Top WNBA DFS Picks and Lineup Tips for Thursday, July 3

Alyssa Thomas should have a chance to perform well when the Phoenix Mercury face the Dallas Wings as part of Thursday's five-game slate. Daniel Dobish offers his best WNBA DFS picks for Thursday.
Top WNBA DFS Picks and Lineup Tips for Thursday, July 3
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WNBA DFS Strategies for Thursday, July 3

The 2025 WNBA season rolls on Thursday with a total of five games. The Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever do battle at 7:00 p.m. ET on Prime Video, the only nationally televised game on the slate. Also, at 7:00 p.m., the Los Angeles Sparks and New York Liberty tangle. At 7:30 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Dream host the Seattle Storm. We have a pair of 8:00 p.m. ET tip times, as the Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings meet, while the Washington Mystics and Minnesota Timberwolves do battle.

Let's check out the best options for DFS players heading into Thursday. There are plenty of good values available.

WNBA Schedule Today

  • Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever
  • Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty
  • Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream
  • Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings
  • Washington Mystics at Minnesota Lynx

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Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever

Line: Aces -4.5
O/U: 162.5

Injury Updates and Impact on WNBA DFS Lineups - Aces vs. Fever

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Las Vegas

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Megan GustafsonCLower LegGTD (Doubtful)7/3/2025
Cheyenne Parker-TyusFNot Injury RelatedOUT8/15/2025

Indiana

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Caitlin ClarkGGroinOUT7/5/2025
Damiris DantasCNot Injury RelatedOUT7/9/2025
Kristy WallaceGNot Injury RelatedOFS5/1/2026

WNBA DFS Showdown Picks and Lineup Building Strategy

The Aces (8-8) and the Fever (9-8) will tangle at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, but the game loses a little bit of its luster with superstar Caitlin Clark (groin) sidelined again.

The Fever will return home for the first time since winning the Commissioner's Cup earlier this week against the Lynx, but the celebration will be a bit muted without their top player. Since Clark is out, Aari McDonald figures to have a key role in the offense yet again.

The Aces look to maintain their dominance in this series, as Las Vegas has won 16 consecutive in the series dating back to the last victory by Indiana at home on Aug. 27, 2019.

Both of these teams entered the season with championship expectations, but injuries to their top stars have kept both teams from achieving high rates of success. Las Vegas is ninth in the WNBA with 80.7 points per game, while allowing 82.1 points per game, also ninth. The Aces are also a poor shooting team, converting just 40.8 percent from the field, while allowing teams to hit 44.4 percent from the floor, ranking ninth in the league. They also rank 10th against three-pointers with a 34.8 percent mark allowed.

The Fever fifth in scoring (83.4 PPG) while also ranking second in field-goal percentage (46.2 percent). They are sixth in both scoring defense (79.7 PPG) and field-goal percentage (42.9 percent), while leading the WNBA in three-point defensive percentage (27.5 percent).

Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty

Line: Liberty -10
O/U: 170

Injury Updates and Impact on WNBA DFS Lineups - Sparks vs. Liberty

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Los Angeles

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Cameron BrinkFKneeOUT7/5/2025

New York

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Jonquel JonesCAnkleOUT7/22/2025
Raquel CarreraCPersonalOFS5/1/2026
Ivana DojkicGNot Injury RelatedOFS5/1/2026
Seehia RidardFPersonalOFS5/1/2026
Annika SoltauFNot Injury RelatedOFS5/1/2026
Betnijah Laney-HamiltonGKneeOFS5/1/2026

WNBA DFS Showdown Picks and Lineup Building Strategy

The Sparks (5-12) and the Liberty (11-5) looks like a mismatch on paper. Los Angeles has dropped five of the past six games, but the team is mostly healthy now. Kelsey Plum missed some time earlier in the season, but she is back and 100 percent.

The defending WNBA champion Liberty fired out of the chute with nine straight wins to open the season, but New York has dropped five of the past seven games, while going 1-4 in the last five matchups.

Defense has gone south for the Liberty, as they've allowed at least 89 points in four of the past five matchups. Look for Los Angeles to try and get off to a hot start.

The books have this total set a bit high, and that's because New York has struggled on defense lately, while Los Angeles has struggled at that end of the floor all season. The Sparks rank 11th in the league with 86.8 points per game allowed and 44.7 percent efficiency from the field. They're slightly better at guarding the three, allowing 33.7 percent efficiency to rank eighth. Still, Sabrina Ionescu and company have to be looking forward to this matchup.

Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream

Line: Storm -1.5
O/U: 162.5

Injury Report - Storm vs. Dream

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Seattle

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Katie Lou SamuelsonFKneeOFS5/1/2026
Jordan HorstonGKneeOFS5/1/2026
Nika MuhlGKneeOFS5/1/2026

Atlanta

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Rhyne HowardGUpper BodyOUT7/7/2025
Holly WinterburnGUndisclosedOFS5/1/2026

WNBA DFS Showdown Picks and Lineup Building Strategy

One of the most underrated games of the night features the Storm (10-7) and Dream (11-6) facing off in Atlanta.

