NFL Week 13 Game Previews: Thanksgiving Matchups, Picks & Fantasy Tips

NFL game previews for the Week 13 matchups with betting picks and fantasy football tips to help you prep for the Thanksgiving games.
NFL Week 13 Game Previews: Thanksgiving Matchups, Picks & Fantasy Tips
SPECIAL OFFER

Get 30% OFF

For a limited time only, we're offering 30% off all subscriptions for our Black Friday sale! This deal ends 12/1. Use promo code FRIDAY.
PROMO CODE FRIDAY

In addition to our game previews below, be sure to keep an eye on our NFL injury report and the latest fantasy football news. For player usage updates and roster context, check out RotoWire's NFL Depth Charts, and don't miss the Weekly Projections to see how this week's matchups shape up.

THANKSGIVING

Green Bay (+2.5) at Detroit, o/u 48.5 – Thursday, 1 p.m. EST

The NFC North has predictably become a dogfight as the season's final month approaches. The Packers and Lions are both one win back of the Bears, though Green Bay's earlier tie with Dallas gives them a half-game edge in the standings for second place at the moment. The Pack have won two straight, and while putting down the Giants and reeling Vikings isn't all that remarkable, the soft spot in the schedule did give the defense a chance to get going. Micah Parsons and company produced seven sacks and five takeaways in the two victories, the only two games in 2025 that DC Jeff Hafley's unit has recorded multiple turnovers, and consistent splash plays would turn a stingy unit (second in yards per play allowed, fifth in PPG allowed) into a truly elite one. The offense has become increasingly reliant on its run game, however, as Jordan Love has failed to reach 200 passing yards in three consecutive games and has a 2:1 TD:INT over his last four with a 61.9 percent completion rate and 6.5 YPA. That's fine against teams with quarterback or coaching troubles, but Love may need to come up with more against a more complete opponent.

The Lions have been unable to build any real momentum, alternating wins and losses since Week 5, and last week they had trouble even putting away a clearly inferior foe in the Giants, falling behind 27-17 early in the fourth quarter before Jahmyr Gibbs bailed them out. Statistically, it's hard to put a finger on what's troubling Dan Campbell's squad. The defense has been good but not great, ranking top-10 in yards per play allowed and just outside the top 10 in PPG allowed, and with similar rankings in sacks, pressure rate, takeaways and third-down efficiency against. The offense is similarly doing what's expected of it. Jared Goff's on pace for his third consecutive season with 4,000 passing yards and 30 TDs, while Gibbs has multiple touchdowns in three of the last five games and Amon-Ra St. Brown is on the brink of his third straight 1,000-yard, 10-TD campaign. Those are big-picture numbers, though, and on a week-to-week basis, the Lions seem to swing from floor to ceiling performances rather than settling on a happy medium. That inconsistency may have at least something to do with the health of the offensive line, as none of the team's five starters are 100 percent healthy, and at least two will be sidelined. Goff's on pace to be sacked 35 times this year, which would tie his career high, but the last five games he's been brought down 14 times — a 48-sack pace. If Green Bay's going to steal one here, it'll likely be due to the efforts of Parsons and Rashan Gary.

Key Info

GB injury report: RB MarShawn Lloyd (IR, hamstring), WR Jayden Reed (IR, collarbone), WR Matthew Golden (questionable, wrist), TE Tucker Kraft (IR, knee), C Elgton Jenkins (IR, lower leg), LB Quay Walker (questionable, neck), CB Keisean Nixon (questionable, neck)

DET injury report: WR Kalif Raymond (out, ankle), WR Isaac TeSlaa (questionable, hand), TE Sam LaPorta (IR, back), TE Brock Wright (out, neck), LT Taylor Decker (questionable, shoulder), LG Christian Mahogany (IR, leg), C Graham Glasgow (out, knee), RG Tate Ratledge (questionable, knee), RT Penei Sewell (questionable, ankle), CB Terrion Arnold (questionable, concussion), S Kerby Joseph (out, knee)

Slight lean: WR Christian Watson (DET 24th in DVOA vs. WR1)
Slight lean: TE Ross Dwelley (GB t-26th in receptions per game allowed to TEs)

Slight fade: RB Josh Jacobs (DET sixth in rushing DVOA, sixth in YPC allowed, t-sixth in rushing TDs allowed to RBs)
Slight fade: WR Isaac TeSlaa (GB fourth in DVOA vs. WR3)

