NFL Odds Tracker: NFL Week 13 Odds, Over/Unders and Spreads
The goal of this article is to look at the key line moves for the week and what they mean in terms of betting. Key numbers in the NFL to watch for are 3, 7, 6, 14, and 10. When a line crosses through one of these, it warrants significant attention.
On the totals side, the key numbers are 41, 43, 37, 44, 51, 33, 47.
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NFL Week 13 Odds
Week 13 NFL Lines (odds via BetMGM)
*home team in bold
| Favorite | Underdog | Opening Line | Opening O/U | Current Line | Current O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | Green Bay | DET -2.5 | 49.5 | DET -2.5 | 48.0 | |
| Kansas City | Dallas | KAN -4.5 | 47.5 | KAN -3.5 | 52.0 | |
| Baltimore | Cincinnati | BAL -5.5 | 49.5 | BAL -7.0 | 51.5 | |
| Philadelphia | Chicago | PHI -7.0 | 45.5 | PHI -7.0 | 44.0 | |
| Miami | New Orleans | MIA -6.0 | 44.5 | MIA -6.0 | 41.5 | |
| Atlanta | NY Jets | ATL -1.5 | 43.5 | ATL -2.5 | 39.5 | |
| Jacksonville | Tennessee | JAC -1.5 | 45.5 | JAC -6.5 | 41.5 | |
| Indianapolis | Houston | HOU -1.5 | 44.5 | IND -4.0 | 44.0 | |
| LA Rams | Carolina | LAR -3.5 | 45.5 | LAR -10.5 | 44.5 | |
| Tampa Bay | Arizona | TB -3.5 | 48.5 | TB -2.5 | 43.0 | |
| San Francisco | Cleveland | SF -6.0 | 42.5 | SF -5.0 | 36.5 | |
| Seattle | Minnesota | MIN -1.5 | 43.5 | SEA -11.5 | 41.0 | |
| Buffalo | Pittsburgh | BUF -4.5 | 46.5 | BUF -3.5 | 47.0 | |
| LA Chargers | Las Vegas | LAC -6.5 | 44.5 | LAC -9.5 | 40.5 | |
| Denver | Washington | WAS -2.5 | 46.5 | DEN -5.5 | 44.0 | |
| New England | NY Giants | NE -3.0 | 42.5 | NE -7.5 | 45.5 |
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NFL Week 13 Key Injury News
QB - Michael Penix Jr, Carson Wentz, Kyler Murray, Jayden Daniels, Dillon Gabriel, Aaron Rodgers
RB - Austin Ekeler, Joe Mixon, Cam Skattebo, Najee Harris, Antonio Gibson, Omarion Hampton, Bucky Irving, Trey Benson, James Conner, Braelon Allen, Kendre Miller, D'Andre Swift, Emari Demercado, Josh Jacobs, Bhayshul Tuten
WR - Tee Higgins, Malik Nabers, Darnell Mooney, Mike Evans, Tyreek Hill, Darius Slayton, Cedric Tillman, Brandon Aiyuk, Garrett Wilson, Joshua Palmer, Christian Kirk, Calvin Ridley, Brian Thomas, Marvin Mims, Christian Kirk, Chris Godwin, Travis Hunter, Matthew Golden , Romeo Doubs, Travis Hunter, Drake London
TE - Brenton Strange, Darren Waller, Dalton Kincaid, Tucker Kraft, Sam LaPorta
Other notables
OL Landon Dickerson, LB Matt Milano, LB Jack Sanborn, DB Terrion Arnold, S Justin Reid, OL Ronnie Stanley, DT Ed Oliver, OL Taylor Decker, OL Rashawn Slater, OL Jake Matthews, LB Fred Warner, DE Grady Jarrett, DE Trey Hendrickson, CB Trevon Diggs, S Jaylen Reed, DE Maxx Crosby, CB Patrick Surtain, DE Marcus Davenport, DE Trey Hendrickson, OL Lane Johnson
Stay on top of the latest NFL injury news and other top NFL news here at Rotowire.
