Stats To Display
League Type
Available Players
ALL
Batters
Pitchers
C
1B
2B
SS
3B
OF
G
143
AB
504
AVG
.312
HR
51
RBI
113
SB
9
R
117
Judge had some noise surrounding his status during spring training around lingering pain from the toe injury after the incident with the right field wall at Dodger Stadium. Those concerns were not exactly assuaged when Judge had a .180/.315/.348 slash line a month into the regular season with three home runs. He hit three homers in one week toward the end of April and went on to hit 52 more the rest of the season and put up a Ruthian .349/.484/.768 slash line the rest of the season while driving in 133 runs and scoring 114 while chipping in nine steals. In a year where homers were down overall in the league, Judge nearly matched his 2022 season. About the only thing Judge has never done is have consecutive 50-plus homer seasons, but that is nitpicking. It will be interesting to see what happens should Juan Soto not return in free agency, as Soto's presence on base was a contributing factor in Judge setting a new career high in RBI.
Judge had some noise surrounding his status during spring training around lingering pain from the toe injury after the incident with the right field wall at Dodger Stadium. Those concerns were not exactly assuaged when Judge had a .180/.315/.348 slash line a month into the regular season with three home runs. He hit three homers in one week toward the end of April and went on to hit 52 more the rest of the season and put up a Ruthian .349/.484/.768 slash line the rest of the season while driving in 133 runs and scoring 114 while chipping in nine steals. In a year where homers were down overall in the league, Judge nearly matched his 2022 season. About the only thing Judge has never done is have consecutive 50-plus homer seasons, but that is nitpicking. It will be interesting to see what happens should Juan Soto not return in free agency, as Soto's presence on base was a contributing factor in Judge setting a new career high in RBI.
G
159
AB
632
AVG
.302
HR
28
RBI
97
SB
38
R
107
Progress is not always linear, but Witt has been on an upward trajectory since breaking into the big leagues as the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in baseball in 2022. He improved upon all three elements of his slash line once again in 2024, adding nearly 60 points to his batting average to lead the majors at .332. At age 23/24, Witt played in all but one game for the Royals, earning his first All-Star selection and leading Kansas City to its first postseason appearance since 2015. He totaled 234 runs-plus-RBI while reaching 30 homers for a second straight season. The one area of decline was in the stolen-base department, as he fell back to 31 steals after totaling 49 the year prior. He was caught stealing 12 times in 43 attempts, but Witt ranked at the top of the sprint speed leaderboard at 30.5 ft/sec. Amazingly, there's still upside if he can improve his efficiency on the basepaths, and regardless he's already an elite fantasy producer. Despite a modest supporting cast, Witt should arguably be considered right alongside Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge at the very top of 2025 fantasy drafts.
Progress is not always linear, but Witt has been on an upward trajectory since breaking into the big leagues as the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in baseball in 2022. He improved upon all three elements of his slash line once again in 2024, adding nearly 60 points to his batting average to lead the majors at .332. At age 23/24, Witt played in all but one game for the Royals, earning his first All-Star selection and leading Kansas City to its first postseason appearance since 2015. He totaled 234 runs-plus-RBI while reaching 30 homers for a second straight season. The one area of decline was in the stolen-base department, as he fell back to 31 steals after totaling 49 the year prior. He was caught stealing 12 times in 43 attempts, but Witt ranked at the top of the sprint speed leaderboard at 30.5 ft/sec. Amazingly, there's still upside if he can improve his efficiency on the basepaths, and regardless he's already an elite fantasy producer. Despite a modest supporting cast, Witt should arguably be considered right alongside Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge at the very top of 2025 fantasy drafts.
G
158
AB
606
AVG
.282
HR
31
RBI
95
SB
39
R
103
Ramirez shored up his Hall of Fame case with what very well could have been a 40-40 campaign if not for a rainout on the final day of the regular season. The third baseman was an All-Star for the fourth consecutive year (sixth overall) and helped lead Cleveland to the ALCS. He's as durable as they come; Ramirez played in 158 games in 2024 and has now reached at least 152 games in seven of the last eight full MLB seasons. While he's been in the majors for over a decade, Ramirez is still just 32 years old, so he's not at the age where one might suspect the skills could drop off the table. There was some giveback with his walk rate last season, which led to a 21-point drop in OBP, and the batted-ball numbers don't jump off the page. That said, Ramirez is great at pulling flyballs, and his run production improved significantly last season with help from Steven Kwan and others around him. Fantasy managers should be thrilled to have to settle for Ramirez in the first round.
Ramirez shored up his Hall of Fame case with what very well could have been a 40-40 campaign if not for a rainout on the final day of the regular season. The third baseman was an All-Star for the fourth consecutive year (sixth overall) and helped lead Cleveland to the ALCS. He's as durable as they come; Ramirez played in 158 games in 2024 and has now reached at least 152 games in seven of the last eight full MLB seasons. While he's been in the majors for over a decade, Ramirez is still just 32 years old, so he's not at the age where one might suspect the skills could drop off the table. There was some giveback with his walk rate last season, which led to a 21-point drop in OBP, and the batted-ball numbers don't jump off the page. That said, Ramirez is great at pulling flyballs, and his run production improved significantly last season with help from Steven Kwan and others around him. Fantasy managers should be thrilled to have to settle for Ramirez in the first round.
G
153
AB
625
AVG
.270
HR
28
RBI
88
SB
30
R
95
After underwhelming throughout the vast majority of the regular season, Rodriguez caught fire again late to reach 20-20 for the third straight year to begin his MLB career. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Rodriguez sat with a .660 OPS, 11 homers and 40 RBI on the morning of Aug. 28. He would go on to slash .349/.386/.597 with nine homers and 28 RBI over his final 29 games, though it wasn't enough to drag the Mariners and their bottom-10 scoring offense to the postseason. He was efficient on the basepaths, but his attempts dipped, in particular after he returned from an IL stint due to a right ankle sprain. Rodriguez struggled against offspeed pitches to the tune of a .173 average and .199 xBA last season, but he made up for it to an extent by punishing fastballs. While his strikeout and walk numbers have not shown any tangible improvement in his three years in the league, and he looked more like a star than a superstar in 2024, it's important to remember he's still just entering his age-24 season.
After underwhelming throughout the vast majority of the regular season, Rodriguez caught fire again late to reach 20-20 for the third straight year to begin his MLB career. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Rodriguez sat with a .660 OPS, 11 homers and 40 RBI on the morning of Aug. 28. He would go on to slash .349/.386/.597 with nine homers and 28 RBI over his final 29 games, though it wasn't enough to drag the Mariners and their bottom-10 scoring offense to the postseason. He was efficient on the basepaths, but his attempts dipped, in particular after he returned from an IL stint due to a right ankle sprain. Rodriguez struggled against offspeed pitches to the tune of a .173 average and .199 xBA last season, but he made up for it to an extent by punishing fastballs. While his strikeout and walk numbers have not shown any tangible improvement in his three years in the league, and he looked more like a star than a superstar in 2024, it's important to remember he's still just entering his age-24 season.
G
147
AB
522
AVG
.280
HR
40
RBI
99
SB
4
R
104
Jim Thome isn't a common comp for high-end draft prospects, but that's the type of player scouts envision Kurtz becoming if he reaches his ceiling. The fourth-overall pick in 2024, Kurtz slashed .353/.450/.608 with two home runs and a 16:9 K:BB in 60 plate appearances in the Arizona Fall League after ending the regular season on the injured list at Double-A Midland due to a hamstring strain. Other than a general lack of athleticism and a bad body (listed at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds), Kurtz's only notable flaw is his injury history -- he missed time with random injuries while putting up cartoonish offensive numbers at Wake Forest (career 1.283 OPS, 46 home runs in 110 games his final two seasons). However, after slashing .368/.520/.763 with four homers in 12 games split between Single-A and Double-A before dominating in the AFL, Kurtz's track record of hitting pro pitching is arguably tops in the 2024 draft class. He could reach the majors this summer if he stays healthy and performs as expected.
Jim Thome isn't a common comp for high-end draft prospects, but that's the type of player scouts envision Kurtz becoming if he reaches his ceiling. The fourth-overall pick in 2024, Kurtz slashed .353/.450/.608 with two home runs and a 16:9 K:BB in 60 plate appearances in the Arizona Fall League after ending the regular season on the injured list at Double-A Midland due to a hamstring strain. Other than a general lack of athleticism and a bad body (listed at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds), Kurtz's only notable flaw is his injury history -- he missed time with random injuries while putting up cartoonish offensive numbers at Wake Forest (career 1.283 OPS, 46 home runs in 110 games his final two seasons). However, after slashing .368/.520/.763 with four homers in 12 games split between Single-A and Double-A before dominating in the AFL, Kurtz's track record of hitting pro pitching is arguably tops in the 2024 draft class. He could reach the majors this summer if he stays healthy and performs as expected.
GS
31
IP
187.0
W
15
SV
0
K
230
ERA
2.40
WHIP
0.901
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.
G
155
AB
590
AVG
.271
HR
26
RBI
79
SB
22
R
99
Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury.
Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury.
G
149
AB
543
AVG
.234
HR
42
RBI
100
SB
7
R
87
Raleigh's 34 homers led all catchers. His 91 long balls since 2022 are 18 more than the next backstop's. However, Raleigh's power comes at the expense of batting average. He's fanned at a 28 percent clip over the past two seasons, and his 50 percent fly-ball rate in that span suppresses BABIP. Volume is usually a benefit, except with batting average. Still, playing more than most non-catchers is a huge boon to his counting stats. Raleigh is one of the best in the league behind the plate, so he's going to continue to log more playing time than others at the position. Raleigh's skills are stable, so if you construct a roster to absorb his batting average, Raleigh's counting stats yield a huge edge. An above-average walk rate boosts "Big Dumper" in points and OBP formats.
Raleigh's 34 homers led all catchers. His 91 long balls since 2022 are 18 more than the next backstop's. However, Raleigh's power comes at the expense of batting average. He's fanned at a 28 percent clip over the past two seasons, and his 50 percent fly-ball rate in that span suppresses BABIP. Volume is usually a benefit, except with batting average. Still, playing more than most non-catchers is a huge boon to his counting stats. Raleigh is one of the best in the league behind the plate, so he's going to continue to log more playing time than others at the position. Raleigh's skills are stable, so if you construct a roster to absorb his batting average, Raleigh's counting stats yield a huge edge. An above-average walk rate boosts "Big Dumper" in points and OBP formats.
G
157
AB
601
AVG
.295
HR
26
RBI
93
SB
4
R
92
Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that season was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. Last season saw him finish as the top first baseman and as a top-15 overall hitter in fantasy for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason to think he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025.
Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that season was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. Last season saw him finish as the top first baseman and as a top-15 overall hitter in fantasy for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason to think he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025.
G
150
AB
558
AVG
.269
HR
33
RBI
92
SB
7
R
81
Pick a stat, any stat, it doesn't matter. Counting stat, ratio, whatever. It was a personal best for Rooker. His 28.8 percent strikeout rate was still too high and is a concern, since it's rare for a player to repeat a career year. Moving out of the Coliseum and playing in Sutter Health Park, the home field for Triple-A Sacramento River Rats should help assuage regression. After the season, it was reported that Rooker experienced soreness in his right arm for most of the season, ostensibly explaining why Rooker appeared exclusively at DH after only 14 games in the outfield. Rooker is expected to be 100 percent in the spring. He'll start the season with UT-only designation but should pick up outfield eligibility. The initial UT-only status could render a buying opportunity, helping buffer the likely fall off from last season. Rooker inked a five-year, $60 million extension with the Athletics in January, which should put an end to any trade chatter for the foreseeable future.
Pick a stat, any stat, it doesn't matter. Counting stat, ratio, whatever. It was a personal best for Rooker. His 28.8 percent strikeout rate was still too high and is a concern, since it's rare for a player to repeat a career year. Moving out of the Coliseum and playing in Sutter Health Park, the home field for Triple-A Sacramento River Rats should help assuage regression. After the season, it was reported that Rooker experienced soreness in his right arm for most of the season, ostensibly explaining why Rooker appeared exclusively at DH after only 14 games in the outfield. Rooker is expected to be 100 percent in the spring. He'll start the season with UT-only designation but should pick up outfield eligibility. The initial UT-only status could render a buying opportunity, helping buffer the likely fall off from last season. Rooker inked a five-year, $60 million extension with the Athletics in January, which should put an end to any trade chatter for the foreseeable future.
G
137
AB
496
AVG
.246
HR
26
RBI
73
SB
31
R
72
Chisholm enjoyed the healthiest season of his career as he finally broke the 125 games played total in a season while splitting his time between Miami and New York. The games played was not the only career high as he also set a new high in every counting category as well as batting average and strikeout rate. The change in venues from the spacious Marlins Stadium to the coziness of Yankee Stadium did wonders for Chisholm, as he hit 11 of his 24 homers in the 46 games with the Yankees while also stealing 18 of the 40 bases. We have known for some time what Chisholm is capable of while on the field, but the time lost in 2021-2023 due to multiple injuries impacted his value. He now gets to play the final two seasons of his arbitration years in a much better stadium and lineup than what he experienced in Miami and the cost of acquisition this winter will rise accordingly. The decision fantasy managers must make: Is the juice worth the squeeze given how much time the talented player has missed over the past four seasons? The 3B and OF eligibility is a nice added bonus.
Chisholm enjoyed the healthiest season of his career as he finally broke the 125 games played total in a season while splitting his time between Miami and New York. The games played was not the only career high as he also set a new high in every counting category as well as batting average and strikeout rate. The change in venues from the spacious Marlins Stadium to the coziness of Yankee Stadium did wonders for Chisholm, as he hit 11 of his 24 homers in the 46 games with the Yankees while also stealing 18 of the 40 bases. We have known for some time what Chisholm is capable of while on the field, but the time lost in 2021-2023 due to multiple injuries impacted his value. He now gets to play the final two seasons of his arbitration years in a much better stadium and lineup than what he experienced in Miami and the cost of acquisition this winter will rise accordingly. The decision fantasy managers must make: Is the juice worth the squeeze given how much time the talented player has missed over the past four seasons? The 3B and OF eligibility is a nice added bonus.
