.7 | ||||
2023Home | 3.30 | 1.04 | 103.2 | 10.4 | 1.2 | ||||
2023Away | 3.77 | 1.00 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.2 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Zach Eflin compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.60K/9
4.9BB/9
1.4HR/9
2.4Fastball
91.6 mphERA
5.40WHIP
1.17BABIP
.248GB/FB
0.98Left On Base
68.2%Exit Velocity
83.6 mphBarrels/BBE
7.7%Spin Rate
2156 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
29.3%Swinging Strike
9.1%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
2014
The Rays never spend on free agency. Their last big buy prior to Eflin was a three-year deal with James Loney, so when the Rays gave Eflin a 3 year deal for $40M, it should have gotten more attention. The front office, and pitching coach Kyle Snyder, clearly saw they could get more from him, and indeed they did. They tweaked his repertoire to use more of his cutter, added a sweeper, and encouraged him to visit different parts of the strikezone allowing Eflinl to finish as the sixth most valuable starting pitcher in fantasy baseball in 2023. The 16 wins and 177.2 innings, and 186 strikeouts were career highs as he remained more durable than he had been in recent years with Philadelphia. 2023 was also the third straight season he kept his walk rate below five percent. The risk with Eflin is always his health, but the peripherals are as rock solid as his knee has been unstable in recent years.
More Fantasy News

Hit hard in loss
Eflin (3-2) took the loss against the Nationals on Sunday, allowing eight runs on 10 hits and no walks with four strikeouts over 5.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up win in return
Eflin (3-1) got the win Sunday against the Angels, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out five in five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Reinstated for Sunday's start
The Orioles activated Eflin (lat) from the 15-day injured list to start Sunday's game against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Lined up to pitch Sunday
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said Thursday that Eflin (lat) will "more than likely" start Sunday's game against the Angels, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to return this weekend
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde told reporters Wednesday that Eflin (lat) has been cleared to return from the 15-day injured list and will start this weekend against the Twins, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

On move again this summer?
Eflin could potentially be on the move again this summer with the Orioles seemingly in a position to sell ahead of the trade deadline, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Eflin is in the final year of his current deal and could be one key trade piece the Orioles try to move before the deadline. Eflin's strikeout numbers this season have been notably lower than past years, and he's now allowed 14 runs in 15.1 innings since returning from the injured list May 11, but he has a proven track record as a starter and should garner interest from teams looking to bolster their rotation.
Eflin is in the final year of his current deal and could be one key trade piece the Orioles try to move before the deadline. Eflin's strikeout numbers this season have been notably lower than past years, and he's now allowed 14 runs in 15.1 innings since returning from the injured list May 11, but he has a proven track record as a starter and should garner interest from teams looking to bolster their rotation.