2025 Stats
W-L
7-7
ERA
5.43
WHIP
1.55
K
78
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Perhaps no player improved his free-agency stock during the 2024 postseason more than Buehler, who wiped away some of his difficult regular season with a strong playoff run that included getting the final three outs in Game 5 of the World Series to forever cement his image in Dodgers lore. The question MLB teams (and fantasy managers) will have to ponder is whether Buehler's strong finish to the postseason (he didn't allow a run over 10 innings while notching a 13:4 K:BB across his final three outings) was a long-awaited sign that he could return to the form that made him an All-Star in 2019 and 2021 prior to his 2022 Tommy John surgery or simply a case of a pitcher letting it all hang loose with a championship in sight. It would be unwise to ignore Buehler's unattractive stats (5.38 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 18.6% strikeout rate) during 16 regular-season starts, but his fastball velocity remained viable at 95.0 mph, and we know that pitchers can need varying amounts of time to get right again following the TJ procedure. Buehler landed in Boston on a one-year, $21.05 million contract, there's upside here for fantasy managers willing to take a gamble on him as a back-end piece of their rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $21.05 million contract with the Red Sox in December of 2024. Contract includes $25 million mutual option ($3 million buyout) for 2026. Contract includes $500,000 in incentives for 20, 22, 24, 26 and 28 games started.
Continues struggling for strikeouts
Buehler (7-7) took the loss Wednesday against the Astros, allowing four runs on four hits and four walks in six innings. He struck out three.
Analysis
The four runs allowed were Buehler's most since his June 29 start versus the Blue Jays, although he did manage to toss at least six innings for the fourth time in his last six outings. The 31-year-old right-hander hasn't fanned more than four since striking out seven June 11 against the Rays, and he's walked multiple batters on eight occasions during that 10-start stretch. Buehler does have a palatable 3.67 ERA across 39 innings since the beginning of July, but his 1.49 WHIP and 19:18 K:BB during this period sets him up as a volatile fantasy option next week at home versus the Orioles.
The four runs allowed were Buehler's most since his June 29 start versus the Blue Jays, although he did manage to toss at least six innings for the fourth time in his last six outings. The 31-year-old right-hander hasn't fanned more than four since striking out seven June 11 against the Rays, and he's walked multiple batters on eight occasions during that 10-start stretch. Buehler does have a palatable 3.67 ERA across 39 innings since the beginning of July, but his 1.49 WHIP and 19:18 K:BB during this period sets him up as a volatile fantasy option next week at home versus the Orioles.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Walker Buehler generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Walker Buehler generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-30%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .308 | 78 | 43 | 119 | 15 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .249 | 64 | 35 | 84 | 22 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .317 | 41 | 28 | 72 | 7 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .222 | 37 | 22 | 42 | 14 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .296 | 37 | 15 | 47 | 8 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .282 | 27 | 13 | 42 | 8 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-31%
ERA at Home
2025
-33%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.47 | 1.41 | 96.2 | 7.6 | 3.4 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 6.48 | 1.71 | 84.2 | 6.4 | 4.5 | ||||
| 2025Home | 4.35 | 1.37 | 51.2 | 7.5 | 4.2 | ||||
| 2025Away | 6.46 | 1.71 | 54.1 | 5.8 | 4.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.60 | 1.44 | 45.0 | 7.8 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2024Away | 6.53 | 1.71 | 30.1 | 7.4 | 4.7 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Walker Buehler compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.56K/9
6.6BB/9
4.2HR/9
1.8Fastball
94.0 mphERA
5.43WHIP
1.55BABIP
.296GB/FB
1.55Left On Base
71.3%Exit Velocity
81.9 mphBarrels/BBE
5.5%Spin Rate
2340 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.5%Swinging Strike
8.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Buehler threw as many pitches as you did in 2023, so you have that going for you, which is nice. What fantasy managers hoped would be a cinderella story out of nowhere with Buehler coming back late in 2023 to help in the stretch run never materialized as we were all yet again reminded Tommy John surgery recoveries are not the same and are not guaranteed. We know how talented Buehler was before his surgery, but 2024 is an all too familiar story of risk versus reward. It is extremely unlikely Buehler is going to work over 160 innings in 2024, and we do not know how much rust he has to shake off. Buehler also isn't expected to be available at the start of the season, though he isn't expected to miss too much time. His first pitch in a regular season game will come nearly 20 months from his last pitch of 2022. Your ability to roster him depends on your roster construction as well as your appetite for extreme risk.
More Fantasy News
Blanks Friars for seventh win
Buehler (7-6) picked up the win Friday, allowing four hits and two walks over six scoreless innings in a 10-2 rout of the Padres. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Can't get through five innings
Buehler allowed three runs on nine hits and three walks over 4.1 innings in a no-decision against Houston on Saturday. He didn't notch any strikeouts.
Analysis
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No-decision vs. former team
Buehler did not factor into the decision in Sunday's 4-3 win over the Dodgers, allowing three runs on four hits and five walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Seven strong frames in Philadelphia
Buehler didn't factor into the decision Monday against the Phillies, giving up two runs (one earned) on six hits and one walk in seven innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Quality start against Rays
Buehler took a no-decision Thursday against the Rays, giving up three runs on five hits and three walks in six innings. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Rotation spot in question?
Manager Alex Cora responded, "we'll talk about it," when asked about Buehler's status in Boston's starting rotation after Buehler gave up five runs over four innings Monday against the Angels, reports Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times.
Analysis
The right-hander walked seven batters and plunked two in that contest and has a 6.29 ERA with 13 homers allowed through 13 starts this year. Buehler struggled to a 5.38 ERA in 16 regular-season starts last year in his first campaign back from Tommy John surgery, though he had a 3.60 ERA over 15 innings in the playoffs. Boston then inked him to a one-year, $21.05 million contract in December, and the club is likely having buyer's remorse. The 30-year-old also has a $25 million mutual option with a $3 million buyout for 2026, and the Red Sox could cut their losses if he doesn't show signs of improvement soon.
The right-hander walked seven batters and plunked two in that contest and has a 6.29 ERA with 13 homers allowed through 13 starts this year. Buehler struggled to a 5.38 ERA in 16 regular-season starts last year in his first campaign back from Tommy John surgery, though he had a 3.60 ERA over 15 innings in the playoffs. Boston then inked him to a one-year, $21.05 million contract in December, and the club is likely having buyer's remorse. The 30-year-old also has a $25 million mutual option with a $3 million buyout for 2026, and the Red Sox could cut their losses if he doesn't show signs of improvement soon.