These teams met in Seattle at the end of May, with Atlanta coming away with a 94-87 victory. While Brittney Griner had a disasterous outing, going 1-of-7 with just two points, Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray were successful against the Storm defense.

Howard finished with 33 points on 12-for-24 shooting, including 4-for-12 from downtown, while adding six boards, five dimes, two steals and a block. Gray hit eight of her 15 field-goal attempts while going 3-for-6 from behind the arc, ending up with 28 points, four rebounds and two assists.

Seattle had four players in double digits in that first meeting with Atlanta, led by veteran Skylar Diggins, who paced the team with 20 points.

Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings

Line: Mercury -12
O/U: 166.5

Injury Report - Mercury vs. Wings

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Phoenix

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Murjanatu MusaCAnkleGTD (Questionable)7/3/2025
Alexa HeldGChestOUT7/7/2025
Julia AyraultGPersonalOFS5/1/2026
Helena PueyoGPersonalOFS5/1/2026

Dallas

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Myisha Hines-AllenFAnkleGTD (Questionable)7/3/2025
DiJonai CarringtonGRibsGTD (Doubtful)7/3/2025
Maddy SiegristFKneeOUT7/7/2025
Arike OgunbowaleGThumbOUT7/7/2025
Tyasha HarrisGKneeOFS5/1/2026
Lou Lopez SenechalGNot Injury RelatedOFS5/1/2026

WNBA DFS Showdown Picks and Lineup Building Strategy

Wings rookie Paige Bueckers gets another crack to try and solve the Mercury on Thursday. Phoenix won the first meeting 93-80 in Phoenix on June 11. 

While the rest of the team had lackluster performances, Bueckers was on fire, hitting 13 of 19 field-goal attempts, including 5-for-7 efficiency from downtown, going for 35 points with six rebounds, four assists, a steal and a block.

However, the Mercury are above-average in most defensive categories, allowing 79.0 points per game (fourth), 42.8 percent field-goal percentage (fifth) and 32.1 percent three-point percentage (fifth), so don't expect Bueckers to tear it up again, at least not at that pace.

On the flip side, a Mercury DFS stack might be in order, as they are scoring 83.8 points per game (fourth), while hitting 34.8 percent (third) from behind the three-point line. Dallas allows 85.7 points (10th), 44.5 percent field-goal percentage (10th) and 36.6 percent three-point percentage (12th).

Washington Mystics at Minnesota Lynx

Line: Lynx -11.5
O/U: 155.5

Injury Report - Mystics vs. Lynx

Note: All return dates are just estimates

Washington

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Sug SuttonGLower BodyGTD (Questionable)7/3/2025
Georgia AmooreGKneeOFS5/1/2026
Bernadett HatarCNot Injury RelatedOFS5/1/2026

Minnesota

NamePosInjuryStatusReturn
Karlie SamuelsonGFootOUT7/5/2025
Aubrey GriffinGKneeOUT10/1/2025
Dorka JuhaszFNot Injury RelatedOFS5/1/2026

WNBA DFS Showdown Picks and Lineup Building Strategy

The Mystics (8-9) and the Lynx (14-3) will meet at Target Center in Minneapolis.

Washington has been playing good basketball lately, but it will find a Minnesota team likely as angry as a hive of bees. The Lynx lost Tuesday's Commissioner's Cup Final on their home court, so Minnesota will likely be in a foul mood.

The Mystics won 68-64 against the Lynx on June 24 in the first meeting this season in Washington, D.C., so Minnesota will have revenge on its mind.

Rookie Kiki Iriafen posted a double-double with 11 points and 11 rebounds in that first meeting, while the Mystics took advantage of the fact Napheesa Collier was sidelined due to injury. She has since returned to action, and Minnesota should get back on track.

Top WNBA DFS Picks: Key Players to Watch

FanDuel

Again, I can't help but think that the Lynx will be in a foul mood after losing the Commissioner's Cup Championship earlier this week, and Collier and Minnesota should be on a mission to send a message. The poor visiting Mystics are going to be in some trouble. If you're building a stack around the Mercury, rolling with Thomas as the centerpiece of your offense is a strong move. She is averaging 40.13 FanDuel points per game, and what the Wings struggle mightily on the defensive end of the court. Satou Sabally is also a strong play against her former team. With Jonquel Jones still out due to an ankle injury, pairing the Sabally sisters on Thursday's slate could also be beneficial.

Unlocking Value: WNBA DFS Sleeper Picks

DraftKings

Whitcomb gets a crack at the porous Dallas defense. The backcourt star could exceed salary expectations by a mile. While the Phoenix offense should be money, don't forget to include the copper -- Kahleah Copper. She should find plenty of open spaces to operate against the very giving Wings. It could also be a good idea try and squeeze Ionescu into one of your lineups, as she should have an opportunity to bounce back from the perimeter after going just 6-for-26 from long range over her last four appearances. If Sug Sutton is sidelined for Washington, Lucy Olsen could be a sneaky steal at a low price.

Unlocking Value: WNBA DFS Sleeper Picks

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Hockey writer, handicapper, unskilled fourth liner, 25-year fantasy sports and gambling industry veteran, FSWA's 2024 Player Notes Writer of the Year, and five-time FSWA award winner. Twitter: @danieledobish
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