NFL Box Score Breakdown: Week 9 Snaps, Routes & Personnel Usage

I'm making one small change with the box scores this week, showing 'routes per game' and 'snaps per game' instead of route/snap shares in the season-long section (final five columns). I unfortunately don't have a quick way on Mondays to show route/target/AY shares for only the games a player participated in*, but showing the routes per game and targets per route (TPRR) generally gives a decent picture of the receiving usage for players that have missed time. Per usual, those guys that have missed games will have asterisks next to their names.

*If you're looking for target and air-yard shares that only include active games, you can find those updated every Tuesday on RotoWire's advanced receiving stats page. 

Stat Table Key

     

Weekly stats (first six columns)

• Snap = % of team snaps that player was on the field for
• Route = route share (routes run / QB dropbacks)
• RUSHING = rushing line
• RECEIVE = receiving line
• Tgt = targets
• AY = Air Yards

           

2025 Season Stats (final five columns)

• Sn'25 = snap share for the season
• Rt'25 = route share for the season
• TPRR = Targets per Route Run
• TS = Percentage of team's targets
• AYS = Percentage of team's air yards

The final five columns of each stat table below (written in italics) show numbers for the entire season. Bold lettering denotes especially strong marks relative to positional standards. Green lettering for the weekly stats denotes considerable increases in playing time and/or usage relative to past weeks. Red lettering denotes the opposite — a decreased role relative to prior games.

Ravens (28) at Dolphins (6) 

Ravens Personnel: 11 - 32%  |  12 - 29%  |  21 - 14%  |  22 - 20%

56 Plays — 27 DBs — 8.9 aDOT — 18-of-23 for 204 yards — 4 TDs, 0 INT, 2 sacks, 2 scrambles

• TE Mark Andrews scored Baltimore's first two TDs, but his snap and route share were in the same range as usual, with both he and Isaiah Likely hovering around 50-60%.
  • Andrews is purely a TD-hunting play; even more so than last year. It does seem like he still has enough juice for a fantasy-relevant second act with a different team, if he moves on from Baltimore after this season (as widely speculated).
• RB Derrick Henry didn't score a TD, but he's run for 312 yards on 64 carries over the past three games, and he's gone five in a row without a fumble since coughing it up in each of Baltimore's first three contests.
  • RB Keaton Mitchell had a role again, but he got just one of the garbage-time carries, with Baltimore instead leaving Henry in to pad stats. I wasn't surprised to see John Harbaugh get Henry over 100 yards, but it was odd that Henry took two more carries even after the milestone, with Baltimore up by 22 and less than four minutes remaining. Mitchell did then get the final carry before kneel-down time. He finished with four carries for a second straight week, getting three of those in the third quarter (which also accounted for five of his 10 snaps).
  • RB Justice Hill still got the two-minute drill and LDD work, but other snaps/touches that went to him in the past have now gone to Mitchell in back-to-back games.
• The further we get from Weeks 1-2, the more Zay Flowers' usage shares and averages start to look the same as last year's. I do think there's been some growth there, but not the breakout that was discussed back in September when he opened the year with more than 40% target share in Weeks 1-2.
  • Flowers has now accounted for 26.9% of the targets from Lamar Jackson this season. That's a strong number, but not much different from last year (25.6%).     

Dolphins Personnel: 11 - 55%  |  12 - 3%  |  21 - 19%  |  6OL - 18%

62 Plays — 43 DBs — 6.5 aDOT — 25-of-40 for 261 yards — 0 TD, 1 INT, 2 sacks, 1 scramble

• RB Jaylen Wright was a healthy scratch after getting 10 touches (seven in garbage time) the previous week. 
  • RB Ollie Gordon then got injured late in the second quarter, leaving De'Von Achane as Miami's only available RB.
    • Achane finished with a 92% snap share, his second-highest of the season.
    • He played 87% of snaps in the first half, with Gordon at 31%.
• TE Greg Dulcich finished third on the team in targets (five) and second in receiving yards (49), but his gains were modest in terms of snap share (37%) and route share (45%), with Tanner Conner handling 29% route share and Miami running some plays without a TE on the field.