Watch: Stream NFL games on Sling

NFL weather report: indoors

Head-to-head record, last five-plus years: 6-5 DET, average score 26-24 GB, average margin of victory 10 points. DET has won three of the last four meetings at Ford Field, and six of the last eight overall, but that one home loss came on Thanksgiving 2023 when the Packers grabbed a 20-6 first-quarter lead on the strength of Jordan Love TD passes to... Jayden Reed and Tucker Kraft

The Scoop: Jacobs puts together 70 yards. Love throws for 210 yards and two touchdowns, finding Watson and Dontayvion Wicks. Gibbs churns out 110 scrimmage yards and a TD. Goff does lose the ball on a Parsons sack, resulting in a Kingsley Enagbare score, but he makes up for it by throwing for 220 yards and two touchdowns, one each to ARSB and Jameson Williams. Lions 27-21

Kansas City at Dallas (+3.5), o/u 52.0 – Thursday, 4:30 p.m. EST

Well, they're not dead yet. Kansas City survived 23-20 in overtime at home against the Colts last week — a sentence that frankly sounds like they're in trouble, from the perspective of preseason expectations — to get to 6-5, and stay in the playoff picture. Andy Reid's crew is three games back of the Broncos in the AFC West with six to play, but they've already lost once to Denver, so a 10th consecutive division title looks like a long shot at this point. KC's only one back of the Chargers/Bills/Jaguars clump for a wild-card spot, though, which seems like a more promising path to the postseason — though again, it's lost to all three already, so tiebreakers are not in KC's favor. Patrick Mahomes has gone somewhat quiet at the worst time, throwing just one TD in the last three games, and over that same stretch the defense has zero takeaways and five sacks. DC Steve Spagnuolo's unit did produce some timely pressure against Daniel Jones in that OT win and it's still fourth in the league in PPG allowed, but that ranking is inflated by a combined 16 points allowed to the Giants, Raiders and Marcus Mariota-led Commanders. Against more competent offenses, Kansas City is giving up 23.1 points a game, which is exactly league average. Someone's going to need to step up if the team plans on making an 11th consecutive trip to the playoffs.

Speaking of teams keeping their playoff hopes alive, the Cowboys have won two straight since their bye (and since the trade deadline) to climb back to .500. Last week's comeback win over the Eagles, after they'd spotted the defending Super Bowl champs a 21-0 lead, was their first of the year over a team with a winning record, but if you're a big believer in narrative, it felt like a turning point. The addition of Quinnen Williams seems to have stabilized a defense that was reeling early following the Micah Parsons trade, and if you haven't yet seen the All-22 angle on Alijah Clark's "this is how you play FOOTBALL!!!!1!!!111!" moment that has set every high-school coach's heart aflutter, it's the kind of thing that can galvanize an entire roster. Or they could turn back into the squad that got humiliated at home by Jacoby Brissett and the Cards in Week 9, and gave Russell Wilson one final hurrah in Week 2. Who knows what you'll get with Dallas, really? Dak Prescott's three biggest yardage totals of the season have come at home, including last week's 354 yards, so at the very least you know there will probably be some fireworks in Jerryworld.

Key Info

KC injury report: RG Trey Smith (out, ankle), CB Christian Roland-Wallace (out, back)

DAL injury report: LT Tyler Guyton (out, ankle), CB Trevon Diggs (IR, concussion), S Juanyeh Thomas (NFI, migraines)

Strong lean: QB Patrick Mahomes (DAL 29th in passing DVOA, 31st in passing yards per game allowed, 32nd in passing TDs allowed, 32nd in rushing TDs allowed to QBs)
No DAL leans. The KC defense hasn't had any glaring weak spots

No KC fades. The DAL defense has been playing better, but it dug a deep hole to begin the year
Slight fade: WR CeeDee Lamb (KC fourth in receiving yards per game allowed to WR1s)

Watch: Stream NFL games on Sling

NFL weather report: indoors

The Scoop: Kareem Hunt picks up 80 yards and a TD, while a returning Isiah Pacheco adds 50 yards. Mahomes throws for 260 yards and two touchdowns, hitting Rashee Rice and Tyquan Thornton. Javonte Williams responds with 110 yards and a score. Prescott throws for 260 yards and three TDs, one to George Pickens and two to Jake Ferguson. Cowboys 31-30

