AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview
The PGA Tour heads back to California for the first Signature Event of the year with the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. An 80-player field will rotate between Spyglass Hill Golf Course and Pebble Beach Golf Links over the first two days before playing the final two rounds at Pebble. The no-cut event includes the 2026 PGA Tour debuts of Rory McIlroy and Tommy Fleetwood and is headlined by tournament favorite Scottie Scheffler at +290. Last year, McIlroy (11-1 odds) defeated Shane Lowry by two strokes for his 27th Tour victory.
All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook as of 12:00 PM ET Wednesday
Course Overview
Pebble Beach: Par 72, 6,989 yards; Spyglass Hill: Par 72, 7,071 yards
These are the average rankings of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am champions over the last five years:
- SG: Off-the-Tee: 19.2
- SG: Approach: 12.0
- SG: Around-the-Green: 17.4
- SG: Putting: 8.6
- SG: Tee-to-Green: 4.6
- Driving Distance: 23.2
- Driving Accuracy: 36.4
One of the most iconic golf courses in the world which is set alongside the Pacific Ocean, we'll mostly focus on Pebble Beach for this breakdown, although Spyglass Hill did implement strokes gained data for the first time last year. With that said, Spyglass is the slightly tougher venue of the two with more water in play and narrower fairways. Pebble Beach has hosted six U.S. Opens and is known for having the smallest greens on Tour at about 2,500 square feet less than the average venue. As a result, it's going to be difficult for even the most dialed-in players to hit greens in regulation with regularity, so we'll definitely want to give a boost to those with strong short games. Off the tee, players are faced with reasonably sized fairways that are surrounded by modest rough, and with only one par-4 over 450 yards, golfers will not be forced to use driver often as it's a difficult course to overpower. I think this is a good week to focus on accurate drivers, players that approach it well from inside 125 yards and those that scramble efficiently.
Horses For Courses
The following players have the lowest scoring average at the tournament since 2021 (minimum eight rounds):
- Justin Rose: 68.6
- Patrick Cantlay: 68.6
- Tom Hoge: 68.8
- Denny McCarthy: 69.6
- Maverick McNealy: 69.6
Looking at past results here is a bit interesting because the tournament was elevated to a Signature Event in 2024 and many of the top players skipped over Pebble prior to that. Topping the list is a player that routinely showed up in Rose, who won the event in 2023 and didn't slow down thereafter despite the increased field strength with results of T11 and a T3 last year. Coming off a win at Torrey Pines two weeks ago, the oddsmakers are giving him respect as he's tied for the eighth choice on the board at 28-1 odds. Another past champion on the list is Hoge, who won in 2022 and continued his form with results of T6 and T17 when it became a signature event. His level of play has dipped since he won here, as he's in danger of falling out of the top-100 in the OWGR for the first time in over four years. Nevertheless, he did top-10 at the AMEX and is worthy of consideration for placement bets and as a low-cost DFS option.
Best Ball Strikers
These five golfers, on a per-round basis, have gained the most strokes from tee to green across their last 20 rounds:
- Scottie Scheffler: 2.90
- Si Woo Kim: 2.63
- Pierceson Coody: 1.88
- J.J. Spaun: 1.64
- Russell Henley: 1.61
It was a wild week for Scheffler, who came up one short of getting into a playoff in Phoenix despite a two-over 73 opening round en route to his eighth straight top-5 result. In addition to his superior tee to green play as evidenced above, he's gained strokes putting in each of those eight events. The dominance has been so impressive that DraftKings opened up contests for the first time that don't include Scheffler! One player on this list I wanted to highlight is Coody (57-1 odds), as the 26-year-old is looking to have a breakthrough campaign and has four top-20s to start 2026. He's gained over two strokes per round with his ball striking alone in each of the last two events which have both led to top-10s. The only downside is that he'll be making his Pebble Beach debut, but he's a difficult golfer to bet against right now.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Bets: Outright Picks
Viktor Hovland (27-1)
Hovland made his 2026 PGA Tour debut in Phoenix last week and was in contention for much of the event but ultimately faded late and finished T10. He ranked fifth in SG: Approach and had a pair of top-15s at Pebble when they were full-field events.
Russell Henley (30-1)
Henley has started the year with back-to-back top-20 finishes to extend his streak to 10. He's ranked in the top-5 in SG: Approach in both events, and I like targeting him at shorter venues for obvious reasons. Henley finished T5 at Pebble last year.
Keegan Bradley (78-1)
This is a generous price for Bradley in a limited field event, and his lone win last year also came at a course that was under 7,000 yards. His tee to green game is still in very good shape, and he showed form here with a T11 two years ago.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Bets: Placement Wagers
Hideki Matsuyama (Top-5 at 5-1)
It was a disappointing finish last week that saw Matsuyama lose in a playoff after looking like he had it locked up. Regardless, he's posted three consecutive top-15s to start the year as he continues to dominate with his iron and around the green play. Matsuyama's driver struggles should be negated as he'll be able to use less than driver off the tee at the shorter setup.
Max McGreevy (Top-10 at +730)
McGreevy has yet to contend this year, but he's still playing solid golf, finishing no worse than T48 over the last three events. He's gaining .70 strokes per-round with his ball striking this year, and let's not forget that he closed last year with back-to-back top-5s.
Taylor Pendrith (Top-5 at 10-1)
Pendrith took last week off after missing the cut the prior two weeks. But when he's in form, he often finds his way near the top of the leaderboard. He had a T6 in Hawaii and has back-to-back top-10s at the event. A boom-or-bust candidate for a good result at value odds.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Bets: Head-to-Head Matchups
Cameron Young (-108) over Tommy Fleetwood
Young makes for a great course fit with his excellent wedge play and short game. It hasn't shown in previous trips to Pebble, but he's also emerged as a completely different player since. Meanwhile, Fleetwood has never shown great form at Pebble with a best finish of T22 (out of 80 golfers) in four appearances. Combine that with a T41 in Dubai two weeks ago and this being his first stateside start of the year, and I think it may take a little time before we see Fleetwood's best golf.
Jake Knapp (-114) over Robert MacIntyre
It has been a hot start to the year for Knapp with finishes of T11-T5-8, and he looks like he's about to have a big third season on Tour with his elite distance and putting combination. I'll take him over MacIntyre, who took the last two weeks off following a T38 in Palm Springs. His resume is better, but it feels like the timing suits Knapp better, who had the superior finish between the two last year as well.
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