Stock ⬆️: RB Keaton Mitchell

Stock ⬇️: RB Justice Hill

        

 Dolphins Injuries 🚑: RB Ollie Gordon (ankle), Rasul Douglas (toe), Chop Robinson (head) 

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Vikings (27) at Lions (24) 

Vikings Personnel: 11 - 56%  |  12 - 36%

59 Plays — 31 DBs — 10.4 aDOT — 14-of-25 for 143 yards — 2 TDs, 1 INT, 5 sacks, 1 scramble

• RB Aaron Jones had a better day than Jordan Mason, whose usage at least bounced back some after dwindling to 34% snap share and five touches in a blowout loss the week before.
• QB J.J. McCarthy was hot in the first half, before shifting over to pure game-manager mode and getting his team over the finish line. It was kind of like many of his college performances, but without strong passing efficiency on the final stat line.
  • Still, he's no Max Brosmer.
  • I have no clue what McCarthy will be as a pro, but I do think the Vikings want to develop him to find out, and that much of the recent "reporting" and discourse was either wish-casting or pure nonsense. And it all probably could've been avoided if McCarthy's awful game against Atlanta back in Week 2 had been played at 1:00 ET instead of 8:15.

Lions Personnel: 11 - 42%  |  12 - 48%

62 Plays — 42 DBs — 6.9 aDOT — 25-of-37 for 284 yards — 2 TDs, 0 INT, 5 sacks, 0 scrambles

• LT Taylor Decker (knee) and LG Christian Mahogany (knee) left the game early. Mahogany is expected to be out for a "long time," according to Lions coach Dan Campbell.
  • Detroit's O-line already has fallen off some from the 2023-24 level, with Decker fighting through injuries and the interior line no longer dominant. It's still a strength for the team, in general, but it might not be in the short term if Decker and Mahogany both miss time.
• WR Amon-Ra St. Brown remains on track for career highs in target rate and target share, while WR Jameson Williams had a beautiful deep TD but finished third on the team in targets.
• WR Isaac TeSlaa barely played again, with Kalif Raymond working as the lightly targeted No. 3 receiver while No. 2 TE Brock Wright also got a lot of playing time.
• TE Sam LaPorta did most of his damage on the opening drive, scoring his third TD in the past four games. His volume still isn't back to the rookie-year level, but his per-target efficiency is much better than in either 2023 or 2024 (9.9 YPT). He'd likely put up huge numbers if ARSB were to miss games.

Stock ⬆️: QB J.J. McCarthy 

Stock ⬇️: WR Isaac TeSlaa

        

 Vikings Injuries 🚑: RB Aaron Jones (shoulder)    

 Lions Injuries 🚑: LT Taylor Decker (knee), CB Terrion Arnold (back), LG Christian Mahogany (knee) 

Falcons (23) at Patriots (24) 

Falcons Personnel: 11 - 70%  |  21 - 26%

54 Plays — 40 DBs — 9.6 aDOT — 22-of-37 for 221 yards — 3 TDs, 0 INT, 1 sack, 2 scrambles

• Both starting guards left the game early, with Matthew Bergeron (ankle) bowing out in the first quarter and All-Pro Chris Lindstrom (foot) exiting in the fourth.
• RB Bijan Robinson played a career-high 96% of snaps while taking 22 of 24 RB opportunities.
• WR Drake London got 14 targets to Darnell Mooney's two.
  • I think this ends the on-and-off concern about London's volume being merely good (rather than excellent) when Mooney plays. It looks like more of a Kirk Cousins thing than a Michael Penix thing at this point.
• WR David Sills was the No. 3 receiver, getting 66% route share in negative game script, with his only target being an incomplete lob on 3rd-and-20 late in the fourth quarter.