G
145
AB
540
AVG
.267
HR
25
RBI
73
SB
18
R
92
There were signs that Springer was approaching a production cliff in his career, but nothing truly pointed to him having this type of falloff. Springer posted the worst batting average of his full-season career by nearly 40 points and failed to reach 20 homers in a full season for the first time since 2015 when he appeared in just 102 games. The walk rate and the contact rates remained constant, yet Springer's bat appeared at times as if it still had a weighted doughnut on it. Springer has made a career of feasting off fastballs, but hit just .241 against fastballs in 2024 and .192 against non-fastballs. He no longer has the juice to get into the elevate-and-celebrate crowd as his groundball to fly-ball ratio has dropped from 0.70 in 2021 to 1.54 this past season. His 50.7 percent groundball rate was the highest of his career, while his 39.8 percent pull percentage was a continuation of the 2023 struggles. His contract will guarantee him playing time in Toronto, but where that playing time comes in the lineup is anyone's guess. He no longer profiles as a top-of-the-lineup hitter, so his production could be further impacted hitting down in the lineup as Toronto either looks to make one final push in the Vlad era or begins a tear-down after multiple disappointing seasons. Springer is absolutely on his descent down the aging curve and appears to be in a rapidly accelerating phase at this time.
There were signs that Springer was approaching a production cliff in his career, but nothing truly pointed to him having this type of falloff. Springer posted the worst batting average of his full-season career by nearly 40 points and failed to reach 20 homers in a full season for the first time since 2015 when he appeared in just 102 games. The walk rate and the contact rates remained constant, yet Springer's bat appeared at times as if it still had a weighted doughnut on it. Springer has made a career of feasting off fastballs, but hit just .241 against fastballs in 2024 and .192 against non-fastballs. He no longer has the juice to get into the elevate-and-celebrate crowd as his groundball to fly-ball ratio has dropped from 0.70 in 2021 to 1.54 this past season. His 50.7 percent groundball rate was the highest of his career, while his 39.8 percent pull percentage was a continuation of the 2023 struggles. His contract will guarantee him playing time in Toronto, but where that playing time comes in the lineup is anyone's guess. He no longer profiles as a top-of-the-lineup hitter, so his production could be further impacted hitting down in the lineup as Toronto either looks to make one final push in the Vlad era or begins a tear-down after multiple disappointing seasons. Springer is absolutely on his descent down the aging curve and appears to be in a rapidly accelerating phase at this time.
G
145
AB
558
AVG
.276
HR
15
RBI
69
SB
28
R
82
Duran built on his breakthrough 2023 season by walking more while fanning less. It was Duran's third straight season with an improved strikeout rate and second consecutive season with a better walk rate. A career-high barrel rate helped Duran lead MLB in both double and triples, elevating his stead in points and Best Ball formats. He faded down the stretch, posting a 61 wRC+ in September, after ranging between 102 and 193 the prior five months. Fatigue may have been the season considering the only games Duran missed were in August due to a two-game suspension for an audible homophobic slur. This was the only blight on a season in which Duran captured down ballot MVP votes. He rebounded from adversity before and is likely to do it again. The safe play is pulling back from a career year, but Duran has the skill set to keep getting better.
Duran built on his breakthrough 2023 season by walking more while fanning less. It was Duran's third straight season with an improved strikeout rate and second consecutive season with a better walk rate. A career-high barrel rate helped Duran lead MLB in both double and triples, elevating his stead in points and Best Ball formats. He faded down the stretch, posting a 61 wRC+ in September, after ranging between 102 and 193 the prior five months. Fatigue may have been the season considering the only games Duran missed were in August due to a two-game suspension for an audible homophobic slur. This was the only blight on a season in which Duran captured down ballot MVP votes. He rebounded from adversity before and is likely to do it again. The safe play is pulling back from a career year, but Duran has the skill set to keep getting better.
G
156
AB
577
AVG
.236
HR
24
RBI
72
SB
25
R
89
The Home Run Derby curse is mostly pseudo-science, but Arozarena is doing his best to disprove that line of thought. Arozarena was arguably on the best run of his regular-season career in 2023 prior to the derby, but he was terrible after it, and the 2024 season was mostly an extension of the same. Arozarena did get to another 20-20 season, and only he and Jose Ramirez have done that each of the past four seasons, but Arozarena has now had 926 post-derby plate appearances and has a .219/.332/.382 slash line with 27 homers and 32 steals. It was long expected the Rays would deal Arozarena in his expensive years, but the move to Seattle was a terrible one for his run production, and he hit five homers in 54 games after the trade. The puzzling part with Arozarena is the increased strikeout rate does not come from him chasing out of the zone, but instead because his in-zone contact rate has declined now for three consecutive seasons. He has become a more disciplined hitter these days, but his struggles against fastballs in 2024 (.221 vs .282 in 2023) were extremely concerning. The volume should once again be there, but at what cost?
The Home Run Derby curse is mostly pseudo-science, but Arozarena is doing his best to disprove that line of thought. Arozarena was arguably on the best run of his regular-season career in 2023 prior to the derby, but he was terrible after it, and the 2024 season was mostly an extension of the same. Arozarena did get to another 20-20 season, and only he and Jose Ramirez have done that each of the past four seasons, but Arozarena has now had 926 post-derby plate appearances and has a .219/.332/.382 slash line with 27 homers and 32 steals. It was long expected the Rays would deal Arozarena in his expensive years, but the move to Seattle was a terrible one for his run production, and he hit five homers in 54 games after the trade. The puzzling part with Arozarena is the increased strikeout rate does not come from him chasing out of the zone, but instead because his in-zone contact rate has declined now for three consecutive seasons. He has become a more disciplined hitter these days, but his struggles against fastballs in 2024 (.221 vs .282 in 2023) were extremely concerning. The volume should once again be there, but at what cost?
G
133
AB
525
AVG
.286
HR
21
RBI
65
SB
15
R
83
Altuve was an everyday presence in the lineup last season after being limited to 90 games in 2023, though he wasn't as productive at the plate with a .789 OPS being his worst full-season mark since 2013. He still delivered 20 homers and 22 steals, which was his best work on the basepaths in seven years, but it's fair to wonder if Father Time is starting to catch up to him. Altuve will turn 35 years old in May, and it's worth noting that his .264 xBA and .406 xSLG were each 30-plus points lower than the actual figures. He has significantly outperformed those expected stats throughout his MLB career, but it's more of a concern as he moves through his mid-30s. Altuve is still a decent bet for a high batting average, another 20-20 campaign and strong counting stats in 2025, but the risk of a fall-off is increasing with each passing season.
Altuve was an everyday presence in the lineup last season after being limited to 90 games in 2023, though he wasn't as productive at the plate with a .789 OPS being his worst full-season mark since 2013. He still delivered 20 homers and 22 steals, which was his best work on the basepaths in seven years, but it's fair to wonder if Father Time is starting to catch up to him. Altuve will turn 35 years old in May, and it's worth noting that his .264 xBA and .406 xSLG were each 30-plus points lower than the actual figures. He has significantly outperformed those expected stats throughout his MLB career, but it's more of a concern as he moves through his mid-30s. Altuve is still a decent bet for a high batting average, another 20-20 campaign and strong counting stats in 2025, but the risk of a fall-off is increasing with each passing season.
The rest of our Fantasy Baseball Outlooks & Rankings are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
G
143
AB
504
AVG
.312
HR
51
RBI
113
SB
9
R
117
Judge had some noise surrounding his status during spring training around lingering pain from the toe injury after the incident with the right field wall at Dodger Stadium. Those concerns were not exactly assuaged when Judge had a .180/.315/.348 slash line a month into the regular season with three home runs. He hit three homers in one week toward the end of April and went on to hit 52 more the rest of the season and put up a Ruthian .349/.484/.768 slash line the rest of the season while driving in 133 runs and scoring 114 while chipping in nine steals. In a year where homers were down overall in the league, Judge nearly matched his 2022 season. About the only thing Judge has never done is have consecutive 50-plus homer seasons, but that is nitpicking. It will be interesting to see what happens should Juan Soto not return in free agency, as Soto's presence on base was a contributing factor in Judge setting a new career high in RBI.
Judge had some noise surrounding his status during spring training around lingering pain from the toe injury after the incident with the right field wall at Dodger Stadium. Those concerns were not exactly assuaged when Judge had a .180/.315/.348 slash line a month into the regular season with three home runs. He hit three homers in one week toward the end of April and went on to hit 52 more the rest of the season and put up a Ruthian .349/.484/.768 slash line the rest of the season while driving in 133 runs and scoring 114 while chipping in nine steals. In a year where homers were down overall in the league, Judge nearly matched his 2022 season. About the only thing Judge has never done is have consecutive 50-plus homer seasons, but that is nitpicking. It will be interesting to see what happens should Juan Soto not return in free agency, as Soto's presence on base was a contributing factor in Judge setting a new career high in RBI.
G
159
AB
632
AVG
.302
HR
28
RBI
97
SB
38
R
107
Progress is not always linear, but Witt has been on an upward trajectory since breaking into the big leagues as the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in baseball in 2022. He improved upon all three elements of his slash line once again in 2024, adding nearly 60 points to his batting average to lead the majors at .332. At age 23/24, Witt played in all but one game for the Royals, earning his first All-Star selection and leading Kansas City to its first postseason appearance since 2015. He totaled 234 runs-plus-RBI while reaching 30 homers for a second straight season. The one area of decline was in the stolen-base department, as he fell back to 31 steals after totaling 49 the year prior. He was caught stealing 12 times in 43 attempts, but Witt ranked at the top of the sprint speed leaderboard at 30.5 ft/sec. Amazingly, there's still upside if he can improve his efficiency on the basepaths, and regardless he's already an elite fantasy producer. Despite a modest supporting cast, Witt should arguably be considered right alongside Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge at the very top of 2025 fantasy drafts.
Progress is not always linear, but Witt has been on an upward trajectory since breaking into the big leagues as the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in baseball in 2022. He improved upon all three elements of his slash line once again in 2024, adding nearly 60 points to his batting average to lead the majors at .332. At age 23/24, Witt played in all but one game for the Royals, earning his first All-Star selection and leading Kansas City to its first postseason appearance since 2015. He totaled 234 runs-plus-RBI while reaching 30 homers for a second straight season. The one area of decline was in the stolen-base department, as he fell back to 31 steals after totaling 49 the year prior. He was caught stealing 12 times in 43 attempts, but Witt ranked at the top of the sprint speed leaderboard at 30.5 ft/sec. Amazingly, there's still upside if he can improve his efficiency on the basepaths, and regardless he's already an elite fantasy producer. Despite a modest supporting cast, Witt should arguably be considered right alongside Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge at the very top of 2025 fantasy drafts.
G
158
AB
606
AVG
.282
HR
31
RBI
95
SB
39
R
103
Ramirez shored up his Hall of Fame case with what very well could have been a 40-40 campaign if not for a rainout on the final day of the regular season. The third baseman was an All-Star for the fourth consecutive year (sixth overall) and helped lead Cleveland to the ALCS. He's as durable as they come; Ramirez played in 158 games in 2024 and has now reached at least 152 games in seven of the last eight full MLB seasons. While he's been in the majors for over a decade, Ramirez is still just 32 years old, so he's not at the age where one might suspect the skills could drop off the table. There was some giveback with his walk rate last season, which led to a 21-point drop in OBP, and the batted-ball numbers don't jump off the page. That said, Ramirez is great at pulling flyballs, and his run production improved significantly last season with help from Steven Kwan and others around him. Fantasy managers should be thrilled to have to settle for Ramirez in the first round.
Ramirez shored up his Hall of Fame case with what very well could have been a 40-40 campaign if not for a rainout on the final day of the regular season. The third baseman was an All-Star for the fourth consecutive year (sixth overall) and helped lead Cleveland to the ALCS. He's as durable as they come; Ramirez played in 158 games in 2024 and has now reached at least 152 games in seven of the last eight full MLB seasons. While he's been in the majors for over a decade, Ramirez is still just 32 years old, so he's not at the age where one might suspect the skills could drop off the table. There was some giveback with his walk rate last season, which led to a 21-point drop in OBP, and the batted-ball numbers don't jump off the page. That said, Ramirez is great at pulling flyballs, and his run production improved significantly last season with help from Steven Kwan and others around him. Fantasy managers should be thrilled to have to settle for Ramirez in the first round.
G
153
AB
625
AVG
.270
HR
28
RBI
88
SB
30
R
95
After underwhelming throughout the vast majority of the regular season, Rodriguez caught fire again late to reach 20-20 for the third straight year to begin his MLB career. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Rodriguez sat with a .660 OPS, 11 homers and 40 RBI on the morning of Aug. 28. He would go on to slash .349/.386/.597 with nine homers and 28 RBI over his final 29 games, though it wasn't enough to drag the Mariners and their bottom-10 scoring offense to the postseason. He was efficient on the basepaths, but his attempts dipped, in particular after he returned from an IL stint due to a right ankle sprain. Rodriguez struggled against offspeed pitches to the tune of a .173 average and .199 xBA last season, but he made up for it to an extent by punishing fastballs. While his strikeout and walk numbers have not shown any tangible improvement in his three years in the league, and he looked more like a star than a superstar in 2024, it's important to remember he's still just entering his age-24 season.
After underwhelming throughout the vast majority of the regular season, Rodriguez caught fire again late to reach 20-20 for the third straight year to begin his MLB career. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Rodriguez sat with a .660 OPS, 11 homers and 40 RBI on the morning of Aug. 28. He would go on to slash .349/.386/.597 with nine homers and 28 RBI over his final 29 games, though it wasn't enough to drag the Mariners and their bottom-10 scoring offense to the postseason. He was efficient on the basepaths, but his attempts dipped, in particular after he returned from an IL stint due to a right ankle sprain. Rodriguez struggled against offspeed pitches to the tune of a .173 average and .199 xBA last season, but he made up for it to an extent by punishing fastballs. While his strikeout and walk numbers have not shown any tangible improvement in his three years in the league, and he looked more like a star than a superstar in 2024, it's important to remember he's still just entering his age-24 season.