Cincinnati (+7) at Baltimore, o/u 51.5 – Thursday, 8:20 p.m. EST

The Bengals are 3-8, but in theory they're only three games back of the AFC North lead with six games left. So sure, it's Joe Burrow time, let's gooooooo. Out since Week 2 due to a toe issue that required surgery, there's really no way to predict what impact Burrow's return will have on the team, but at least since Cincy brought in Joe Flacco, offense hasn't been the problem. First-year (last-year?) DC Al Golden's unit is 31st in yards per play allowed, 32nd in PPG allowed by a wide margin (32.7, with Dallas 31st at 28.5), 28th in QB rating against, 31st in sacks, 31st in third-down efficiency against, 28th in red-zone efficiency against ... this defense is simply a train wreck, and that's before you factor in that its two best players won't be on the field Thursday. If Burrow can simply keep this game close, it'll be a minor miracle.

Winners of five straight since their bye, the Ravens have soared to the top of the division to nudge ahead of the Steelers. Lamar Jackson chucked four TDs against Miami back in Week 9 in his return from a hamstring strain, but since then he has just a 1:2 TD:INT, 57.1 percent completion rate and 6.8 YPA while averaging less than 20 rushing yards over three games, so it's fair to wonder if he's actually fully healthy. Fortunately, Ravens football seems to be reasserting itself, so Jackson hasn't been needed much, Derrick Henry has 432 rushing yards and five TDs during the win streak, while beleaguered DC Zach Orr's crew has held all five opponents to less than 20 points while amassing 10 takeaways and 10 sacks. Baltimore wasn't exactly facing the toughest competition during that surge — Chicago was the only team with a winning record the Ravens faced — but it was a good warmup for a closing stretch that sees four of their last six games come against divisional foes (two versus Cincy and two versus Pittsburgh), plus New England at home and a trip to Lambeau. If the Ravens do claim their third consecutive division crown, as seems likely right now, they'll have earned it.

Key Info

CIN injury report: WR Tee Higgins (out, concussion), EDGE Trey Hendrickson (out, hip), EDGE Shemar Stewart (IR, knee), CB Cam Taylor-Britt (IR, foot)

BAL injury report: RB Justice Hill (out, neck), EDGE Nnamdi Madubuike (IR, neck)

Slight lean: WR Ja'Marr Chase (BAL 28th in DVOA vs. WR1)
Strong lean: QB Lamar Jackson (CIN 32nd in passing DVOA, 30th in passing yards per game allowed, 31st in passing TDs allowed)

Slight fade: WR Andrei Iosivas (BAL ninth in receptions per game allowed to WR2s)
Slight fade: WR Zay Flowers (CIN ninth in DVOA vs. WR1)

Watch: Stream NFL games on Sling

NFL weather report: temperature in the mid-30s, 1-10 percent chance of rain/snow

Head-to-head record, last five years including playoffs: 7-4 BAL, average score 27-25 BAL, average margin of victory 13 points. The Ravens have swept the last two season series since losing 24-17 in the wild-card round of the 2022 playoffs on Sam Hubbard's 98-yard fumble return TD in the fourth quarter. Lamar Jackson has won his last five meetings against the Bengals – Tyler Huntley was under center for that wild-card loss

The Scoop: Chase Brown gallops for 110 combined yards and a score. Burrow throws for 220 yards and two TDs, both to Chase. Henry romps for 150 yards and two touchdowns. Jackson throws for 200 yards and finds Mark Andrews for a score, and a Tyler Loop field goal in overtime seals it. Ravens 30-27 in OT

FRIDAY

Chicago (+7) at Philadelphia, o/u 44.5 – Sunday, 3 p.m. EST

(You know, if the NFL is going to have Black Friday games, I appreciate that at least one of the teams has black as a primary part of its color scheme.) Every year, there's a team this gets blessed by the football gods, and in 2025 that team looks very much like it's the Bears. They're atop the NFC North at 8-3 despite being underwater in point differential at minus-3. Chicago's won four consecutive games, but by a total of 14 points, and it has a pair of one-point wins over the lowly Raiders and Commanders on their ledger as well. This is a team that's escaping by the skin of its teeth on a weekly basis, but it's kind of getting good at it. Caleb Williams has thrown for three TDs in two of the four wins during the recent streak, but just one total in the other two. Either D'Andre Swift or Kyle Monangai has scored in five straight, but not both in the same game. Similarly, Rome Odunze and DJ Moore have taken turns of late having big performances, with rookie tight end Colston Loveland also sneaking one in. DC Dennis Allen's unit has gotten by on timely takeaways (eight during the four wins), but that could begin to change this week with the secondary set to get significant reinforcements back from IR in the form of starting corners Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon. If a stiffened back end can give the defense some consistency to go with the splash plays, banking those close wins could pay off in a big way for a franchise that has only one division title and two one-and-done playoff visits since 2011.