Patriots Personnel: 11 - 38%  |  12 - 15%  |  21 - 34%  |  22 - 12%

68 Plays — 40 DBs — 9.7 aDOT — 19-of-29 for 259 yards — 2 TDs, 1 INT, 6 sacks, 5 scrambles

• With RB Rhamondre Stevenson (foot) inactive, RB TreVeyon Henderson played 75% of snaps and took 20 of 32 RB opportunities, gaining 87 total yards but ceding the lone goal-line carry to Terrell Jennings (who punched it in for a TD).
  • Henderson's 66% route share ranked sixth among RBs in Week 10. He didn't have any runs of more than eight yards, but he mostly avoided getting completely stuffed and didn't fumble. He did drop a pass, and was far from spectacular. But I guess it's progress relative to a few weeks ago, with Henderson at least solidly ahead of Jennings for non-goal-line work.
  • Jennings got both carries on the final drive, and he had 10 touches before that. Henderson dominated snaps, but Jennings was on the field largely for plays designed for him.
• Snap/route shares for WRs have bounced around a lot this year, apart from Kayshon Boutte routinely being fairly high (usually around 70-80%). In this one, Boutte suffered a hamstring injury and missed the second half.
  • WR workloads without Boutte in the second half:
    • Williams: 69% snaps, 71% routes, 1 target (no catch)
    • Diggs: 63% snaps, 65% routes, 2 targets, 27 yards
    • Hollins: 63% snaps, 53% routes, 1 target, 4 yards
    • Douglas: 22% snaps, 35% routes, 2 targets, 15 yards
    • Chism: 13% snaps, 12% routes, 0 targets
  • The key note here for fantasy is that Douglas didn't get more playing time after Boutte's exit, and fell well short of 50 percent snap/route shares yet again. Douglas did have a great game, however, continuing his recent trend of big plays and making an argument for more work moving forward. The Patriots clearly don't want him on the field for run plays, but it's not like the better blocking at WR has made much difference there.

Stock ⬆️: WR Drake London

Stock ⬇️: WR Darnell Mooney

        

 Falcons Injuries 🚑: LG Matthew Bergeron (ankle), RG Chris Lindstrom (foot), DE Leonard Floyd (hamstring)    

 Patriots Injuries 🚑: WR Kayshon Boutte (hamstring), CB Christian Gonzalez (head), LB Christian Elliss (hip) 

Broncos (18) at Texans (15) 

Broncos Personnel: 11 - 67%  |  12 - 11%  |  22 - 10%

61 Plays — 39 DBs — 12 aDOT — 18-of-37 for 173 yards — 2 TDs, 1 INT, 1 sack, 1 scramble

• There's no denying that Troy Franklin's recent volume dwarfs Courtland Sutton's, but Franklin is averaging just 6.0 YPT, with minimal production outside of two games, and the volume trend is at least partially matchup-based.
  • I'm not entirely dismissing the concern related to Sutton, but I do think some of the targets will migrate back towards him as the season progresses.
  • Marvin Mims missing all of this game and part of the last one in concussion protocol has also helped Franklin get more routes and targets, FWIW. That said, I don't want to sound too pessimistic on Franklin. The poor efficiency is partially due to some bad throws, and he's now shown some clearly positive stuff as both a big-time college player and a pro. 
• RB RJ Harvey made an impact on limited snaps again, with a 5-51-1 receiving line giving him four TDs over the past two weeks. He's working out alright for best ball, at least, but it's still a leap of faith to start him in a redraft lineup when the weekly workload is something like 30% of snaps and 5-8 touches (relying largely on a very high target rate and excellent per-touch efficiency).
  • From a long-term standpoint, it's not a bad thing to be relying on a high target rate and efficiency rather than pure volume. The hope is that he can combine all of those things at some point, at least to an extent. For now, the Broncos justifiably seem happy with J.K. Dobbins as their lead runner.
    • Some of the TDs moving from Harvey to Dobbins is a near-certainty, even if Harvey's role grows some at Dobbins' expense around the edges.
  • Zero concern about Tyler Badie's snaps/routes increasing, FWIW. That was a function of the Broncos having too many hurry-up / LDD situations against a brutal defense.

Texans Personnel: 11 - 68%  |  12 - 8%  |  6OL - 17%

72 Plays — 47 DBs — 8.4 aDOT — 23-of-40 for 216 yards — 0 TD, 0 INT, 4 sacks, 3 scrambles

• QB C.J. Stroud left in the second quarter after suffering a concussion at the end of a (late) slide. Two of his starting linemen also left early, leaving the Texans short-handed on the right side of the line.
• With Nico Collins and Christian Kirk back in the lineup, rookie WRs Jayden Higgins (39% route share) and Jaylin Noel (9% route share) combined for one carry and one target.
  • Kirk, meanwhile, had 26 yards on eight targets and 75% route share.
• TE Dalton Schultz continued his solid season, leading the team in receiving and tying for second with eight targets.