G
147
AB
522
AVG
.280
HR
40
RBI
99
SB
4
R
104
Jim Thome isn't a common comp for high-end draft prospects, but that's the type of player scouts envision Kurtz becoming if he reaches his ceiling. The fourth-overall pick in 2024, Kurtz slashed .353/.450/.608 with two home runs and a 16:9 K:BB in 60 plate appearances in the Arizona Fall League after ending the regular season on the injured list at Double-A Midland due to a hamstring strain. Other than a general lack of athleticism and a bad body (listed at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds), Kurtz's only notable flaw is his injury history -- he missed time with random injuries while putting up cartoonish offensive numbers at Wake Forest (career 1.283 OPS, 46 home runs in 110 games his final two seasons). However, after slashing .368/.520/.763 with four homers in 12 games split between Single-A and Double-A before dominating in the AFL, Kurtz's track record of hitting pro pitching is arguably tops in the 2024 draft class. He could reach the majors this summer if he stays healthy and performs as expected.
Jim Thome isn't a common comp for high-end draft prospects, but that's the type of player scouts envision Kurtz becoming if he reaches his ceiling. The fourth-overall pick in 2024, Kurtz slashed .353/.450/.608 with two home runs and a 16:9 K:BB in 60 plate appearances in the Arizona Fall League after ending the regular season on the injured list at Double-A Midland due to a hamstring strain. Other than a general lack of athleticism and a bad body (listed at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds), Kurtz's only notable flaw is his injury history -- he missed time with random injuries while putting up cartoonish offensive numbers at Wake Forest (career 1.283 OPS, 46 home runs in 110 games his final two seasons). However, after slashing .368/.520/.763 with four homers in 12 games split between Single-A and Double-A before dominating in the AFL, Kurtz's track record of hitting pro pitching is arguably tops in the 2024 draft class. He could reach the majors this summer if he stays healthy and performs as expected.
G
155
AB
590
AVG
.271
HR
26
RBI
79
SB
22
R
99
Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury.
Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury.
G
149
AB
543
AVG
.234
HR
42
RBI
100
SB
7
R
87
Raleigh's 34 homers led all catchers. His 91 long balls since 2022 are 18 more than the next backstop's. However, Raleigh's power comes at the expense of batting average. He's fanned at a 28 percent clip over the past two seasons, and his 50 percent fly-ball rate in that span suppresses BABIP. Volume is usually a benefit, except with batting average. Still, playing more than most non-catchers is a huge boon to his counting stats. Raleigh is one of the best in the league behind the plate, so he's going to continue to log more playing time than others at the position. Raleigh's skills are stable, so if you construct a roster to absorb his batting average, Raleigh's counting stats yield a huge edge. An above-average walk rate boosts "Big Dumper" in points and OBP formats.
Raleigh's 34 homers led all catchers. His 91 long balls since 2022 are 18 more than the next backstop's. However, Raleigh's power comes at the expense of batting average. He's fanned at a 28 percent clip over the past two seasons, and his 50 percent fly-ball rate in that span suppresses BABIP. Volume is usually a benefit, except with batting average. Still, playing more than most non-catchers is a huge boon to his counting stats. Raleigh is one of the best in the league behind the plate, so he's going to continue to log more playing time than others at the position. Raleigh's skills are stable, so if you construct a roster to absorb his batting average, Raleigh's counting stats yield a huge edge. An above-average walk rate boosts "Big Dumper" in points and OBP formats.
G
157
AB
601
AVG
.295
HR
26
RBI
93
SB
4
R
92
Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that season was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. Last season saw him finish as the top first baseman and as a top-15 overall hitter in fantasy for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason to think he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025.
Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that season was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. Last season saw him finish as the top first baseman and as a top-15 overall hitter in fantasy for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason to think he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025.
G
150
AB
558
AVG
.269
HR
33
RBI
92
SB
7
R
81
Pick a stat, any stat, it doesn't matter. Counting stat, ratio, whatever. It was a personal best for Rooker. His 28.8 percent strikeout rate was still too high and is a concern, since it's rare for a player to repeat a career year. Moving out of the Coliseum and playing in Sutter Health Park, the home field for Triple-A Sacramento River Rats should help assuage regression. After the season, it was reported that Rooker experienced soreness in his right arm for most of the season, ostensibly explaining why Rooker appeared exclusively at DH after only 14 games in the outfield. Rooker is expected to be 100 percent in the spring. He'll start the season with UT-only designation but should pick up outfield eligibility. The initial UT-only status could render a buying opportunity, helping buffer the likely fall off from last season. Rooker inked a five-year, $60 million extension with the Athletics in January, which should put an end to any trade chatter for the foreseeable future.
Pick a stat, any stat, it doesn't matter. Counting stat, ratio, whatever. It was a personal best for Rooker. His 28.8 percent strikeout rate was still too high and is a concern, since it's rare for a player to repeat a career year. Moving out of the Coliseum and playing in Sutter Health Park, the home field for Triple-A Sacramento River Rats should help assuage regression. After the season, it was reported that Rooker experienced soreness in his right arm for most of the season, ostensibly explaining why Rooker appeared exclusively at DH after only 14 games in the outfield. Rooker is expected to be 100 percent in the spring. He'll start the season with UT-only designation but should pick up outfield eligibility. The initial UT-only status could render a buying opportunity, helping buffer the likely fall off from last season. Rooker inked a five-year, $60 million extension with the Athletics in January, which should put an end to any trade chatter for the foreseeable future.
G
137
AB
496
AVG
.246
HR
26
RBI
73
SB
31
R
72
Chisholm enjoyed the healthiest season of his career as he finally broke the 125 games played total in a season while splitting his time between Miami and New York. The games played was not the only career high as he also set a new high in every counting category as well as batting average and strikeout rate. The change in venues from the spacious Marlins Stadium to the coziness of Yankee Stadium did wonders for Chisholm, as he hit 11 of his 24 homers in the 46 games with the Yankees while also stealing 18 of the 40 bases. We have known for some time what Chisholm is capable of while on the field, but the time lost in 2021-2023 due to multiple injuries impacted his value. He now gets to play the final two seasons of his arbitration years in a much better stadium and lineup than what he experienced in Miami and the cost of acquisition this winter will rise accordingly. The decision fantasy managers must make: Is the juice worth the squeeze given how much time the talented player has missed over the past four seasons? The 3B and OF eligibility is a nice added bonus.
Chisholm enjoyed the healthiest season of his career as he finally broke the 125 games played total in a season while splitting his time between Miami and New York. The games played was not the only career high as he also set a new high in every counting category as well as batting average and strikeout rate. The change in venues from the spacious Marlins Stadium to the coziness of Yankee Stadium did wonders for Chisholm, as he hit 11 of his 24 homers in the 46 games with the Yankees while also stealing 18 of the 40 bases. We have known for some time what Chisholm is capable of while on the field, but the time lost in 2021-2023 due to multiple injuries impacted his value. He now gets to play the final two seasons of his arbitration years in a much better stadium and lineup than what he experienced in Miami and the cost of acquisition this winter will rise accordingly. The decision fantasy managers must make: Is the juice worth the squeeze given how much time the talented player has missed over the past four seasons? The 3B and OF eligibility is a nice added bonus.
G
145
AB
540
AVG
.267
HR
25
RBI
73
SB
18
R
92
There were signs that Springer was approaching a production cliff in his career, but nothing truly pointed to him having this type of falloff. Springer posted the worst batting average of his full-season career by nearly 40 points and failed to reach 20 homers in a full season for the first time since 2015 when he appeared in just 102 games. The walk rate and the contact rates remained constant, yet Springer's bat appeared at times as if it still had a weighted doughnut on it. Springer has made a career of feasting off fastballs, but hit just .241 against fastballs in 2024 and .192 against non-fastballs. He no longer has the juice to get into the elevate-and-celebrate crowd as his groundball to fly-ball ratio has dropped from 0.70 in 2021 to 1.54 this past season. His 50.7 percent groundball rate was the highest of his career, while his 39.8 percent pull percentage was a continuation of the 2023 struggles. His contract will guarantee him playing time in Toronto, but where that playing time comes in the lineup is anyone's guess. He no longer profiles as a top-of-the-lineup hitter, so his production could be further impacted hitting down in the lineup as Toronto either looks to make one final push in the Vlad era or begins a tear-down after multiple disappointing seasons. Springer is absolutely on his descent down the aging curve and appears to be in a rapidly accelerating phase at this time.
There were signs that Springer was approaching a production cliff in his career, but nothing truly pointed to him having this type of falloff. Springer posted the worst batting average of his full-season career by nearly 40 points and failed to reach 20 homers in a full season for the first time since 2015 when he appeared in just 102 games. The walk rate and the contact rates remained constant, yet Springer's bat appeared at times as if it still had a weighted doughnut on it. Springer has made a career of feasting off fastballs, but hit just .241 against fastballs in 2024 and .192 against non-fastballs. He no longer has the juice to get into the elevate-and-celebrate crowd as his groundball to fly-ball ratio has dropped from 0.70 in 2021 to 1.54 this past season. His 50.7 percent groundball rate was the highest of his career, while his 39.8 percent pull percentage was a continuation of the 2023 struggles. His contract will guarantee him playing time in Toronto, but where that playing time comes in the lineup is anyone's guess. He no longer profiles as a top-of-the-lineup hitter, so his production could be further impacted hitting down in the lineup as Toronto either looks to make one final push in the Vlad era or begins a tear-down after multiple disappointing seasons. Springer is absolutely on his descent down the aging curve and appears to be in a rapidly accelerating phase at this time.
G
145
AB
558
AVG
.276
HR
15
RBI
69
SB
28
R
82
Duran built on his breakthrough 2023 season by walking more while fanning less. It was Duran's third straight season with an improved strikeout rate and second consecutive season with a better walk rate. A career-high barrel rate helped Duran lead MLB in both double and triples, elevating his stead in points and Best Ball formats. He faded down the stretch, posting a 61 wRC+ in September, after ranging between 102 and 193 the prior five months. Fatigue may have been the season considering the only games Duran missed were in August due to a two-game suspension for an audible homophobic slur. This was the only blight on a season in which Duran captured down ballot MVP votes. He rebounded from adversity before and is likely to do it again. The safe play is pulling back from a career year, but Duran has the skill set to keep getting better.
Duran built on his breakthrough 2023 season by walking more while fanning less. It was Duran's third straight season with an improved strikeout rate and second consecutive season with a better walk rate. A career-high barrel rate helped Duran lead MLB in both double and triples, elevating his stead in points and Best Ball formats. He faded down the stretch, posting a 61 wRC+ in September, after ranging between 102 and 193 the prior five months. Fatigue may have been the season considering the only games Duran missed were in August due to a two-game suspension for an audible homophobic slur. This was the only blight on a season in which Duran captured down ballot MVP votes. He rebounded from adversity before and is likely to do it again. The safe play is pulling back from a career year, but Duran has the skill set to keep getting better.
G
156
AB
577
AVG
.236
HR
24
RBI
72
SB
25
R
89
The Home Run Derby curse is mostly pseudo-science, but Arozarena is doing his best to disprove that line of thought. Arozarena was arguably on the best run of his regular-season career in 2023 prior to the derby, but he was terrible after it, and the 2024 season was mostly an extension of the same. Arozarena did get to another 20-20 season, and only he and Jose Ramirez have done that each of the past four seasons, but Arozarena has now had 926 post-derby plate appearances and has a .219/.332/.382 slash line with 27 homers and 32 steals. It was long expected the Rays would deal Arozarena in his expensive years, but the move to Seattle was a terrible one for his run production, and he hit five homers in 54 games after the trade. The puzzling part with Arozarena is the increased strikeout rate does not come from him chasing out of the zone, but instead because his in-zone contact rate has declined now for three consecutive seasons. He has become a more disciplined hitter these days, but his struggles against fastballs in 2024 (.221 vs .282 in 2023) were extremely concerning. The volume should once again be there, but at what cost?
The Home Run Derby curse is mostly pseudo-science, but Arozarena is doing his best to disprove that line of thought. Arozarena was arguably on the best run of his regular-season career in 2023 prior to the derby, but he was terrible after it, and the 2024 season was mostly an extension of the same. Arozarena did get to another 20-20 season, and only he and Jose Ramirez have done that each of the past four seasons, but Arozarena has now had 926 post-derby plate appearances and has a .219/.332/.382 slash line with 27 homers and 32 steals. It was long expected the Rays would deal Arozarena in his expensive years, but the move to Seattle was a terrible one for his run production, and he hit five homers in 54 games after the trade. The puzzling part with Arozarena is the increased strikeout rate does not come from him chasing out of the zone, but instead because his in-zone contact rate has declined now for three consecutive seasons. He has become a more disciplined hitter these days, but his struggles against fastballs in 2024 (.221 vs .282 in 2023) were extremely concerning. The volume should once again be there, but at what cost?
G
133
AB
525
AVG
.286
HR
21
RBI
65
SB
15
R
83
Altuve was an everyday presence in the lineup last season after being limited to 90 games in 2023, though he wasn't as productive at the plate with a .789 OPS being his worst full-season mark since 2013. He still delivered 20 homers and 22 steals, which was his best work on the basepaths in seven years, but it's fair to wonder if Father Time is starting to catch up to him. Altuve will turn 35 years old in May, and it's worth noting that his .264 xBA and .406 xSLG were each 30-plus points lower than the actual figures. He has significantly outperformed those expected stats throughout his MLB career, but it's more of a concern as he moves through his mid-30s. Altuve is still a decent bet for a high batting average, another 20-20 campaign and strong counting stats in 2025, but the risk of a fall-off is increasing with each passing season.
Altuve was an everyday presence in the lineup last season after being limited to 90 games in 2023, though he wasn't as productive at the plate with a .789 OPS being his worst full-season mark since 2013. He still delivered 20 homers and 22 steals, which was his best work on the basepaths in seven years, but it's fair to wonder if Father Time is starting to catch up to him. Altuve will turn 35 years old in May, and it's worth noting that his .264 xBA and .406 xSLG were each 30-plus points lower than the actual figures. He has significantly outperformed those expected stats throughout his MLB career, but it's more of a concern as he moves through his mid-30s. Altuve is still a decent bet for a high batting average, another 20-20 campaign and strong counting stats in 2025, but the risk of a fall-off is increasing with each passing season.
G
153
AB
553
AVG
.246
HR
23
RBI
70
SB
23
R
79
The 24-year-old shortstop took a major step forward during his sophomore campaign in 2024 and finished with 23 homers, 30 steals and a .761 OPS in 155 games. He also provided plus-11 Defensive Runs Saved, though his range was limited with minus-five Outs Above Average. Neto was drafted during the first round of the 2022 Draft and has only 287 professional games under his belt, so he could continue to improve as he matures. He's a cornerstone piece up the middle for the Angels and got more starts in the two-hole than any other spot in the lineup last year. Early-November shoulder surgery clouds his status for Opening Day, and it could prevent him from achieving what otherwise seemed likely to be another 20-20 season.
