2025 Stats
W-L
11-6
ERA
3.01
WHIP
1.18
K
151
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez has settled in as the ace of Houston's staff over the past few years, and that trend continued in 2024 as he posted a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 innings. A 3.36 xERA and 3.08 xFIP indicate he may have been a bit fortunate with the results, but those numbers are still strong and aren't anything to be concerned about. The left-hander's 16.2 percent K-BB% is solid if not a bit underwhelming for a pitcher of his caliber, as he continues to rely on inducing grounders (60.6 percent groundball rate). Valdez's recent track record of availability and effectiveness give him a strong floor, but his ceiling is more limited than the top-tier fantasy pitchers due to the lower strikeout totals. Read Past Outlooks
Agreed to a one-year, $18 million contract with the Astros in January of 2025.
Takes loss despite quality start
Valdez (11-6) took the loss against the Orioles on Friday, allowing four runs (three earned) on nine hits and one walk while striking out six over 6.2 innings.
Analysis
The left-hander worked around traffic early but was tagged in the fourth when Coby Mayo launched a solo homer to open the scoring, giving Baltimore a lead Houston would never cut into. Valdez has now yielded at least seven hits in five of his last seven outings as he struggles to limit hard contact. The outing also raised his ERA above 3.00 for the first time since June 24, though he continues to provide Houston with length, completing at least six innings in 19 of his 24 starts this year. Overall, the 31-year-old southpaw owns a 3.01 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 151:50 K:BB through 152.1 innings and will look to get back on track in his next scheduled start against the Tigers.
The left-hander worked around traffic early but was tagged in the fourth when Coby Mayo launched a solo homer to open the scoring, giving Baltimore a lead Houston would never cut into. Valdez has now yielded at least seven hits in five of his last seven outings as he struggles to limit hard contact. The outing also raised his ERA above 3.00 for the first time since June 24, though he continues to provide Houston with length, completing at least six innings in 19 of his 24 starts this year. Overall, the 31-year-old southpaw owns a 3.01 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 151:50 K:BB through 152.1 innings and will look to get back on track in his next scheduled start against the Tigers.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-1%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .233 | 104 | 26 | 79 | 8 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .225 | 416 | 136 | 356 | 33 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .229 | 25 | 7 | 25 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .231 | 126 | 43 | 104 | 8 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .252 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .214 | 135 | 50 | 113 | 11 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .220 | 45 | 14 | 27 | 5 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .230 | 155 | 43 | 139 | 14 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-28%
ERA at Home
2025
-56%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 2.64 | 1.06 | 275.2 | 9.5 | 2.4 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.69 | 1.21 | 251.0 | 8.2 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2025Home | 1.85 | 1.09 | 77.2 | 9.8 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.22 | 1.26 | 74.2 | 8.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 2.53 | 1.05 | 96.0 | 9.2 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.36 | 1.17 | 80.1 | 8.0 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.35 | 1.05 | 102.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.56 | 1.21 | 96.0 | 8.7 | 3.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.02K/9
8.9BB/9
3.0HR/9
0.5Fastball
94.4 mphERA
3.01WHIP
1.18BABIP
.301GB/FB
3.32Left On Base
75.1%Exit Velocity
84.1 mphBarrels/BBE
4.3%Spin Rate
2308 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
29.8%Swinging Strike
11.5%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Valdez has worked the fifth-most innings of any starting pitcher over the past two seasons trailing only Alcantara, Cole, Webb, and Mikolas. The lefty has returned three consecutive seasons of double digit wins, strong ratios, and a voluminous strikeout total and even threw in a no-hitter this season against Cleveland. Valdez was 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP after completing that no-hitter on August 1st but was just 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP from then on, which does not even include his very disappointing postseason where he allowed 12 earned runs and lost all three of his starts. Valdez absolutely brings the volume you want from a high-draft pick/cost starting pitcher, but he lacks the elite velocity or K-BB% that fantasy managers like to see from foundational pitchers. His extreme groundball tendencies minmize some of that risk, and the run support in Houston continues to be plentiful. 2022 was his peak, but something between it and 2023 is very possible.
More Fantasy News
Escapes with no-decision
Valdez came away with a no-decision in Saturday's 5-4 loss to the Yankees, giving up four runs on eight hits and four walks over 5.2 innings. He struck out one.
Analysis
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Falls to Boston
Valdez (11-5) took the loss Sunday against the Red Sox, allowing six runs (four earned) on seven hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out three.
Analysis
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Dozen strikeouts in no-decision
Valdez did not factor into the decision Monday, allowing one run on three hits and two walks over six innings against the Nationals. He struck out 12.
Analysis
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Earns 11th win
Valdez (11-4) allowed one run on seven hits and one walk while striking out four over seven innings to earn the win Tuesday over the Diamondbacks.
Analysis
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Dazzles in no-decision
Valdez allowed an unearned run on four hits and struck out 10 without walking a batter over six innings in a no-decision versus the Rangers on Saturday.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks haven't occurred
Valdez said Thursday that the Astros have not approached him or his representation regarding a contract extension, reports Chandler Rome of The Athletic.
Analysis
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.