Stock ⬆️: TE Dalton Schultz

Stock ⬇️: WR Jaylin Noel

        

 Broncos Injuries 🚑: WR Trent Sherfield (knee), S J.T. Gray (hamstring)   

 Texans Injuries 🚑: QB C.J. Stroud (head), RT Tytus Howard (head), RG Ed Ingram (knee)

49ers (34) at Giants (24) 

49ers Personnel: 11 - 26%  |  12 - 8%  |  21 - 49%  |  22 - 17%

65 Plays — 28 DBs — 5.7 aDOT — 19-of-24 for 235 yards — 2 TDs, 0 INT, 2 sacks, 2 scrambles

• WR Jauan Jennings scored an early TD and seems to look healthier with each passing week, but the 49ers ended up attempting just 24 passes.
  • Mac Jones attempted 49 or more passes in each of his first four starts. He's now attempted 32 or fewer in three straight games, with two of those being run-heavy outings and the third (at Houston in Week 8) a case of not holding much possession. I still think there's a big-volume game coming soon for both San Francisco's QB and Jennings/Kittle, though Ricky Pearsall (knee) and Brandon Aiyuk (knee) could rejoin the picture soon-ish.
• DE Mykel Williams, a rookie first-round pick, is feared to have suffered an ACL tear.
  • San Francisco's D-line has already been devastated by injuries this season, with Nick Bosa (ACL) and Yetur Gross-Matos (knee) on injured reserve while Bryce Huff (hamstring) was inactive Sunday.

Giants Personnel: 11 - 91%  |  12 - 9%

56 Plays — 40 DBs — 5.9 aDOT — 24-of-33 for 191 yards — 2 TDs, 0 INT, 2 sacks, 5 scrambles

• RB Tyrone Tracy formed a near-50/50 split with Devin Singletary, after Tracy had dominated work the previous week post-Skattebo.
  • Before the fourth quarter, Tracy took 55% of snaps and nine of 17 RB opportunities, with all the rest going to Singletary. That's basically a 50/50 split, and Singletary then got 82% snap share and both RB touches in the fourth quarter.
  • Singletary took 62% of snaps on first down, 58% on second down and 42% on third down. However, if we ignore the fourth quarter, it was 50/50 on early downs, with Tracy getting a bit more work in clear passing situations.
    • Before halftime, Tracy handled a 56% route share, compared to 25% for Singletary.
    • After halftime, Tracy dropped to a 26% route share while Singletary jumped to 63%.
• WR Darius Slayton returned to a near-every-down role in his second game back from a hamstring injury, finishing second on the team in routes and targets (and first in receiving yards and air yards).
  • Slayton and Wan'Dale Robinson may both be able to hang around as fantasy WR3s, with drastically different profiles. But I'd probably still bet on Slayton being more of a WR4/5, akin to past seasons. He's someone we can start, not someone we want to start.
• WR Ray-Ray McCloud jumped right in as a near-every-down player but drew just one target from 91% route share.
  • What is it that NFL coaches see in this guy? I know the Giants have little else, but McCloud is far from a starting-caliber WR.

Stock ⬆️: RB Devin Singletary + WR Darius Slayton

Stock ⬇️: RB Tyrone Tracy

        

 49ers Injuries 🚑: DE Mykel Williams (knee)   

 Giants Injuries 🚑: C John Michael Schmitz (shin), WR Beaux Collins (neck), LB Darius Muasau (ankle) 

Chargers (27) at Titans (20) 

Chargers Personnel: 11 - 57%  |  21 - 15%  |  22 - 28%

65 Plays — 40 DBs — 10.6 aDOT — 19-of-29 for 250 yards — 2 TDs, 1 INT, 6 sacks, 5 scrambles

• Both starting OTs left the game in the first half and didn't return, with star LT Joe Alt looking at a multi-week absence due to his second high-ankle sprain of the season. It may even be a season-ending injury, which would be devastating for a team that lost LT Rashawn Slater to a patella tendon rupture during training camp.
  • Instead of having arguably the best OT duo in the league, the Chargers are left with 31-year-old Bobby Hart (groin), 29-year-old Trey Pipkins and guard Jamaree Salyer as the top options. And they also have starting right guard Mekhi Becton (knee) recovering from an injury that kept him out for Sunday's win.
• Prior to the final drive, RB Kimani Vidal played a team-high 81% of snaps while taking 13 of 18 RB opportunities.
  • On the last series, up by 8, Jaret Patterson got all four carries. That's not a great sign for Vidal, nor is the lack of yardage, but he did still have a solid lead apart from the final drive.
• WR Quentin Johnston broke out of his slump, albeit with just five targets, while Keenan Allen again saw limited playing time with the Chargers leaning on heavy packages.
  • Between O-line injuries and tougher matchups, I think the Chargers will shift back to more 11 personnel usage. That's good news for Allen's fantasy value, except that he's also been ceding some of those three-wide snaps to Tre' Harris lately.
    • In Weeks 1-6, Allen regularly played 80+ percent of snaps in 11 personnel. In Week 7, that dropped to 71%. In Week 8, it was 63%. In Week 9, it was 65%.
• TE Oronde Gadsden led the Chargers in routes (89%) for the first time, after falling one shy of Ladd McConkey the week before.