The 24-year-old shortstop took a major step forward during his sophomore campaign in 2024 and finished with 23 homers, 30 steals and a .761 OPS in 155 games. He also provided plus-11 Defensive Runs Saved, though his range was limited with minus-five Outs Above Average. Neto was drafted during the first round of the 2022 Draft and has only 287 professional games under his belt, so he could continue to improve as he matures. He's a cornerstone piece up the middle for the Angels and got more starts in the two-hole than any other spot in the lineup last year. Early-November shoulder surgery clouds his status for Opening Day, and it could prevent him from achieving what otherwise seemed likely to be another 20-20 season.
The rest of our Fantasy Baseball Outlooks & Rankings are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
GS
31
IP
187.0
W
15
SV
0
K
230
ERA
2.40
WHIP
0.901
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.
GS
30
IP
192.0
W
13
SV
0
K
235
ERA
3.09
WHIP
1.099
Crochet's career trajectory has been anything but traditional as he made his MLB debut for the White Sox in 2020 without first playing in the minors, and he transitioned to the starting rotation in 2024 without having previously made a professional start. The left-hander was dominant despite being on the worst team in the history of MLB, and he finished the campaign with a 3.58 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 209:33 K:BB over 146 innings. Chicago elected not to trade him at the summer deadline and heavily monitored his workload across the final three months of the season, during which he never pitched more than four innings. He also labored in those final 14 starts with a 4.84 ERA, but those struggles aren't a major surprise given it was his first season as a professional starter. The Red Sox acquired Crochet for a package of prospects this winter, so he'll be pitching his home games in one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the game but should also get much better run support and defense than the White Sox gave him a year ago.
Crochet's career trajectory has been anything but traditional as he made his MLB debut for the White Sox in 2020 without first playing in the minors, and he transitioned to the starting rotation in 2024 without having previously made a professional start. The left-hander was dominant despite being on the worst team in the history of MLB, and he finished the campaign with a 3.58 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 209:33 K:BB over 146 innings. Chicago elected not to trade him at the summer deadline and heavily monitored his workload across the final three months of the season, during which he never pitched more than four innings. He also labored in those final 14 starts with a 4.84 ERA, but those struggles aren't a major surprise given it was his first season as a professional starter. The Red Sox acquired Crochet for a package of prospects this winter, so he'll be pitching his home games in one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the game but should also get much better run support and defense than the White Sox gave him a year ago.
GS
29
IP
170.0
W
12
SV
0
K
165
ERA
2.85
WHIP
1.003
The Rangers experienced the dreaded World Series hangover as a team, but Eovaldi emerged largely unaffected. The veteran right-hander missed nearly all of May with a groin issue, but his 29 starts and 170.2 innings were easily his highest marks over the last three seasons and his 23.9 percent strikeout rate was also tops over that stretch. Eovaldi will be going into his age-35 season and no longer sits in the upper-90s with his fastball, but the pitch remains effective in large part because it pairs so well with his nasty splitter. He's a quintessential high-floor fantasy option who lacks big strikeout upside but offers a stable skill set, and he's back with the Rangers after agreeing to a three-year, $75 million deal.
The Rangers experienced the dreaded World Series hangover as a team, but Eovaldi emerged largely unaffected. The veteran right-hander missed nearly all of May with a groin issue, but his 29 starts and 170.2 innings were easily his highest marks over the last three seasons and his 23.9 percent strikeout rate was also tops over that stretch. Eovaldi will be going into his age-35 season and no longer sits in the upper-90s with his fastball, but the pitch remains effective in large part because it pairs so well with his nasty splitter. He's a quintessential high-floor fantasy option who lacks big strikeout upside but offers a stable skill set, and he's back with the Rangers after agreeing to a three-year, $75 million deal.
GS
29
IP
172.2
W
15
SV
0
K
168
ERA
2.92
WHIP
1.124
The left-hander was limited to 14 starts due to injuries in 2023, but he stayed mostly healthy last season and finished with a 3.25 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 166:57 K:BB over 174.1 innings (29 starts). Fried has made at least 28 starts in four of the last five 162-game seasons, so availability hasn't been a consistent concern since he established himself in Atlanta's rotation. With that said, he's topped 180 innings just once in his big-league career, so he shouldn't exactly be considered a workhorse. Fried's 23.2 percent strikeout rate was on par with his career average as he continues to rely on inducing grounders (58.8 percent groundball rate), so his fantasy ceiling can be a bit limited compared to other marquee starters. That means he's a bit more reliant on the defense behind him than many top-level starters. Fried inked a long-term deal with the Yankees, who ranked 10th in outs above average last year, although it's fair to apply a slight free agent tax on him for his first year in a new pressure-packed situation.
The left-hander was limited to 14 starts due to injuries in 2023, but he stayed mostly healthy last season and finished with a 3.25 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 166:57 K:BB over 174.1 innings (29 starts). Fried has made at least 28 starts in four of the last five 162-game seasons, so availability hasn't been a consistent concern since he established himself in Atlanta's rotation. With that said, he's topped 180 innings just once in his big-league career, so he shouldn't exactly be considered a workhorse. Fried's 23.2 percent strikeout rate was on par with his career average as he continues to rely on inducing grounders (58.8 percent groundball rate), so his fantasy ceiling can be a bit limited compared to other marquee starters. That means he's a bit more reliant on the defense behind him than many top-level starters. Fried inked a long-term deal with the Yankees, who ranked 10th in outs above average last year, although it's fair to apply a slight free agent tax on him for his first year in a new pressure-packed situation.
GS
29
IP
164.2
W
12
SV
0
K
162
ERA
3.22
WHIP
0.984
Woo's 2024 season was an extension of his professional resume: impressive stints disrupted by injury. Woo required an internal brace procedure after his collegiate career in 2021, but reached the majors in 2023 and worked 131.2 innings while skipping over Triple-A in the process. The 2024 season saw him pitch nearly the same amount of innings between the majors and a minor league rehab assignment due to a mid-summer hamstring injury that preceded a forearm discomfort scare in mid-June. Woo throws five different pitches to both lefties and righties, with his sweeper being the deadliest of them all. Woo mainly used the sweeper to neutralize righties (.100 avg, 42 percent whiff rate) while using his changeup to lefties (.186 avg, 21 percent whiff rate), which helped his four-seam fastball (.218 avg, 27 percent whiff rate) play up extremely well. The pieces are here for Woo to take a step forward in 2025 like the other starters around him have recently done, but his health troubles need to get out of the way for him to fully realize his potential.
Woo's 2024 season was an extension of his professional resume: impressive stints disrupted by injury. Woo required an internal brace procedure after his collegiate career in 2021, but reached the majors in 2023 and worked 131.2 innings while skipping over Triple-A in the process. The 2024 season saw him pitch nearly the same amount of innings between the majors and a minor league rehab assignment due to a mid-summer hamstring injury that preceded a forearm discomfort scare in mid-June. Woo throws five different pitches to both lefties and righties, with his sweeper being the deadliest of them all. Woo mainly used the sweeper to neutralize righties (.100 avg, 42 percent whiff rate) while using his changeup to lefties (.186 avg, 21 percent whiff rate), which helped his four-seam fastball (.218 avg, 27 percent whiff rate) play up extremely well. The pieces are here for Woo to take a step forward in 2025 like the other starters around him have recently done, but his health troubles need to get out of the way for him to fully realize his potential.
GS
31
IP
179.1
W
9
SV
0
K
206
ERA
3.42
WHIP
0.994
Gilbert is Exhibit A for changing the wins category to innings pitched. He led MLB with 208.2 frames, but despite a top five xFIP and SIERA, his nine wins matched the totals of James Paxton, Cole Sands and Jared Koenig. Gilbert's control remains his primary asset, with a 4.6 percent walk rate checking in as the fifth best among qualified pitchers last season. He was both lucky and unlucky with a fortunate .236 BABIP and snake bit 69.5 percent left on base mark. Gilbert throws six pitches, with a four-seam fastball and slider leading the way in both quality and quantity. In today's landscape where five-and-fly is a solid outing, Gilbert logged 26 of 33 starts of at least six stanzas. Durability is an ally, with his 97 starts and 585 innings since 2022 both ranking as fourth most in MLB. Gilbert should be in play for those wanting an ace.
Gilbert is Exhibit A for changing the wins category to innings pitched. He led MLB with 208.2 frames, but despite a top five xFIP and SIERA, his nine wins matched the totals of James Paxton, Cole Sands and Jared Koenig. Gilbert's control remains his primary asset, with a 4.6 percent walk rate checking in as the fifth best among qualified pitchers last season. He was both lucky and unlucky with a fortunate .236 BABIP and snake bit 69.5 percent left on base mark. Gilbert throws six pitches, with a four-seam fastball and slider leading the way in both quality and quantity. In today's landscape where five-and-fly is a solid outing, Gilbert logged 26 of 33 starts of at least six stanzas. Durability is an ally, with his 97 starts and 585 innings since 2022 both ranking as fourth most in MLB. Gilbert should be in play for those wanting an ace.
GS
31
IP
179.1
W
14
SV
0
K
197
ERA
3.42
WHIP
1.184
In eight games in 2024, Brown was 1-4 with a 7.71 ERA and a 5.52 FIP, and he allowed 21 walks and 8 homers in 37.1 innings of work. Many, including the staffer writing this outlook, dropped him after the terrible start. Brown then went on to close the month of May with two quality starts with 12 strikeouts, three walks and just a single homer against the Angels and Mariners. Brown then did for you what he wasn't doing the first third of the season and went 10-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP along with a 18.4 percent K-BB percentage the rest of this season. Brown credited time spent with Ryan Pressly and Alex Bregman on approaching his game plan and batters, but the addition of a sinker in late May certainly helped, as it gave Brown a pitch that moved into righties and away from lefties. By season's end, the sinker was Brown's primary pitch, and the league struggled to square up most of his offerings after May. Only that sinker had an actual batting average against over .250, and Brown used six different pitch types to righties and lefties, keeping them on their toes. Houston has some changes to its overall roster, but Brown's significant step forward in 2024 in the face of some early statistical adversity has certainly raised his draft profile. Dare we say dark horse Cy Young candidate?
In eight games in 2024, Brown was 1-4 with a 7.71 ERA and a 5.52 FIP, and he allowed 21 walks and 8 homers in 37.1 innings of work. Many, including the staffer writing this outlook, dropped him after the terrible start. Brown then went on to close the month of May with two quality starts with 12 strikeouts, three walks and just a single homer against the Angels and Mariners. Brown then did for you what he wasn't doing the first third of the season and went 10-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP along with a 18.4 percent K-BB percentage the rest of this season. Brown credited time spent with Ryan Pressly and Alex Bregman on approaching his game plan and batters, but the addition of a sinker in late May certainly helped, as it gave Brown a pitch that moved into righties and away from lefties. By season's end, the sinker was Brown's primary pitch, and the league struggled to square up most of his offerings after May. Only that sinker had an actual batting average against over .250, and Brown used six different pitch types to righties and lefties, keeping them on their toes. Houston has some changes to its overall roster, but Brown's significant step forward in 2024 in the face of some early statistical adversity has certainly raised his draft profile. Dare we say dark horse Cy Young candidate?
GS
27
IP
168.2
W
12
SV
0
K
168
ERA
3.37
WHIP
1.058
Pepiot was the key piece of the Tyler Glasnow trade and, at times, showed why the Rays targeted the talented hurler in the deal. The resume could almost be bookended by the six innings of shutout ball at Coors in early April with 11 strikeouts or the start against Boston near the end of September where a solo homer was his only blemish over six innings with 12 strikeouts. He finished the season with nine quality starts while making 26 starts in all, since his season was disrupted by a bug bite that led to a nasty knee infection which required hospitalization. Pepiot's next step forward is going to hinge upon his ability to develop a consistent third pitch. The fastball and changeup have shown they are major-league quality, but Pepiot continues to tinker with the rest of his repertoire. The Rays had him add a cutter for lefties, as well as a curveball with some success, which is promising for his 2025 potential. There is another level here for the 27-year-old that could appear as soon as this season.
Pepiot was the key piece of the Tyler Glasnow trade and, at times, showed why the Rays targeted the talented hurler in the deal. The resume could almost be bookended by the six innings of shutout ball at Coors in early April with 11 strikeouts or the start against Boston near the end of September where a solo homer was his only blemish over six innings with 12 strikeouts. He finished the season with nine quality starts while making 26 starts in all, since his season was disrupted by a bug bite that led to a nasty knee infection which required hospitalization. Pepiot's next step forward is going to hinge upon his ability to develop a consistent third pitch. The fastball and changeup have shown they are major-league quality, but Pepiot continues to tinker with the rest of his repertoire. The Rays had him add a cutter for lefties, as well as a curveball with some success, which is promising for his 2025 potential. There is another level here for the 27-year-old that could appear as soon as this season.
GS
31
IP
187.0
W
12
SV
0
K
192
ERA
3.55
WHIP
1.136
Gausman had a health scare during spring training when he developed a shoulder problem, which caused him to slide in some fantasy drafts. The right-hander avoided the injured list, however, and ultimately made 31 starts and threw 181 innings for the Blue Jays. Unfortunately, Gausman didn't look like the same guy, with his strikeout rate plummeting nearly 10 percentage points down to 21.4 percent. His velocity fluctuated from start to start and was down almost a full mph overall, and Gausman also didn't have the same feel for his trademark splitter, seeing his whiff rate on the pitch drop to easily a career-low 33.5 percent. Gausman did have three 10-strikeout games in 2024, offering hope that the swing-and-miss is still in there. However, it's fair to wonder whether he can rediscover it on a consistent basis in his age-34 season.
Gausman had a health scare during spring training when he developed a shoulder problem, which caused him to slide in some fantasy drafts. The right-hander avoided the injured list, however, and ultimately made 31 starts and threw 181 innings for the Blue Jays. Unfortunately, Gausman didn't look like the same guy, with his strikeout rate plummeting nearly 10 percentage points down to 21.4 percent. His velocity fluctuated from start to start and was down almost a full mph overall, and Gausman also didn't have the same feel for his trademark splitter, seeing his whiff rate on the pitch drop to easily a career-low 33.5 percent. Gausman did have three 10-strikeout games in 2024, offering hope that the swing-and-miss is still in there. However, it's fair to wonder whether he can rediscover it on a consistent basis in his age-34 season.
