Top MLB Best Bets for Wednesday, October 8
Previous article 2-1 ( +0.85 units)
Season 148-154-2 (-10.81 units)
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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis
Betting playoff baseball is a completely different animal as you have the best pitching, hitting, bullpens, etc. going against each other. Rotations are no longer lined up like they were in the last round, so we are seeing larger moneylines and totals.
In the divisional round, the home field does get more balanced unlike the wild-card round. There are some days off, but with five games, the starting pitching depth does give teams an advantage more in this round.
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Blue Jays vs Yankees Best Bets and Predictions
The Blue Jays blew a 6-1 lead Tuesday night and had a chance to close out this series against the Yankees. The Yankees have all of the momentum now with Cam Schlittler pitching against a bullpen game for the Blue Jays. New York does have a huge edge at home as Toronto has not played well on the road. I think this one just comes down to the Yankees forcing a game 5, but I am avoiding the prediction on who wins the game and just banking on both offenses showing up again.
Best Bets:
- Jays/Yankees OVER 8.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -106)
Phillies vs Dodgers Best Bets and Predictions
When the Phillies lost Game 1, that was the series for me. They needed to take all of the home games in order to win this series and they face the chance of getting swept. Both game have been close with 5-3 and 4-3 results, but Blake Snell dominated the Phillies until the bullpen got involved.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has looked like a top 5 pitcher in baseball and I think he continues that run again tonight against Aaron Nola who is not the same pitcher from years past. I am avoiding picking who wins the game because of the Dodgers bullpen concerns, but I think they will at least have the lead after five innings.
Best Bets: Dodgers -0.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -115)
Mariners vs Tigers Best Bets and Predictions
I was on the OVER in this game last night and it cashed easily with the Marinets winning 8-4. I will come back with another OVER but this time it has been bumped up to 8.5 runs based on last night and the starting pitchers (Casey Mize against Bryce Miller).
The Tigers face elimination down 2-1, and if they can win Game 4 they would be looking at starting their ace Tarik Skubal in Game 5 in Seattle. These games have been a coin flip and I am shying away from straight money line plays now. I do not trust either pitcher in this spot and both offenses are better in this environment (Tigers at home, Mariners on the road).
Best Bet:
- Mariners/Tigers OVER 8.5 runs for 1 unit (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Brewers vs Cubs Best Bets and Predictions
When you see a total of 6.5 posted for a Cubs game, you automatically know it is because the wind is blowing in. That is the case here with winds projected at 10 mph. But we also have two solid starting pitchers in Quinn Priester and Jameson Taillon. Priester was one of the most profitable starting pitchers in baseball during the regular season, but Taillon has also been good. This is a must win game for the Cubs so they will go all out here. I still like the UNDER but will just look at the F5.
Best Bet:
- Brewers/Cubs UNDER 3.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)
Wednesday's MLB Best Bets
- Jays/Yankees OVER 8.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -106)
- Dodgers -0.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -115)
- Mariners/Tigers OVER 8.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -105)
- Brewers/Cubs UNDER 3.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)