Titans Personnel: 11 - 75%  |  12 - 11%

44 Plays — 26 DBs — 8.6 aDOT — 12-of-21 for 145 yards — 0 TD, 0 INT, 4 sacks, 1 scramble

• The Titans ran just 44 plays, in part due to the usual reasons but also because of a defensive TD and special-teams score.
• WR Chimere Dike led the team in route share (92%) and returned a punt for a TD, but he finished with just three targets and five receiving yards.
• WR Elic Ayomanor led the team in targets and receiving yards, but his snap/route shares were down some compared to previous weeks.
  • All three of his catches came in the third quarter, but he then played just four of 10 snaps in the fourth quarter. There may be a minor injury at play here... or not.
• The workload unsurprisingly shifted a bit back toward Tony Pollard with the Titans keeping things semi-competitive. There's still no real sign of either Pollard or Tyjae Spears being startable in fantasy when the other guy is healthy. Fantasy hope here is mostly based on a trade or injury.
• TE Gunnar Helm chipped away at Chig Okonkwo's usage over the past month, but Okonkwo's snaps rebounded some in a more competitive game. The two combined for 25 yards on three targets, still showing no hope for fantasy. 

Stock ⬆️: RB Jaret Patterson

Stock ⬇️: WR Chimere Dike

        

 Chargers Injuries 🚑: LT Joe Alt (ankle), RT Bobby Hart (groin)   

Colts (20) at Steelers (27) 

Colts Personnel: 11 - 68%  |  12 - 28%

74 Plays — 56 DBs — 8.5 aDOT — 31-of-50 for 342 yards — 1 TD, 3 INTs, 5 sacks, 1 scramble

• Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce, Tyler Warren and Josh Downs all have target rates in the range of 22-25% and target shares in the range of 18-24% (for active games only).
  • Keep in mind that Downs and Pierce each missed a game, while Pittman and Warren have played every contest. The target share splits are narrower when all four play.
• Pierce still has zero TDs, despite averaging 3.4 catches for 71.6 yards per game, up from 2.3 catches for 51.5 YPG last year.
  • Last year, he scored seven times on 37 catches. This year, a lot of his usage and production stats are up by something like 50 percent, but without TDs it's been fairly low-impact for fantasy. The biggest surprise? A 22% TPRR, after years of being near the bottom of the league in target rate among starting WRs. It looks like Pierce is more than just a deep threat, though he's also very much still seeing downfield looks.

Steelers Personnel: 11 - 51%  |  12 - 13%  |  13 - 20%  |  6OL - 12%

61 Plays — 39 DBs — 2.7 aDOT — 25-of-35 for 203 yards — 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 sacks, 1 scramble

• RB Kenneth Gainwell got more playing time on pass plays relative to the previous week, but Jaylen Warren took 16 of the 20 RB carries and finally scored a couple of TDs.
  • Warren scored from 1 and 2 yards out. He now has eight of Pittsburgh's 13 carries inside the 5-yard line (63%) but those were the only two successful ones. Gainwell is 3-for-4, with two of those scores coming in the game Warren missed.
• WR DK Metcalf's surprisingly poor usage shares finally caught up to him, with no TD or huge gain to bail out the disappointing volume.
  • It's arguably a sell-low situation. Metcalf is fine as a WR3, but if people want to pay like there's real upside, sell him while you can. Aaron Rodgers doesn't seem to like Metcalf any more than he likes Calvin Austin or his tight ends.
  • Austin, meanwhile has nine catches for 84 yards on 12 targets in two games since returning from an injury, with route shares of 82% and 66%. He's a serviceable WR4, and maybe not far behind Metcalf, odd as that seems.
• WR Roman Wilson had a bone-headed fumble on his lone catch, trying to hurdle a defender up big in the fourth quarter. So much for any momentum from the previous week (4-74-1).
• TE Jonnu Smith drew five targets, but his snap and route shares dipped below 50% for the second time this season (and first time since Week 4). 
  • The Steelers haven't been quite as TE-dominated since Austin returned, but this was also a case of Pat Freiermuth and Darnell Washington getting a few more snaps at Smith's expense, which could be matchup-based or just a random Arthur Smith preference.