GS
28
IP
137.0
W
6
SV
0
K
162
ERA
2.68
WHIP
0.971
Plans for deGrom to return from Tommy John surgery in early August failed to manifest, but he logged three abbreviated starts in late September. Pitching with six days rest for each, deGrom surrendered only two earned runs in 10.2 innings, punching out 14 while issuing just one free pass. He averaged 97.3-mph on this four-seam fastball, with a max of 99.4-mph. Fear of missing out enters the chat. Including rehab, deGrom recorded 21.1 frames last season, with only 107.1 combined innings over the prior two years. This was his second Tommy John procedure, and deGrom has experienced shoulder issues as well. There is no right or wrong; rostering deGrom is a matter of risk tolerance, and being prepared in case he misses more time, though even if healthy, the veteran's workload will be tempered. Your team, your call.
Plans for deGrom to return from Tommy John surgery in early August failed to manifest, but he logged three abbreviated starts in late September. Pitching with six days rest for each, deGrom surrendered only two earned runs in 10.2 innings, punching out 14 while issuing just one free pass. He averaged 97.3-mph on this four-seam fastball, with a max of 99.4-mph. Fear of missing out enters the chat. Including rehab, deGrom recorded 21.1 frames last season, with only 107.1 combined innings over the prior two years. This was his second Tommy John procedure, and deGrom has experienced shoulder issues as well. There is no right or wrong; rostering deGrom is a matter of risk tolerance, and being prepared in case he misses more time, though even if healthy, the veteran's workload will be tempered. Your team, your call.
GS
30
IP
172.2
W
13
SV
0
K
171
ERA
3.75
WHIP
1.112
For the second straight year, Kirby had the lowest walk rate among qualified starters. He got off to a rocky start with an eight-run blowup in his second outing of the year and a 4.33 ERA through his first 11 starts. However, Kirby then turned in nine consecutive quality starts from June 9 to July 26. Water usually finds its level, and Kirby's 3.53 ERA at the end of the year was pretty much right in line with the underlying skills (3.58 xFIP, 3.56 SIERA). He's reached 190 innings in back-to-back seasons, but that is likely out of reach for 2025 given Kirby will start the year on the year with a shoulder issue. The other problem is that he still has not shown any growth with his strikeout rate, which has hovered right around 23 percent in each of his three seasons in the majors so far. It's not out of the question that the right pitch-mix tweak could unlock another level with the punchouts, but that's purely conjecture at this point.
For the second straight year, Kirby had the lowest walk rate among qualified starters. He got off to a rocky start with an eight-run blowup in his second outing of the year and a 4.33 ERA through his first 11 starts. However, Kirby then turned in nine consecutive quality starts from June 9 to July 26. Water usually finds its level, and Kirby's 3.53 ERA at the end of the year was pretty much right in line with the underlying skills (3.58 xFIP, 3.56 SIERA). He's reached 190 innings in back-to-back seasons, but that is likely out of reach for 2025 given Kirby will start the year on the year with a shoulder issue. The other problem is that he still has not shown any growth with his strikeout rate, which has hovered right around 23 percent in each of his three seasons in the majors so far. It's not out of the question that the right pitch-mix tweak could unlock another level with the punchouts, but that's purely conjecture at this point.
GS
28
IP
157.0
W
10
SV
0
K
180
ERA
3.76
WHIP
1.045
Ryan was on track for the best season of his career with a 3.60 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 115 ERA+ before suffering a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 that caused him to miss the rest of the season. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (93.9 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 27.3 K% and 13.1% swinging-strike rate. Meanwhile, his off-speed pitches graded below average. His real weakness is as a flyball pitcher (35.7 GB%), he can be prone to the long ball. However, he improved last season with 1.27 HR/9 from 1.78 HR/9 in 2023. Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Minnesota rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park, improve his off-speed repertoire and stay healthy (he also struggled late in 2023 after missing time with a groin injury).
Ryan was on track for the best season of his career with a 3.60 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 115 ERA+ before suffering a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 that caused him to miss the rest of the season. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (93.9 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 27.3 K% and 13.1% swinging-strike rate. Meanwhile, his off-speed pitches graded below average. His real weakness is as a flyball pitcher (35.7 GB%), he can be prone to the long ball. However, he improved last season with 1.27 HR/9 from 1.78 HR/9 in 2023. Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Minnesota rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park, improve his off-speed repertoire and stay healthy (he also struggled late in 2023 after missing time with a groin injury).
GS
30
IP
173.1
W
11
SV
0
K
142
ERA
3.17
WHIP
1.113
Older lefties with mediocre fastball velocity and plus changeups typically put up misleadingly strong numbers against lower-level hitters before getting exposed in the upper levels, but Cameron was able surprise scouts by carving up Double-A and Triple-A hitters in 2024 en route to setting up a 2025 big-league debut. The 25-year-old southpaw's pro debut was delayed until 2022 as he recovered from Tommy John surgery as a junior at Central Arkansas, and the only time Cameron has struggled against pro hitters was in his first taste of Double-A in 2023. His 7.8 percent walk rate in a return to Double-A was strong, but his 5.1 percent walk rate at Triple-A was the 10th best mark among all pitchers with 50-plus innings at Triple-A, and the only real starting pitching prospect to top him was Marlins righty Adam Mazur (4.9 BB%). Cameron doesn't just rely on his plus changeup, as he also mixes in a quality curveball and a useful fourth-pitch cutter. His 92-mph fastball has good life, which allows it to play up in the zone, and he touched 96 mph with the pitch for the first time last year. If he's commanding the ball like he did at Triple-A, he has enough in his repertoire to succeed as a big-league starter. The 6-foot-3 Cameron threw a career-high 128.2 innings last year and could get a look in the Royals rotation early in the year if he picks up where he left off in 2024.
Older lefties with mediocre fastball velocity and plus changeups typically put up misleadingly strong numbers against lower-level hitters before getting exposed in the upper levels, but Cameron was able surprise scouts by carving up Double-A and Triple-A hitters in 2024 en route to setting up a 2025 big-league debut. The 25-year-old southpaw's pro debut was delayed until 2022 as he recovered from Tommy John surgery as a junior at Central Arkansas, and the only time Cameron has struggled against pro hitters was in his first taste of Double-A in 2023. His 7.8 percent walk rate in a return to Double-A was strong, but his 5.1 percent walk rate at Triple-A was the 10th best mark among all pitchers with 50-plus innings at Triple-A, and the only real starting pitching prospect to top him was Marlins righty Adam Mazur (4.9 BB%). Cameron doesn't just rely on his plus changeup, as he also mixes in a quality curveball and a useful fourth-pitch cutter. His 92-mph fastball has good life, which allows it to play up in the zone, and he touched 96 mph with the pitch for the first time last year. If he's commanding the ball like he did at Triple-A, he has enough in his repertoire to succeed as a big-league starter. The 6-foot-3 Cameron threw a career-high 128.2 innings last year and could get a look in the Royals rotation early in the year if he picks up where he left off in 2024.
GS
27
IP
162.0
W
9
SV
0
K
159
ERA
3.11
WHIP
1.111
Bieber dazzled during spring training and in his first two starts of the 2024 regular season, seemingly putting concerns of his elbow issues from 2023 behind him. Unfortunately, previous injury remains the best predictor of future injury and it was at that point when it was announced Bieber needed Tommy John surgery. He will miss the first few months of the 2025 campaign and represents a wild card even before accounting for how his stuff and command bounces back post-op. Bieber's velocity and strikeouts have been heading in the wrong direction, save for the two-start sample in 2024, but he showed in 2022 he can still turn in an elite fantasy performance even with diminished stuff. He'll remain in familiar hands, inking a one-year, $14 million deal with Cleveland, so there will be motivation from both sides for him have a strong showing in the second half.
Bieber dazzled during spring training and in his first two starts of the 2024 regular season, seemingly putting concerns of his elbow issues from 2023 behind him. Unfortunately, previous injury remains the best predictor of future injury and it was at that point when it was announced Bieber needed Tommy John surgery. He will miss the first few months of the 2025 campaign and represents a wild card even before accounting for how his stuff and command bounces back post-op. Bieber's velocity and strikeouts have been heading in the wrong direction, save for the two-start sample in 2024, but he showed in 2022 he can still turn in an elite fantasy performance even with diminished stuff. He'll remain in familiar hands, inking a one-year, $14 million deal with Cleveland, so there will be motivation from both sides for him have a strong showing in the second half.
GS
26
IP
140.0
W
10
SV
0
K
146
ERA
3.09
WHIP
1.093
Springs, like a few Tampa Bay pitchers, was making his way back from 2023 surgery and the rustiness showed more with him than the likes of Shane Baz and Drew Rasmussen. That should not have been surprising since the changeup is Springs' signature pitch and that's a feel pitch which takes some time to fully rediscover after a major surgery. Righties did have a 44.2 percent whiff rate on the changeup, but also hit .333 off the offering, albeit with a .222 xBA. Springs' fastball and changeup are a symbiotic pair as the latter makes the former better, so the changeup struggles led to a decline in his fastball outcomes as well. Springs also introduced a cutter as the season went on, giving him at least four pitch types to throw both lefties and righties. Jeffrey is no Springs Chicken at 32, and has just once worked even more than 50 innings in a major-league season. He was dealt to the Athletics this offseason, so Springs should see a notable downgrade in home park factors while pitching in Sacramento relative to Tropicana Field.
Springs, like a few Tampa Bay pitchers, was making his way back from 2023 surgery and the rustiness showed more with him than the likes of Shane Baz and Drew Rasmussen. That should not have been surprising since the changeup is Springs' signature pitch and that's a feel pitch which takes some time to fully rediscover after a major surgery. Righties did have a 44.2 percent whiff rate on the changeup, but also hit .333 off the offering, albeit with a .222 xBA. Springs' fastball and changeup are a symbiotic pair as the latter makes the former better, so the changeup struggles led to a decline in his fastball outcomes as well. Springs also introduced a cutter as the season went on, giving him at least four pitch types to throw both lefties and righties. Jeffrey is no Springs Chicken at 32, and has just once worked even more than 50 innings in a major-league season. He was dealt to the Athletics this offseason, so Springs should see a notable downgrade in home park factors while pitching in Sacramento relative to Tropicana Field.
The rest of our Fantasy Baseball Outlooks & Rankings are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
G
149
AB
543
AVG
.234
HR
42
RBI
100
SB
7
R
87
Raleigh's 34 homers led all catchers. His 91 long balls since 2022 are 18 more than the next backstop's. However, Raleigh's power comes at the expense of batting average. He's fanned at a 28 percent clip over the past two seasons, and his 50 percent fly-ball rate in that span suppresses BABIP. Volume is usually a benefit, except with batting average. Still, playing more than most non-catchers is a huge boon to his counting stats. Raleigh is one of the best in the league behind the plate, so he's going to continue to log more playing time than others at the position. Raleigh's skills are stable, so if you construct a roster to absorb his batting average, Raleigh's counting stats yield a huge edge. An above-average walk rate boosts "Big Dumper" in points and OBP formats.
Raleigh's 34 homers led all catchers. His 91 long balls since 2022 are 18 more than the next backstop's. However, Raleigh's power comes at the expense of batting average. He's fanned at a 28 percent clip over the past two seasons, and his 50 percent fly-ball rate in that span suppresses BABIP. Volume is usually a benefit, except with batting average. Still, playing more than most non-catchers is a huge boon to his counting stats. Raleigh is one of the best in the league behind the plate, so he's going to continue to log more playing time than others at the position. Raleigh's skills are stable, so if you construct a roster to absorb his batting average, Raleigh's counting stats yield a huge edge. An above-average walk rate boosts "Big Dumper" in points and OBP formats.
G
148
AB
564
AVG
.252
HR
27
RBI
93
SB
0
R
55
Perez has now hit at least 20 homers in each of the last eight full seasons, a streak last seen by a catcher when Brian McCann had a similar run from 2008 to 2016. McCann went on to hit 37 homers over the course of his final three seasons, as all those years of volume catching caught up to him. It is a lesson that Kansas City has given credence to, as Perez has kept his games played at catcher between 77 and 91 since a recent peak of 124 games in 2021. Perez retains his first base eligibility, as the Royals look to keep his bat in the lineup while keeping him fresh as long as possible. The effort was well-intended, but the Midwest summer heat is tough, and Perez saw his 125 first half wRC+ fall to 101 in the second half of the season. William Contreras was the only catcher to outproduce Perez in fantasy value last season, and we see little reason why Perez will not once again attempt to best that list in 2025. This time around, his ADP is not going to be a triple-digit number.
Perez has now hit at least 20 homers in each of the last eight full seasons, a streak last seen by a catcher when Brian McCann had a similar run from 2008 to 2016. McCann went on to hit 37 homers over the course of his final three seasons, as all those years of volume catching caught up to him. It is a lesson that Kansas City has given credence to, as Perez has kept his games played at catcher between 77 and 91 since a recent peak of 124 games in 2021. Perez retains his first base eligibility, as the Royals look to keep his bat in the lineup while keeping him fresh as long as possible. The effort was well-intended, but the Midwest summer heat is tough, and Perez saw his 125 first half wRC+ fall to 101 in the second half of the season. William Contreras was the only catcher to outproduce Perez in fantasy value last season, and we see little reason why Perez will not once again attempt to best that list in 2025. This time around, his ADP is not going to be a triple-digit number.
G
140
AB
502
AVG
.241
HR
28
RBI
74
SB
6
R
66
Langeliers was the Athletics' bell cow catcher for the second straight season. His 137 games and 534 plate appearances were both career highs, while his 131 appearances behind the plate were second most in MLB. Fewer strikeouts and more plate appearances from hitting higher in the order fueled personal bests in homers, runs and RBI. He features above average, but not elite quality of contact, but even with the improvement, his strikeout rate is high. Despite poor defense, the Athletics are committed to Langeliers with no one in the pipeline to challenge him for playing time. His power will play anywhere, though Langeliers could benefit from leaving the Coliseum. Just 27 years old, he could continue to improve his strikeout rate, but is best considered a plus power, low average backstop hitting in the meat of a less potent lineup.
