Buccaneers vs. Falcons Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions for Thursday Night Football
The NFC South will take center stage for Thursday Night Football with the Buccaneers hosting the Falcons. The Buccaneers are tied with the Panthers at 7-6, so this is an important game for their chances of winning the division. Let's look at the betting side of this game and highlight three NFL picks tonight.
Mike Barner's season record: 42-39 (-5.56 units)
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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Betting Odds
Buccaneers: Spread -4.5 (-105), -225 Moneyline (Bet MGM)
Falcons: Spread +4.5 (-105), +200 Moneyline (FanDuel)
Game Total: 44.5 points (DraftKings)
Mike Evans (collarbone) has been activated from injured reserve and is listed as questionable for this game. However, his teammate Cade Otton (knee) is considered doubtful. The Falcons have ruled out Drake London (knee) and listed Kyle Pitts Sr. (knee) as questionable.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Betting Picks & Props
Bijan Robinson over 39.5 receiving yards (-111 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
In what was a difficult matchup against the Seahawks last week, Robinson ran 20 times for 86 yards. The Seahawks held him in check in the passing game, leaving him with two receptions for eight yards. That broke his streak of three straight games with at least 37 receiving yards. Overall, he has produced six games with at least 50 receiving yards this season.
Robinson has even reached 100 receiving yards in a game two times. One of them was in Week 1 when he caught six of seven targets for 100 yards and one touchdown versus the Buccaneers. The Buccaneers have struggled to slow down running backs in the passing game for much of the season, allowing 10.31 yards per target to the position. Given the lack of options that the Falcons have at wide receiver, Robinson could receive plenty of targets in this favorable matchup.
Kirk Cousins Interception: YES (-122 FanDuel) for 1 Unit
Cousins had a disastrous performance versus the Seahawks, throwing for 162 yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions. He has made four starts this year, throwing for fewer than 200 yards in three of them. Since Penix went down for the season, Cousins has thrown at least one pick in two of three games.
When Cousins appeared in 14 games last season, he was intercepted 16 times. Over his last 45 games, Cousins has thrown 38 picks. The Buccaneers have 12 interceptions this season, so don't be surprised if they pick off Cousins at least one time.
Chase McLaughlin over 1.5 field goals made (-148 DraftKings) for 1 Unit
Baker Mayfield has just five total touchdowns over the last four games. The Buccaneers have still been moving the ball, though, which has left plenty of field goal attempts for McLaughlin. In those four games, he made at least two field goals three times.
McLaughlin has emerged with at least two made field goals in seven of his 13 games. That includes at least two made field goals in four of his six home games. What also makes this prop so appealing is his range. He is 9-for-9 on attempts of at least 50 yards this season. Over three seasons with the Buccaneers, he has converted 24 of 27 attempts of at least 50 yards.
Check out the latest NFL player props page at RotoWire to find the best odds at the leading NFL betting sites.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction
Anything can happen on Thursday Night Football, especially when division rivals face off. However, the Falcons being without Penix and London might be too much for them to overcome. The Buccaneers are in a great spot to take care of business at home and improve their chances of making the playoffs.
Buccaneers 23, Falcons 17