Stock ⬆️: WR Alec Pierce + WR Calvin Austin

Stock ⬇️: WR DK Metcalf

        

 Steelers Injuries 🚑: LG Isaac Seumalo (pectoral)  

Bears (47) at Bengals (42) 

Bears Personnel: 11 - 60%  |  12 - 25%  |  6OL - 11%

75 Plays — 43 DBs — 7.8 aDOT — 22-of-36 for 302 yards — 4 TDs, 0 INT, 2 sacks, 5 scrambles

• RB Kyle Monangai took 73% of the snaps and 31 of 37 RB opportunities in the absence of D'Andre Swift, who was inactive due to the groin injury that's been nagging him for much of the season (but not negatively impacting his performance until the absence).
  • Monangai looked good, but I kind of agree with the people who are saying that the Bengals defense ruins evaluations. Everyone is just eviscerating them right now, at borderline record-breaking pace.
• TE Colston Loveland ended up in the same role as the week before, with Cole Kmet returning from a one-game absence but then suffering a concussion in the first half. This time, Loveland took full advantage, putting up 6-118-2 while ranking second on the team in targets and air yards (71).
  • The game-winning TD involved some horrific defense, but we also saw the size, speed and agility that made Loveland such an early draft pick. 
• WR Rome Odunze somehow finished with two targets and no catches in an epic shootout where all of his teammates put up big fantasy scores.
  • It's been a truly maddening season. The previous game in Baltimore seemed like a big rebound, with Odunze putting up 7-114-0 while easily leading the team in targets and air yards.
    •  I suppose the season-long shares (23% targets, 39% air yards) are a reasonable guess of what to expect moving forward. That's fine, but a far cry from the hot start.
• The Kmet injury didn't really help Olamide Zaccheaus in terms of playing time, and all but 13 yards of Zaccheaus' production came before halftime.

Bengals Personnel: 11 - 82%  |  12 - 9%

65 Plays — 50 DBs — 9.3 aDOT — 31-of-47 for 470 yards — 4 TDs, 2 INTs, 3 sacks, 0 scrambles

• RB Samaje Perine suffered an ankle injury early in the game, which led to Chase Brown playing 95% of snaps and taking 25 of 27 RB opportunities.
  • Brown's 14 targets tied for the most by any RB in a single game this year.
• The with-Flacco target shares flattened out in this one, with WR Ja'Marr Chase ranking third on the team in targets and getting just one more look than Andrei Iosivas.
• TE Noah Fant scored a TD but again landed south of 50% route share while rotating with Tanner Hudson and Drew Sample.

Stock ⬆️: RB Chase Brown + RB Kyle Monangai + TE Colston Loveland

Stock ⬇️: WR Rome Odunze + TE Cole Kmet

        

 Bears Injuries 🚑: TE Cole Kmet (head), CB Josh Blackwell (head), DE Dayo Odeyingbo (foot) 

 Bengals Injuries 🚑: RB Samaje Perine (ankle), DE Shemar Stewart (knee)

Panthers (16) at Packers (13) 

Panthers Personnel: 11 - 63%  |  12 - 17%  |  13 - 15%

54 Plays — 23 DBs — 6.6 aDOT — 11-of-20 for 102 yards — 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack, 2 scrambles

• RB Rico Dowdle took full control of Carolina's backfield with a role that was on par with his Weeks 5-6 usage (when Hubbard was inactive).
  • Dowdle played 74% of snaps (his second most this season) and took 28 of 34 RB opportunities (82%) en route to 141 total yards and two TDs.
  • Hubbard is merely a handcuff now, while Dowdle is somewhere in the mid-to-low RB1 range.
  • LT Ikem Ekwonu, LG Damien Lewis and RT Taylor Moton are all playing at a high level, which has allowed Carolina to overcome injury issues at C and RG (it also helps that backup center Austin Corbett has 71 career starts). I knew the offensive line was a relative strength for Carolina this year, but I didn't think it would be this impressive, not to mention Dowdle and Dave Canales doing good work. The concern here for fantasy is that the offense will still have intermittent collapse weeks until Bryce Young hits his growth spurt. 
• It's the same story as ever for Tetairoa McMillan, who has near-dominant usage shares in one of the league's least valuable passing games.
  • It does seem possible/probable that Dowdle's success will open up favorable opportunities for McMillan going forward, with defenses devoting more energy to stopping the run. There's also pass-game value in rushing efficiency (even if it decreases the pass rate) because it can help sustain drives (to boost play volume and set up red-zone chances).