Langeliers was the Athletics' bell cow catcher for the second straight season. His 137 games and 534 plate appearances were both career highs, while his 131 appearances behind the plate were second most in MLB. Fewer strikeouts and more plate appearances from hitting higher in the order fueled personal bests in homers, runs and RBI. He features above average, but not elite quality of contact, but even with the improvement, his strikeout rate is high. Despite poor defense, the Athletics are committed to Langeliers with no one in the pipeline to challenge him for playing time. His power will play anywhere, though Langeliers could benefit from leaving the Coliseum. Just 27 years old, he could continue to improve his strikeout rate, but is best considered a plus power, low average backstop hitting in the meat of a less potent lineup.
G
135
AB
499
AVG
.273
HR
20
RBI
70
SB
2
R
59
Diaz took over as Houston's primary backstop in 2024 and hit 16 homers with a .299/.325/.441 slash line in 148 games, with 99 of those starts coming behind the plate. He was unable to recreate the 23 home runs and .846 OPS he posted in 2023, but the regression isn't a major surprise since he's now handling the most demanding defensive position after previously working as the secondary option. He was also much more productive in the second half of 2024 as he got more comfortable with the added defensive responsibilities. It wouldn't be surprising if Diaz cracks the 20-homer plateau in 2025, and there's plenty of potential for counting stats given Houston's strong lineup. He should again be a reliable fantasy catcher with enough upside to be one of the better producers at the position.
Diaz took over as Houston's primary backstop in 2024 and hit 16 homers with a .299/.325/.441 slash line in 148 games, with 99 of those starts coming behind the plate. He was unable to recreate the 23 home runs and .846 OPS he posted in 2023, but the regression isn't a major surprise since he's now handling the most demanding defensive position after previously working as the secondary option. He was also much more productive in the second half of 2024 as he got more comfortable with the added defensive responsibilities. It wouldn't be surprising if Diaz cracks the 20-homer plateau in 2025, and there's plenty of potential for counting stats given Houston's strong lineup. He should again be a reliable fantasy catcher with enough upside to be one of the better producers at the position.
G
138
AB
435
AVG
.225
HR
19
RBI
59
SB
4
R
61
Rice's play initially upon his promotion fueled optimism, but just as quickly as he worked his way into Yankees fans' good graces, he fell out of favor. After his three-homer game July 6, Rice hit .112/.209/.235 over his next 32 games, earning a trip back to Triple-A for the final month. Following the departure of Anthony Rizzo, the Yankees signed Paul Goldschmidt to serve as their primary first baseman for 2025. Rice will likely begin his age-26 season back in the minors serving as depth. His focus has to be on earning and making the most of his next major-league opportunity.
Rice's play initially upon his promotion fueled optimism, but just as quickly as he worked his way into Yankees fans' good graces, he fell out of favor. After his three-homer game July 6, Rice hit .112/.209/.235 over his next 32 games, earning a trip back to Triple-A for the final month. Following the departure of Anthony Rizzo, the Yankees signed Paul Goldschmidt to serve as their primary first baseman for 2025. Rice will likely begin his age-26 season back in the minors serving as depth. His focus has to be on earning and making the most of his next major-league opportunity.
G
121
AB
380
AVG
.229
HR
16
RBI
57
SB
5
R
47
Wells had a breakout full-season debut to the point where he was hitting cleanup for the Yankees down the stretch of the season. Wells had a history of strong strike-zone judgement in the minors, as he was always willing to accept walks and pull homers, but his rookie debut in 2023 lacked the plate discipline. The 2024 season was a return to that discipline with stellar defense behind the plate led by stellar framing work. Wells did better at the plate as the season went on with a 113 wRC+ in the second half compared to a 97 wRC+ in the first half (100 is average). Eight of his 13 homers came on the road, which dispels the assumption the lefty took advantage of the short porch at Yankee Stadium. Wells did have extreme troubles against lefty pitchers though with a 59 wRC+. The Yankees did attempt to limit his exposure to lefties throughout the season, but two extra base hits in 77 plate appearances against lefties outlines the hard cap on Wells's upside. His defensive framing and blocking endears him to the pitchers, but overexposure to lefties will hurt his overall fantasy production. Wells is not another Matt Nokes, but there's also a case here where Wells follows a Kevin Maas path at the plate, which was fun while it lasted.
Wells had a breakout full-season debut to the point where he was hitting cleanup for the Yankees down the stretch of the season. Wells had a history of strong strike-zone judgement in the minors, as he was always willing to accept walks and pull homers, but his rookie debut in 2023 lacked the plate discipline. The 2024 season was a return to that discipline with stellar defense behind the plate led by stellar framing work. Wells did better at the plate as the season went on with a 113 wRC+ in the second half compared to a 97 wRC+ in the first half (100 is average). Eight of his 13 homers came on the road, which dispels the assumption the lefty took advantage of the short porch at Yankee Stadium. Wells did have extreme troubles against lefty pitchers though with a 59 wRC+. The Yankees did attempt to limit his exposure to lefties throughout the season, but two extra base hits in 77 plate appearances against lefties outlines the hard cap on Wells's upside. His defensive framing and blocking endears him to the pitchers, but overexposure to lefties will hurt his overall fantasy production. Wells is not another Matt Nokes, but there's also a case here where Wells follows a Kevin Maas path at the plate, which was fun while it lasted.
G
121
AB
391
AVG
.248
HR
14
RBI
52
SB
4
R
51
Jeffers recorded career-highs in games played (122) and home runs (21) as he avoided previous injury issues and served as Minnesota's primary catcher. Jeffers stirred All-Star game talk with a hot start where he hit 12 home runs with a .892 OPS though his first 51 games. He faded in the second half by hitting seven home runs with a .632 OPS in his final 47 games. Jeffers had shown above-average power his previous few seasons, but his hard-hit, exit velocity and other power metrics declined despite his home run totals. He still had above-average bat speed (67th percentile per Baseball Savant), so there's hope for a rebound. Jeffers also took a step back behind the plate where his pitch framing and other defensive metrics were below average. Still, the Twins will count on his bat as power source as the team's primary catcher again. However, Minnesota is dogmatic about sharing playing time between two catchers behind the plate, which limits his counting stats upside.
Jeffers recorded career-highs in games played (122) and home runs (21) as he avoided previous injury issues and served as Minnesota's primary catcher. Jeffers stirred All-Star game talk with a hot start where he hit 12 home runs with a .892 OPS though his first 51 games. He faded in the second half by hitting seven home runs with a .632 OPS in his final 47 games. Jeffers had shown above-average power his previous few seasons, but his hard-hit, exit velocity and other power metrics declined despite his home run totals. He still had above-average bat speed (67th percentile per Baseball Savant), so there's hope for a rebound. Jeffers also took a step back behind the plate where his pitch framing and other defensive metrics were below average. Still, the Twins will count on his bat as power source as the team's primary catcher again. However, Minnesota is dogmatic about sharing playing time between two catchers behind the plate, which limits his counting stats upside.
G
124
AB
460
AVG
.243
HR
14
RBI
54
SB
1
R
57
Baltimore efforted to have Rutschman's bat in their lineup as much as possible as Rutschman played in 90 of the 96 games before the break while hitting .275/.339/.441 and providing stalwart defense behind the plate when he was not DH'ing. Perhaps the volume of play caught up with him, as Rutschman limped to the finish line with a .207/.282/.303 second half and was non-existent in Baltimore's quick exit from the playoffs. It is troubling to see the young hitter's slugging percentage in decline each season he has been in the big leagues as well as a disturbing trend in his production against righties. His wRC+ against righties has declined roughly 40 points versus the prior season each of the last two seasons, and while we are not forecasting him slipping any further against righties, a 45.8 percent flyball rate against righties did him no favors in a dead-ball year and helps explain the 27-point drop in his batting average.
Baltimore efforted to have Rutschman's bat in their lineup as much as possible as Rutschman played in 90 of the 96 games before the break while hitting .275/.339/.441 and providing stalwart defense behind the plate when he was not DH'ing. Perhaps the volume of play caught up with him, as Rutschman limped to the finish line with a .207/.282/.303 second half and was non-existent in Baltimore's quick exit from the playoffs. It is troubling to see the young hitter's slugging percentage in decline each season he has been in the big leagues as well as a disturbing trend in his production against righties. His wRC+ against righties has declined roughly 40 points versus the prior season each of the last two seasons, and while we are not forecasting him slipping any further against righties, a 45.8 percent flyball rate against righties did him no favors in a dead-ball year and helps explain the 27-point drop in his batting average.
G
128
AB
414
AVG
.256
HR
11
RBI
60
SB
2
R
40
It would be worrisome if 2022 ends up being Kirk's offensive peak, but it is certainly looking that way after a second consecutive disappointing season at the plate. He did not hit his second homer of the season until June, and his third did not come until August. By season's end, Kirk had managed to score just 23 times despite a .319 OBP and 386 plate appearances. The last player to score so few runs with that playing time was Miguel Cabrera over the last two seasons of his career, as he scored a total of 46 times over that two-year span. Kirk continues to have excellent strike-zone discipline and puts the ball in play, which is why he is in the top 20 for grounding into double plays despite much fewer plate appearances than those in front of him on that list. Kirk remains an excellent defensive presence behind the plate with his framing and blocking abilities, even as the league takes liberties running against him with 60 or more steals allowed in each of the last two seasons. The starting catcher job is his to keep, as the organization does not have anyone banging down the door, especially with the departure of Danny Jansen. The opportunity is there for Kirk, but he needs to end this two-year run of disappointing production.
It would be worrisome if 2022 ends up being Kirk's offensive peak, but it is certainly looking that way after a second consecutive disappointing season at the plate. He did not hit his second homer of the season until June, and his third did not come until August. By season's end, Kirk had managed to score just 23 times despite a .319 OBP and 386 plate appearances. The last player to score so few runs with that playing time was Miguel Cabrera over the last two seasons of his career, as he scored a total of 46 times over that two-year span. Kirk continues to have excellent strike-zone discipline and puts the ball in play, which is why he is in the top 20 for grounding into double plays despite much fewer plate appearances than those in front of him on that list. Kirk remains an excellent defensive presence behind the plate with his framing and blocking abilities, even as the league takes liberties running against him with 60 or more steals allowed in each of the last two seasons. The starting catcher job is his to keep, as the organization does not have anyone banging down the door, especially with the departure of Danny Jansen. The opportunity is there for Kirk, but he needs to end this two-year run of disappointing production.
G
119
AB
406
AVG
.229
HR
19
RBI
49
SB
3
R
46
O'Hoppe was limited to 51 games in 2023 due to a torn labrum in his shoulder, but he stayed mostly healthy last season and played in a career-high 136 contests. He clubbed 20 homers and had a .244/.303/.409 slash line with 56 RBI and 60 runs scored, but he may have deserved some better results with a 46.3 percent hard-hit rate that led to a .256 xBA and .470 xSLG. O'Hoppe had reverse splits with a .743 OPS against right-handed pitching compared to a .592 OPS versus lefties, but there's reason for optimism he'll rebound there since he hit lefties well during his time in the minors. Now entering his age-25 campaign, O'Hoppe's offensive production isn't near the top of the position, but he's a solid fantasy option that carries upside while heading into just his second full MLB season.
O'Hoppe was limited to 51 games in 2023 due to a torn labrum in his shoulder, but he stayed mostly healthy last season and played in a career-high 136 contests. He clubbed 20 homers and had a .244/.303/.409 slash line with 56 RBI and 60 runs scored, but he may have deserved some better results with a 46.3 percent hard-hit rate that led to a .256 xBA and .470 xSLG. O'Hoppe had reverse splits with a .743 OPS against right-handed pitching compared to a .592 OPS versus lefties, but there's reason for optimism he'll rebound there since he hit lefties well during his time in the minors. Now entering his age-25 campaign, O'Hoppe's offensive production isn't near the top of the position, but he's a solid fantasy option that carries upside while heading into just his second full MLB season.
G
99
AB
313
AVG
.252
HR
10
RBI
40
SB
5
R
43
Teel was traded from the Red Sox to the White Sox this offseason as the headliner in a four-prospect package that sent Garrett Crochet to Boston. The No. 14 overall pick in 2023, Teel dominated every pro league he played in before stumbling slightly (.255/.374/.343 slash line, two HR in 28 games) in his first taste of Triple-A. He is a pure hitter and on-base machine over a slugger, but he has enough pop to be a 15-20 homer threat thanks to his excellent hit tool and swing decisions. Teel has the glove and the arm to stick at catcher and play a lot during his peak seasons. He may end up being better in on-base percentage leagues than batting average leagues, but he should provide an above-average ratio in both formats relative to the position. Teel is a 45-grade runner, but he's opportunistic and could chip in a handful of steals (12-for-17 on the bases last year). Since Teel didn't dominate at Triple-A and isn't on the 40-man roster, we may not see him in the majors until May or June, but he's very close to being big-league ready. New teammate Edgar Quero is arguably an even better catching prospect than Teel and should beat Teel to the majors, and if they end up splitting the catching duties evenly long term it will cap each of their outputs.
Teel was traded from the Red Sox to the White Sox this offseason as the headliner in a four-prospect package that sent Garrett Crochet to Boston. The No. 14 overall pick in 2023, Teel dominated every pro league he played in before stumbling slightly (.255/.374/.343 slash line, two HR in 28 games) in his first taste of Triple-A. He is a pure hitter and on-base machine over a slugger, but he has enough pop to be a 15-20 homer threat thanks to his excellent hit tool and swing decisions. Teel has the glove and the arm to stick at catcher and play a lot during his peak seasons. He may end up being better in on-base percentage leagues than batting average leagues, but he should provide an above-average ratio in both formats relative to the position. Teel is a 45-grade runner, but he's opportunistic and could chip in a handful of steals (12-for-17 on the bases last year). Since Teel didn't dominate at Triple-A and isn't on the 40-man roster, we may not see him in the majors until May or June, but he's very close to being big-league ready. New teammate Edgar Quero is arguably an even better catching prospect than Teel and should beat Teel to the majors, and if they end up splitting the catching duties evenly long term it will cap each of their outputs.