NFL Week 13 Odds Observations
- The highest spread is Seahawks -11.5 vs Vikings
- The lowest spread is Falcons -2.5 vs Jets
- There are 5 games with a line between -2.5 and -3.5 points
- The highest total game is Chiefs/Cowboys 52.0; the lowest total game is 49ers/Browns 36.5
- There are 5 road favorites in Week 12
- There is a heavy concentration of totals between 41.0-45.0 points
- The highest team totals are Ravens, Chiefs, Rams, Patriots, Eagles, Seahawks
- The lowest team totals are Titans, Vikings, Browns, Raiders, Panthers
NFL Week 13 Line Movement
A quarterback is the only position that can significantly move an NFL point spread, and a top-tier QB can be worth up to seven or more points. For all other positions, the impact is minimal and usually less than a single point, unless multiple players on the same unit are injured. When a unit has multiple starters out, it is often overlooked in the handicapping world. OL, DL, secondary, and WR are the units that are impacted the most.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
The Titans were the worst team in football last year and have managed to sink even lower as they have just 1 win (22-21 against Arizona which was lucky). They should be 0-11, but they did give the Seahawks and Texans close games in the last two weeks.
The last time the Jaguars were this high of a road favorite it was 11/26/17 against the Cardinals and they lost outright.
The game opened originally with the Jaguars installed as -1.5 point road favorites and it has moved a full 5 points in favor of the Jaguars -6.5 which is just under the key number of 7. When a team is point spread unchartered territory it is usually a bad sign (see Panthers as home favorites), and I can see the Titans (third game in a row at home) keeping this game within the -6.5 point spread.
The total opened 45.5 and has dropped to 41.5 which is an indication of the Titans poor offense, but also the strong Jaguars defense. This one smells like 19-16 in favor of the Jags, although I would not be surprised if the Titans were to pull off the upset.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts are regular visitors to the line movement article as they have seen their power rating move the most along with the Rams, Seahawks, and Patriots (margin of victory is typically the biggest indicator).
This line actually opened with the Texans as -1.5 road favorites, but is now at Colts -4.0 home favorites for a 5.5 point line move. It peaked with Colts as -4.5 so there has been buyback on the Texans. Most of the Colts games have also seen an upward tick on their totals, but this game opened 44.5 and is currently sitting at 44.0. The peak was 46.5, but saw a sharp dip down to 44.0 on Monday.
Los Angeles Rams at Carolina Panthers
The Rams are in the top 5 in terms of margin of victory and margin against the spread which means their lines are now seeing significant movement as they are now the Super Bowl favorites.
The Panthers are the true definition of Jekyll and Hyde, but their wins have come with very small margins and their losses have been blowouts.
The Rams opened -3.5 point road favorites, and the reopen number was -9.5. That was not high enough as it was under the key number of 10 and it went up to 10.5 after the Panthers loss to the 49ers on Monday night.
There have only been two double digit road favorites this season and they have gone 1-1 against the spread. Teams in this spot are 3-6-1 in their last 10 ATS. The total opened 45.5 and is now sitting at 44.5 so all of the movement is coming on the Rams.
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks are another one of the line movement favorites, but the Vikings are really starting to crater which has made for a huge line swing in this game.
Seattle opened as -1.5 home favorites and saw it jump to -7 when it reopened last week. The momentum did not stop as they continued to climb incrementally to -8.5, -9.0, -10.0, etc and now is all the way up to -11.5.
The total opened 43.5 and has dropped to 41.5 which is important because 43 is a key number on totals.
Denver Broncos at Washington Commanders
The Commanders opened -2.5 home favorites, but the Broncos reopened -6.5 and it has dropped to -5.5. Without Jayden Daniels, the Commanders are looking like a bottom 5 team as their defense has also been decimated with injuries. The total opened 46.5 and has dropped to 43.5.