Packers Personnel: 11 - 65%  |  12 - 24%

63 Plays — 38 DBs — 8.8 aDOT — 26-of-37 for 273 yards — 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack, 0 scrambles

• TE Tucker Kraft suffered an ACL tear early in the third quarter, bringing an early end to one of 2025's most impressive breakout seasons.
  • After Kraft's exit, TE Luke Musgrave took 78% of snaps and caught each of his three targets for 34 yards. Musgrave will rightfully be a hot pickup in deep leagues and TE-premium formats, having shown potential back in 2023 as a rookie (when he was drafted 36 picks ahead of Kraft and eight ahead of Jayden Reed).
• WR Matthew Golden suffered a shoulder injury a few plays after Kraft's exit and also missed the rest of the game.
  • After Golden left, here's how WR work broke down:
    • Doubs: 90% snaps, 4 targets, 43 yards
    • Watson: 62% snaps, 3 targets, 6 yards
    • Heath: 59% snaps, 1 target, 11 yards
    • Williams: 41% snaps, 2 targets, 12 yards
  • Watson had a 52-yard catch among his four targets, after a strong 2025 debut the week before, but it was odd that his snap/route shares were actually higher in the first half (88% route share) than in the second half (71% route share) even though Golden left during the third quarter. We might see Watson with 90% route share next week, or he might go down to 60%. He should be rostered everywhere after the Kraft/Golden injuries, but be careful with assumptions when it comes to Matt LaFleur's roles for his non-Jacobs skill-position players.

Stock ⬆️: RB Rico Dowdle + TE Luke Musgrave + WR Romeo Doubs

Stock ⬇️: RB Chuba Hubbard + WR Xavier Legette

        

 Panthers Injuries 🚑: RG Chandler Zavala (elbow)

 Packers Injuries 🚑: TE Tucker Kraft (ACL), WR Matthew Golden   

Jaguars (30) at Raiders (29) 

Jaguars Personnel: 11 - 57%  |  6OL - 33%

77 Plays — 39 DBs — 8.5 aDOT — 23-of-34 for 220 yards — 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack, 4 scrambles

• The Jaguars lost four starters to injuries, including WR Brian Thomas (ankle) and WR Dyami Brown (concussion).
  • Thomas suffered a high-ankle sprain at the end of a 34-yard catch-and-run with eight minutes left in the fourth quarter. He came back for a couple of snaps but then left the game for good.
  • Brown was concussed on a kickoff return at the start of the same drive on which Thomas was injured. It was only for the final three drives that the Jaguars were short-handed at WR, and they still put up 17 points on those drives.
• WR Parker Washington got seven of his nine targets before Thomas and Brown were hurt.
  • Washington had a full-time role throughout, with Austin Trammell and Tim Jones joining him late in the game.
  • Brown shouldn't be out for too long, but Thomas may be facing a multi-game absence, on top of Travis Hunter (knee) missing at least a month. The opportunity for Washington is very real, and he's already (oddly) leading the team with a 25% TPRR.
  • Tim Patrick (groin) is another candidate to start if Thomas and Brown miss time, but Patrick would first need to be healthy and active. He was inactive Sunday.
• RB roles were essentially the same as pre-bye, with Travis Etienne's volume propped up by overall team volume (77 plays) in an OT game where the Jags had next to nothing at WR/TE by the end of the game.
• TE Hunter Long dropped to 40% route share and also dropped a potential TD, with Jacksonville using six linemen on one-third of plays.
  • The six-OL usage wasn't just in response to WR injuries. Jacksonville used six O-linemen on 27.5% of snaps even before Thomas and Brown were injured.

Raiders Personnel: 11 - 30%  |  12 - 58%

60 Plays — 43 DBs — 4.4 aDOT — 29-of-39 for 284 yards — 4 TDs, 1 INT, 2 sacks, 2 scrambles

• This was the offense many envisioned, with Ashton Jeanty in a near-every-down role (90% snaps) and Brock Bowers with dominant receiving usage.
  • Bowers has topped 100 yards in both of his healthy games this year, looking like he might have provided first-round value in fantasy if not for the PCL injury.
• Tyler Lockett was the No. 3 WR, ahead of Jack Bech and Dont'e Thornton (healthy scratch), but No. 2 TE Michael Mayer got far more playing time (and targets) than Lockett.