G
116
AB
368
AVG
.217
HR
12
RBI
45
SB
6
R
44
Basallo's preseason hype in some circles outpaced his 2024 production in the upper levels of the minors, but he still performed very well, especially considering he turned 20 just a couple weeks before getting promoted to Triple-A in late August. He slashed .276/.339/.447 with 19 home runs, 10 steals, a 20.9 percent strikeout rate, an 8.6 percent walk rate and a 76.8 percent contact rate in 127 games and was the second-youngest qualified hitter at Double-A and the youngest hitter to get 80 plate appearances at Triple-A. Typically, the players who rapidly ascend through the minors as the youngest player at each level are shortstop prodigies or slugging corner infielders, so for Basallo to do so as a backstop is notable, as catchers tend to advance more slowly due to how much work is required of them on defense. Basallo has significant experience at first base (32 games in 2024, 28 games in 2023), so there's a chance he sees time there in addition to eventually being Adley Rutschman's backup and a part-time designated hitter. Given that Basallo struggled (62 wRC+, 31.4 K%) in a brief taste of Triple-A, he should return to that level, but he could get the call at any point this summer if Baltimore is lacking quality play at backup catcher.
Basallo's preseason hype in some circles outpaced his 2024 production in the upper levels of the minors, but he still performed very well, especially considering he turned 20 just a couple weeks before getting promoted to Triple-A in late August. He slashed .276/.339/.447 with 19 home runs, 10 steals, a 20.9 percent strikeout rate, an 8.6 percent walk rate and a 76.8 percent contact rate in 127 games and was the second-youngest qualified hitter at Double-A and the youngest hitter to get 80 plate appearances at Triple-A. Typically, the players who rapidly ascend through the minors as the youngest player at each level are shortstop prodigies or slugging corner infielders, so for Basallo to do so as a backstop is notable, as catchers tend to advance more slowly due to how much work is required of them on defense. Basallo has significant experience at first base (32 games in 2024, 28 games in 2023), so there's a chance he sees time there in addition to eventually being Adley Rutschman's backup and a part-time designated hitter. Given that Basallo struggled (62 wRC+, 31.4 K%) in a brief taste of Triple-A, he should return to that level, but he could get the call at any point this summer if Baltimore is lacking quality play at backup catcher.
G
119
AB
336
AVG
.217
HR
13
RBI
42
SB
5
R
44
Naylor took a sizable step back offensively in 2024 in his first full major-league season, seeing his wRC+ drop from 122 down to 74. In retrospect, it's something we probably should have seen coming, as taking on all the responsibilities required of a catcher in your age-24 season is a time-consuming endeavor and doesn't leave as much room as you'd like to work on your hitting. Naylor saw his strikeout rate spike to 31.4 percent and his walk rate drop to 7.5 percent. He also didn't have as much of a stolen base impact as many thought he would, swiping just six bags in nine attempts while sporting a sprint speed in the 28th percentile. To his credit, Naylor drew rave reviews for his defense and handling of the pitching staff, and it's fair to expect an offensive bump in 2025 now that he's more comfortable in the majors. The Guardians brought Austin Hedges back as the understudy to Naylor, who should again see most of his playing time versus right-handed pitching.
Naylor took a sizable step back offensively in 2024 in his first full major-league season, seeing his wRC+ drop from 122 down to 74. In retrospect, it's something we probably should have seen coming, as taking on all the responsibilities required of a catcher in your age-24 season is a time-consuming endeavor and doesn't leave as much room as you'd like to work on your hitting. Naylor saw his strikeout rate spike to 31.4 percent and his walk rate drop to 7.5 percent. He also didn't have as much of a stolen base impact as many thought he would, swiping just six bags in nine attempts while sporting a sprint speed in the 28th percentile. To his credit, Naylor drew rave reviews for his defense and handling of the pitching staff, and it's fair to expect an offensive bump in 2025 now that he's more comfortable in the majors. The Guardians brought Austin Hedges back as the understudy to Naylor, who should again see most of his playing time versus right-handed pitching.
G
111
AB
364
AVG
.228
HR
11
RBI
49
SB
3
R
40
Whether it was World Series hangover, simple regression or a combination of the two, Heim experienced a sharp decline in performance last season. The switch-hitting catcher easily led the position with 95 RBI in 2023 while adding 18 home runs, but those numbers fell off in 2024 to 59 and 13, respectively. Heim's hard-hit rate fell to a career-low 36.4 percent, his barrel rate dropped to a career-worst 5.9 percent and his pull rate dipped significantly to 38.3 percent last season. When you add in that he's a fly ball hitter and the ball didn't travel as well league-wide in 2024, that means lots of lazy flyouts. Heim was again much worse after the All-Star break (.527 OPS) than he was before it (.644 OPS) and now has a career .579 OPS in the second half versus a .732 OPS in the first half. A scaled back workload would make sense, and that's expected to happen after the Rangers brought in Kyle Higashioka to share time with Heim.
Whether it was World Series hangover, simple regression or a combination of the two, Heim experienced a sharp decline in performance last season. The switch-hitting catcher easily led the position with 95 RBI in 2023 while adding 18 home runs, but those numbers fell off in 2024 to 59 and 13, respectively. Heim's hard-hit rate fell to a career-low 36.4 percent, his barrel rate dropped to a career-worst 5.9 percent and his pull rate dipped significantly to 38.3 percent last season. When you add in that he's a fly ball hitter and the ball didn't travel as well league-wide in 2024, that means lots of lazy flyouts. Heim was again much worse after the All-Star break (.527 OPS) than he was before it (.644 OPS) and now has a career .579 OPS in the second half versus a .732 OPS in the first half. A scaled back workload would make sense, and that's expected to happen after the Rangers brought in Kyle Higashioka to share time with Heim.
G
128
AB
394
AVG
.231
HR
10
RBI
49
SB
4
R
40
After being selected in the second round back in 2020, Dingler made his MLB debut in 2024. He appeared in 27 games for the Tigers, slashing just .167/.195/.310 with a home run and 11 RBI. Dingler served as the backup to Jake Rogers once he got promoted, and that could be the case again in 2025. Rogers also struggled to make consistent contact last season, however, so there could be an opportunity for Dingler's role to grow. The 26-year-old was much better at the Triple-A level last year, as he batted .308 with a .938 OPS across 71 games, which gives some indication that there is more offensive upside to be tapped into. Dingler will be hard to trust as a backup catcher, but he could get on the fantasy map if he overtakes Rogers and starts seeing regular playing time.
After being selected in the second round back in 2020, Dingler made his MLB debut in 2024. He appeared in 27 games for the Tigers, slashing just .167/.195/.310 with a home run and 11 RBI. Dingler served as the backup to Jake Rogers once he got promoted, and that could be the case again in 2025. Rogers also struggled to make consistent contact last season, however, so there could be an opportunity for Dingler's role to grow. The 26-year-old was much better at the Triple-A level last year, as he batted .308 with a .938 OPS across 71 games, which gives some indication that there is more offensive upside to be tapped into. Dingler will be hard to trust as a backup catcher, but he could get on the fantasy map if he overtakes Rogers and starts seeing regular playing time.
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G
147
AB
522
AVG
.280
HR
40
RBI
99
SB
4
R
104
Jim Thome isn't a common comp for high-end draft prospects, but that's the type of player scouts envision Kurtz becoming if he reaches his ceiling. The fourth-overall pick in 2024, Kurtz slashed .353/.450/.608 with two home runs and a 16:9 K:BB in 60 plate appearances in the Arizona Fall League after ending the regular season on the injured list at Double-A Midland due to a hamstring strain. Other than a general lack of athleticism and a bad body (listed at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds), Kurtz's only notable flaw is his injury history -- he missed time with random injuries while putting up cartoonish offensive numbers at Wake Forest (career 1.283 OPS, 46 home runs in 110 games his final two seasons). However, after slashing .368/.520/.763 with four homers in 12 games split between Single-A and Double-A before dominating in the AFL, Kurtz's track record of hitting pro pitching is arguably tops in the 2024 draft class. He could reach the majors this summer if he stays healthy and performs as expected.
Jim Thome isn't a common comp for high-end draft prospects, but that's the type of player scouts envision Kurtz becoming if he reaches his ceiling. The fourth-overall pick in 2024, Kurtz slashed .353/.450/.608 with two home runs and a 16:9 K:BB in 60 plate appearances in the Arizona Fall League after ending the regular season on the injured list at Double-A Midland due to a hamstring strain. Other than a general lack of athleticism and a bad body (listed at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds), Kurtz's only notable flaw is his injury history -- he missed time with random injuries while putting up cartoonish offensive numbers at Wake Forest (career 1.283 OPS, 46 home runs in 110 games his final two seasons). However, after slashing .368/.520/.763 with four homers in 12 games split between Single-A and Double-A before dominating in the AFL, Kurtz's track record of hitting pro pitching is arguably tops in the 2024 draft class. He could reach the majors this summer if he stays healthy and performs as expected.
G
157
AB
601
AVG
.295
HR
26
RBI
93
SB
4
R
92
Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that season was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. Last season saw him finish as the top first baseman and as a top-15 overall hitter in fantasy for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason to think he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025.
Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that season was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. Last season saw him finish as the top first baseman and as a top-15 overall hitter in fantasy for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason to think he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025.
G
145
AB
562
AVG
.301
HR
21
RBI
76
SB
1
R
75
Diaz still hit the baseball harder than most players in the league did in 2024, but not at the same frequency he did during his career-best 2023 season. Even more concerning may be the fact his GB/FB ratio was its lowest of the past four seasons as he fell back into the familiar trap of too many groundballs. Diaz was at his best in 2023 when he hit .326 off fastballs and .387 off breaking balls but those measures fell to .287 and .278 respectively in 2024. Perhaps Diaz felt the pressure of needing to generate offense for a team which struggled to score runs most of the season as his O-Swing% was the worst of his career. The surrounding cast's struggles particularly ate into Diaz's runs scored, as he scored 40 fewer times in 2024 and drove in 13 fewer runs despite 21 extra plate appearances and a career-high 145 games played. Diaz is entering the final year of his three-year extension with Tampa Bay and could very well be dealt before the 2025 season begins if the club is confident enough in what Jonathan Aranda showed in September.
Diaz still hit the baseball harder than most players in the league did in 2024, but not at the same frequency he did during his career-best 2023 season. Even more concerning may be the fact his GB/FB ratio was its lowest of the past four seasons as he fell back into the familiar trap of too many groundballs. Diaz was at his best in 2023 when he hit .326 off fastballs and .387 off breaking balls but those measures fell to .287 and .278 respectively in 2024. Perhaps Diaz felt the pressure of needing to generate offense for a team which struggled to score runs most of the season as his O-Swing% was the worst of his career. The surrounding cast's struggles particularly ate into Diaz's runs scored, as he scored 40 fewer times in 2024 and drove in 13 fewer runs despite 21 extra plate appearances and a career-high 145 games played. Diaz is entering the final year of his three-year extension with Tampa Bay and could very well be dealt before the 2025 season begins if the club is confident enough in what Jonathan Aranda showed in September.
G
132
AB
494
AVG
.247
HR
25
RBI
81
SB
4
R
68
Since the start of the 2022 season, Pete Alonso and Matt Olson are the only first basemen to have hit more homers than Walker. Walker's 95 homers over the past three seasons, along with most of his other metrics, have been a model of consistency, and he should be able to take advantage of the Crawford Boxes after inking a three-year deal with the Astros. The 11 steals in 2023 were a surprise that was not repeated in 2024, but the rest of his stats would fit nicely into the Spider-Man meme of guys pointing at one another. Walker missed more than a month with a late July oblique injury and returned in early September to hit just three homers the rest of the season. The lost time clearly cost Walker a repeat of a 30-plus homer season, and that late overall slump (.231/.319/.423) further impacted him repeating his counting stats. We can't explain why 22 of his 26 homers came off fellow righties, but if you are a fantasy manager who likes to bucket their options for drafts, Walker is a solid option provided that Alonso, Olson, Guerrero or Freeman don't make it back to you in a snake draft, or the acquisition cost on that quartet is too high for your liking.
Since the start of the 2022 season, Pete Alonso and Matt Olson are the only first basemen to have hit more homers than Walker. Walker's 95 homers over the past three seasons, along with most of his other metrics, have been a model of consistency, and he should be able to take advantage of the Crawford Boxes after inking a three-year deal with the Astros. The 11 steals in 2023 were a surprise that was not repeated in 2024, but the rest of his stats would fit nicely into the Spider-Man meme of guys pointing at one another. Walker missed more than a month with a late July oblique injury and returned in early September to hit just three homers the rest of the season. The lost time clearly cost Walker a repeat of a 30-plus homer season, and that late overall slump (.231/.319/.423) further impacted him repeating his counting stats. We can't explain why 22 of his 26 homers came off fellow righties, but if you are a fantasy manager who likes to bucket their options for drafts, Walker is a solid option provided that Alonso, Olson, Guerrero or Freeman don't make it back to you in a snake draft, or the acquisition cost on that quartet is too high for your liking.
G
137
AB
519
AVG
.256
HR
22
RBI
85
SB
2
R
61
Go ahead, pinch your thumb and index finger together and shake it in the air. Italian Breakfast was a big part of the surprising Kansas City offense until he broke his thumb attempting to catch a throw from Lucas Erceg, which went into Jeremy Pena running to first. Pasquantino missed the rest of the regular season but still managed to drive in 97 runs with 19 homers. Pasquantino hit 19 homers in his first 558 major league plate appearances across 2022 and 2023 and then duplicated that effort in his third season while continuing an excellent approach at the plate. Fully solving lefties is the last piece of this puzzle, because he is truly at his best when righties are on the mound. The concerns heading into 2024 with Pasquantino coming off shoulder surgery were alleviated with his results, and the winter off should allow the thumb injury to fully heal. As long as Pasquantino can remain slotted behind Bobby Witt and in front of Salvador Perez, he is in the best possible spot for this lineup and should easily drive in 100 runs and push to 30 homers. Despite the incomplete season, he finished in the top 10 for first basemen, and his acquisition cost for 2025 drafts will be high.