What the heck was that? The Eagles took a 21-0 lead in the first half last week against the Cowboys, scoring on their first three possessions, and the defending champs seemed comfortably headed for their fifth consecutive win. Then they just ... didn't. Philly managed just 108 yards of offense in the second half, and the closest it came to putting points on the board came on a missed 56-yard field goal by Jake Elliott. The Eagles are still three wins clear of the Cowboys in the NFC East, and the result will probably just end up being a blip, but memories of 2023's second-half collapse are going to come flooding back if they don't bounce back in emphatic fashion. It would help if Saquon Barkley looked like he was in anything close to peak form, but since a Week 9 bye he's failed to find the end zone in three games while managing a rough 2.8 YPC. Jalen Hurts has three rushing TDs in the last two games instead, and he's two shy of his fifth consecutive campaign in double digits, and frankly there's too much talent on both sides of the ball to think it'll all just slip away again. In 2023, the team had first-year OC Brian  Johnson (now the passing-game coordinator for Dan Quinn in Washington) and nomadic DC Sean Desai (currently on Zac Taylor's staff in Cincy and on his fifth team in five years, which is something. Dude must be a great interview) overseeing its demise. This year, long-time DC Vic Fangio should be able to handle whatever issues arise on his side of the ball, while the offense is in the capable hands of ... first-year OC Kevin Patullo, an internal hire who's been with Nick Sirianni since the beginning in Philly. Hmmm.

Key Info

CHI injury report: DT Gervon Dexter (questionable, hand), LB Tremaine Edmunds (IR, groin), LB T.J. Edwards (questionable, hand), LB Noah Sewell (questionable, elbow), LB Ruben Hyppolite (questionable, shoulder), CB Jaylon Johnson (IR, groin), CB Tyrique Stevenson (questionable, hip), CB Kyler Gordon (IR, calf)

PHI injury report: RB Saquon Barkley (questionable, groin), WR DeVonta Smith (questionable, chest), LG Landon Dickerson (questionable, knee), RT Lane Johnson (questionable, foot), S Reed Blankenship (questionable, thigh), S Andrew Mukuba (out, ankle)

Slight lean: WR DJ Moore (PHI 26th in DVOA vs. WR2)
Slight lean: TE Dallas Goedert (CHI 29th in receptions per game allowed to TEs)

Strong fade: WR Rome Odunze (PHI second in DVOA vs. WR1)
Strong fade: TE Colston Loveland / Cole Kmet (PHI first in DVOA vs. TE)
Slight fade: WR A.J. Brown (CHI seventh in DVOA vs. WR1)

Watch: Stream NFL games on Sling

NFL weather report: 15-20 mph wind, 1-10 percent chance of rain

The Scoop: Swift erupts for 120 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns. Williams throws for less than 200 yards and a score to Moore. Barkley grinds out 80 yards. Hurts throws for less than 200 yards and a TD to Goedert while running one in himself, but his attempt to engineer a game-winning drive late ends on a Johnson INT. Bears 21-20

Last week's record: 11-3, 12-2 ATS, 3-11 o/u
2025 record: 116-61-1 (.655), 93-80-5 ATS (.538), 81-96-1 o/u (.458)

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Erik Siegrist is an FSWA award-winning columnist who covers all four major North American sports (that means the NHL, not NASCAR) and whose beat extends back to the days when the Nationals were the Expos and the Thunder were the Sonics. He was the inaugural champion of RotoWire's Staff Keeper baseball league, and its current reigning champ. His work has also appeared at Baseball Prospectus.
RotoWire Logo

Continue the Conversation

Join the RotoWire Discord group to hear from our experts and other NFL fans.

Top News

Tools

NFL Draft Kit Logo

NFL Draft Kit

Fantasy Tools

Don’t miss a beat. Check out our 2025 NFL Fantasy Football rankings.

Related Stories