Stock ⬆️: WR Parker Washington + TE Brock Bowers + QB Geno Smith

Stock ⬇️: WR Jack Bech + QB Trevor Lawrence

        

 Jaguars Injuries 🚑: WR Brian Thomas (ankle), WR Dyami Brown (head), LG Ezra Cleveland (ankle), CB Jourdan Lewis (shoulder)    

Saints (10) at Rams (34) 

Saints Personnel: 11 - 68%  |  12 - 13%

40 Plays — 26 DBs — 9 aDOT — 15-of-25 for 176 yards — 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack, 0 scrambles

• RB Alvin Kamara played 79% of snaps through three quarters, with nine of 11 RB opportunities.
  • In the fourth quarter, Devin Neal played 10 of the 11 snaps.
• The nine targets for Rashid Shaheed look especially good in light of the Saints running just 40 plays. Was the usage partially a trade-value tactic? TBD.

Rams Personnel: 11 - 49%  |  13 - 45%

77 Plays — 34 DBs — 10.1 aDOT — 24-of-32 for 281 yards — 4 TDs, 0 INT, 2 sacks, 0 scrambles

• WR Puka Nacua missed much of the second half with a rib injury that isn't expected to be serious.
  • WR Konata Mumpfield took most of Nacua's snaps, jumping to 52% snap share in the second half, while Jordan Whittington and Xavier Smith actually saw more playing time early in the game.
• RB Kyren Williams took six consecutive carries on the final drive before the Rams shifted to kneel-downs. Before that, Blake Corum took three straight carries on the penultimate drive (also with the Rams up by 24 in the fourth quarter).
  • The late work for Williams partly appeared to be an effort to get him to 100 yards. 
  • Before halftime, Williams took 81% of snaps and 12 of 15 RB opportunities.

Stock ⬆️: QB Matthew Stafford

Stock ⬇️: RB Alvin Kamara

        

 Saints Injuries 🚑: RT Taliese Fuaga (ankle), TE Jack Stoll (ankle)    

 Rams Injuries 🚑: WR Puka Nacua (ribs) 

Chiefs (21) at Bills (28) 

Chiefs Personnel: 11 - 61%  |  12 - 28%

57 Plays — 38 DBs — 14.4 aDOT — 15-of-34 for 250 yards — 0 TD, 1 INT, 3 sacks, 1 scramble

• RB Kareem Hunt took on 81% of snaps and 13 of 19 RB opportunities, while Brashard Smith essentially just had the same role as in previous weeks (without the benefit of any garbage time to pad stats).
• WR Rashee Rice topped 80% for both snap and route share again, though his target rate dropped to normal range against a tougher defense.
  • In addition to the 33% target rate, Rice has back-to-back games with two carries, looking a bit like KC's version of CeeDee Lamb.

Bills Personnel: 11 - 66%  |  22 - 19%

64 Plays — 30 DBs — 4.6 aDOT — 23-of-26 for 273 yards — 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 sacks, 1 scramble

• RB James Cook unsurprisingly got a larger share of the backfield workload than usual in a close game against Kansas City. He didn't score a TD but played well otherwise. 
  • What was interesting for fantasy was Ray Davis barely playing and taking just one touch, while Ty Johnson got four touches (including a goal-line TD) on 20% snap share. Last year, Davis was the clear handcuff to Cook, with Johnson more just a passing-down guy. This year, the Bills seem to have soured on Davis some and might give Johnson more of the work if Cook were to miss time. Both backups are worth rostering on benches in very deep formats. Neither needs to be owned in shallower setups.
• TE Dalton Kincaid made his per-route numbers even more outrageous than they already were, putting up 6-101-1 on just 55% route share (tied with Curtis Samuel for fourth on the team in route share).

Stock ⬆️: 

Stock ⬇️: 

        

 Chiefs Injuries 🚑: RT Jawaan Taylor (ankle)    

 Bills Injuries 🚑: DL Michael Hoecht (Achilles)

Seahawks (38) at Commanders (14) 

Seahawks Personnel: 11 - 38%  |  12 - 33%  |  21 - 15%  |  22 - 10%

48 Plays — 24 DBs — 8.4 aDOT — 21-of-24 for 330 yards — 4 TDs, 1 INT, 0 sacks, 0 scrambles