Go ahead, pinch your thumb and index finger together and shake it in the air. Italian Breakfast was a big part of the surprising Kansas City offense until he broke his thumb attempting to catch a throw from Lucas Erceg, which went into Jeremy Pena running to first. Pasquantino missed the rest of the regular season but still managed to drive in 97 runs with 19 homers. Pasquantino hit 19 homers in his first 558 major league plate appearances across 2022 and 2023 and then duplicated that effort in his third season while continuing an excellent approach at the plate. Fully solving lefties is the last piece of this puzzle, because he is truly at his best when righties are on the mound. The concerns heading into 2024 with Pasquantino coming off shoulder surgery were alleviated with his results, and the winter off should allow the thumb injury to fully heal. As long as Pasquantino can remain slotted behind Bobby Witt and in front of Salvador Perez, he is in the best possible spot for this lineup and should easily drive in 100 runs and push to 30 homers. Despite the incomplete season, he finished in the top 10 for first basemen, and his acquisition cost for 2025 drafts will be high.
G
145
AB
535
AVG
.232
HR
24
RBI
71
SB
2
R
75
Torkelson had a good 2023 campaign and all of his expected stats suggested his numbers should have been better, leading to many predicting a true breakout last season for the 2020 No. 1 overall pick. Instead, Torkelson took a huge step backward, getting demoted to Triple-A Toledo in early June following a .201/.266/.330 start. He rejoined the Tigers in August and flashed some promise that month, but a .677 OPS in September and a 45.8 percent strikeout rate in seven playoff games had fantasy managers scratching their heads again. All told, Torkelson's hard-hit rate went from the 94th percentile to the 45th percentile and his barrel rate went from the 89th percentile to the 37th percentile, all while his strikeout rate went up. He's still just 25, but anyone betting on a Torkelson bounce-back in 2025 would be making a bet purely on pedigree, as there wasn't much positive to glean from 2024. He also isn't guaranteed a spot on the big-league roster with Colt Keith moving to first base and Gleyber Torres taking over at second base.
Torkelson had a good 2023 campaign and all of his expected stats suggested his numbers should have been better, leading to many predicting a true breakout last season for the 2020 No. 1 overall pick. Instead, Torkelson took a huge step backward, getting demoted to Triple-A Toledo in early June following a .201/.266/.330 start. He rejoined the Tigers in August and flashed some promise that month, but a .677 OPS in September and a 45.8 percent strikeout rate in seven playoff games had fantasy managers scratching their heads again. All told, Torkelson's hard-hit rate went from the 94th percentile to the 45th percentile and his barrel rate went from the 89th percentile to the 37th percentile, all while his strikeout rate went up. He's still just 25, but anyone betting on a Torkelson bounce-back in 2025 would be making a bet purely on pedigree, as there wasn't much positive to glean from 2024. He also isn't guaranteed a spot on the big-league roster with Colt Keith moving to first base and Gleyber Torres taking over at second base.
G
151
AB
542
AVG
.247
HR
17
RBI
79
SB
1
R
69
Lowe boasted a .359 on-base percentage in his four seasons as the Rangers' primary first baseman, which is the sixth-best mark at his position over that time. He has not been a consistent fantasy contributor over that stretch, however. Lowe popped 27 home runs while batting .302 in 2022, but in his three other seasons with Texas he's hit between 16 and 18 home runs and batted between .262 and .265. The 29-year-old also saw his quality of contact diminish for the second year in a row in 2024. Lowe was traded to the Nationals this winter and should continue to be afforded regular opportunities given his on-base skills and quality glove, but you can aim higher in shallower fantasy leagues.
Lowe boasted a .359 on-base percentage in his four seasons as the Rangers' primary first baseman, which is the sixth-best mark at his position over that time. He has not been a consistent fantasy contributor over that stretch, however. Lowe popped 27 home runs while batting .302 in 2022, but in his three other seasons with Texas he's hit between 16 and 18 home runs and batted between .262 and .265. The 29-year-old also saw his quality of contact diminish for the second year in a row in 2024. Lowe was traded to the Nationals this winter and should continue to be afforded regular opportunities given his on-base skills and quality glove, but you can aim higher in shallower fantasy leagues.
G
128
AB
451
AVG
.242
HR
22
RBI
65
SB
2
R
58
Burger clubbed 63 of the quietest home runs over the past two seasons, including 14 last year at loanDepot Park, which squashes right-handed power. Burger's 84th percentile barrel rate helped, though his .814 road OPS was significantly better than his .705 home mark. After getting dealt to Texas this offseason, he'll be in for a massive upgrade in home cooking, as Globe Life Field is the fourth-best park in the game for righty power. Burger seemingly sells out for power with 86th percentile bat speed and a 25.9 percent strikeout rate last season. That said, he's fanned at a lower clip each of the past three years. If Burger adheres to the Khris Davis plan, he'll hit the same .250 he's posted the last three seasons. He sports eligibility at first and third, adding to his appeal, but he's likely to see most of his action at first base since the Rangers traded away Nathaniel Lowe and signed Joc Pederson.
Burger clubbed 63 of the quietest home runs over the past two seasons, including 14 last year at loanDepot Park, which squashes right-handed power. Burger's 84th percentile barrel rate helped, though his .814 road OPS was significantly better than his .705 home mark. After getting dealt to Texas this offseason, he'll be in for a massive upgrade in home cooking, as Globe Life Field is the fourth-best park in the game for righty power. Burger seemingly sells out for power with 86th percentile bat speed and a 25.9 percent strikeout rate last season. That said, he's fanned at a lower clip each of the past three years. If Burger adheres to the Khris Davis plan, he'll hit the same .250 he's posted the last three seasons. He sports eligibility at first and third, adding to his appeal, but he's likely to see most of his action at first base since the Rangers traded away Nathaniel Lowe and signed Joc Pederson.
G
140
AB
507
AVG
.256
HR
12
RBI
50
SB
6
R
69
Schanuel's profile for a first baseman is unusual, much like his batting stance. He's displayed a mastery of the strike zone early on in his big-league career, having put up an 11.2 percent walk rate, 17 percent strikeout rate and 89.5 percent zone contact rate in 2024. On the flip side, Schanuel's 25.4 percent hard-hit rate and 3.5 percent barrel rate is more befitting of a backup middle infielder. It also doesn't help that many of Schanuel's batted balls are hit in the dirt, as his 30.6 percent fly ball rate ranked 119th out of 129 qualifiers. He can still be a useful player for the Angels given his on-base ability, but it's difficult to imagine Schanuel ever becoming a 20-homer hitter without a swing adjustment.
Schanuel's profile for a first baseman is unusual, much like his batting stance. He's displayed a mastery of the strike zone early on in his big-league career, having put up an 11.2 percent walk rate, 17 percent strikeout rate and 89.5 percent zone contact rate in 2024. On the flip side, Schanuel's 25.4 percent hard-hit rate and 3.5 percent barrel rate is more befitting of a backup middle infielder. It also doesn't help that many of Schanuel's batted balls are hit in the dirt, as his 30.6 percent fly ball rate ranked 119th out of 129 qualifiers. He can still be a useful player for the Angels given his on-base ability, but it's difficult to imagine Schanuel ever becoming a 20-homer hitter without a swing adjustment.
G
139
AB
409
AVG
.249
HR
14
RBI
52
SB
5
R
57
Aranda's 2024 was a potpourri of events. He had a fantastic spring but broke a finger near the end of it and that short-circuited his start to the season. He made it to the major league roster in May when the Rays were dealing with injuries but went back down in early June and wasn't seen again until the end of August. His time in Triple-A Durham was unlike his previous season as an oblique strain there limited his playing time and his ability to hit for power. Even more concerning was that he lost his contact abilities, with a career-worst 32.6 percent strikeout rate. The only true upside to his season was how he closed it, as he showed some surprising pop down the stretch with five doubles and five homers after his final promotion. Most of his batted ball metrics trended in a positive direction as the season closed, and the temporary home for the Rays in 2025 should be a good fit for Aranda. He is out of options, so he is a lock to make the team as long as he isn't traded in the offseason. The 1B-only eligibility makes him truly only draftable in the draft-and-hold formats or deeper mono-league formats, but there are enough late signs of growth from him for managers to remain intrigued for 2025.
Aranda's 2024 was a potpourri of events. He had a fantastic spring but broke a finger near the end of it and that short-circuited his start to the season. He made it to the major league roster in May when the Rays were dealing with injuries but went back down in early June and wasn't seen again until the end of August. His time in Triple-A Durham was unlike his previous season as an oblique strain there limited his playing time and his ability to hit for power. Even more concerning was that he lost his contact abilities, with a career-worst 32.6 percent strikeout rate. The only true upside to his season was how he closed it, as he showed some surprising pop down the stretch with five doubles and five homers after his final promotion. Most of his batted ball metrics trended in a positive direction as the season closed, and the temporary home for the Rays in 2025 should be a good fit for Aranda. He is out of options, so he is a lock to make the team as long as he isn't traded in the offseason. The 1B-only eligibility makes him truly only draftable in the draft-and-hold formats or deeper mono-league formats, but there are enough late signs of growth from him for managers to remain intrigued for 2025.
G
107
AB
386
AVG
.254
HR
11
RBI
48
SB
4
R
46
After breaking out with a 33-homer season in 2021, Mountcastle has seen that total continue to fall every year since then down to just 13 in 2024. Part of the dip has been related to injuries, as he's made four trips to the injured list since the start of the 2022 campaign and has averaged fewer than 500 plate appearances across the last two seasons. Another culprit has been the cavernous left field at Camden Yards. Mountcastle has seen his fly ball and pull rates drop each of the last three years and for the first time in his career hit more balls to right field than left field in 2024. If it was a conscious change related to the dimensions at OPACY, Mountcastle can feel free to now revert back to his old swing after the Orioles elected to move the fence back in a bit. The new left-field dimensions still won't be as favorable as they were pre-2022, but they'll certainly give Mountcastle a better shot to bounce back in the power department.
After breaking out with a 33-homer season in 2021, Mountcastle has seen that total continue to fall every year since then down to just 13 in 2024. Part of the dip has been related to injuries, as he's made four trips to the injured list since the start of the 2022 campaign and has averaged fewer than 500 plate appearances across the last two seasons. Another culprit has been the cavernous left field at Camden Yards. Mountcastle has seen his fly ball and pull rates drop each of the last three years and for the first time in his career hit more balls to right field than left field in 2024. If it was a conscious change related to the dimensions at OPACY, Mountcastle can feel free to now revert back to his old swing after the Orioles elected to move the fence back in a bit. The new left-field dimensions still won't be as favorable as they were pre-2022, but they'll certainly give Mountcastle a better shot to bounce back in the power department.
G
124
AB
413
AVG
.242
HR
14
RBI
48
SB
4
R
42
It was easy to miss it as the White Sox trudged toward a record-breaking 121 losses -- many turned away in horror -- but Sosa finished the season in impressive fashion, slashing .373/.398/.566 with four homers in September. He spent the first half up and down between Triple-A and the majors before getting the call for good at the end of July. Sosa has made steady progress with his strikeout rate and finally had something to show for it down the stretch. The South Side will be the land of opportunity again in 2025 and Sosa should get a chance to build on what he did at the end of last season. Dual eligibility (3B, 2B) helps his case as he enters his age-25 campaign.
It was easy to miss it as the White Sox trudged toward a record-breaking 121 losses -- many turned away in horror -- but Sosa finished the season in impressive fashion, slashing .373/.398/.566 with four homers in September. He spent the first half up and down between Triple-A and the majors before getting the call for good at the end of July. Sosa has made steady progress with his strikeout rate and finally had something to show for it down the stretch. The South Side will be the land of opportunity again in 2025 and Sosa should get a chance to build on what he did at the end of last season. Dual eligibility (3B, 2B) helps his case as he enters his age-25 campaign.
G
134
AB
396
AVG
.232
HR
16
RBI
49
SB
3
R
41
Manzardo got his feet wet at the major-league level last season and seemed to hit his stride in September, slashing .270/.333/.540 with five home runs in 69 plate appearances. He then clubbed another homer while posting an .842 OPS in 19 trips to the dish during the postseason. The 24-year-old put up double-digit walk rates and sub-20 percent strikeout rates consistently in the minors, so improvement from last year's 26.3 percent strikeout rate and 5.8 percent walk rate seems likely. Manzardo has also always been an extreme fly ball hitter and that held true with the Guardians with a 53.3 percent fly ball rate. Progressive Field is a below average park for left-handed power and Manzardo's raw pop is merely solid, but he should settle in as a 20-25 homer bat. Designated hitter looks to be Manzardo's path to regular at-bats and he will enter 2025 with DH-only eligibility on most fantasy platforms.
Manzardo got his feet wet at the major-league level last season and seemed to hit his stride in September, slashing .270/.333/.540 with five home runs in 69 plate appearances. He then clubbed another homer while posting an .842 OPS in 19 trips to the dish during the postseason. The 24-year-old put up double-digit walk rates and sub-20 percent strikeout rates consistently in the minors, so improvement from last year's 26.3 percent strikeout rate and 5.8 percent walk rate seems likely. Manzardo has also always been an extreme fly ball hitter and that held true with the Guardians with a 53.3 percent fly ball rate. Progressive Field is a below average park for left-handed power and Manzardo's raw pop is merely solid, but he should settle in as a 20-25 homer bat. Designated hitter looks to be Manzardo's path to regular at-bats and he will enter 2025 with DH-only eligibility on most fantasy platforms.
G
115
AB
370
AVG
.227
HR
14
RBI
46
SB
4
R
43
After a slow first week, Casas found his stroke, batting .268/.359/.625 in the 16 games before being felled by torn cartilage in his left rib cage. He returned after missing nearly four months, posting a .239/.333/.433 line. A 33.3 percent strikeout rate in that span indicates Casas' timing was off from the extended absence, while his 11.8 percent walk rate to end the season suggests he was less patient than usual. Casas' quality of contact was in sync with the previous season. Casas was supposed to record fewer strikeouts last season, but the injury derailed those plans. Instead of having evidence that Casas took the next step, we're still betting on the comeback. There's no denying potential power. It's still unclear whether Casas will be a four-category monster or a batting average risk. He also needs to show he can play 150 games. Caveat emptor: The market isn't likely to discount Casas.
After a slow first week, Casas found his stroke, batting .268/.359/.625 in the 16 games before being felled by torn cartilage in his left rib cage. He returned after missing nearly four months, posting a .239/.333/.433 line. A 33.3 percent strikeout rate in that span indicates Casas' timing was off from the extended absence, while his 11.8 percent walk rate to end the season suggests he was less patient than usual. Casas' quality of contact was in sync with the previous season. Casas was supposed to record fewer strikeouts last season, but the injury derailed those plans. Instead of having evidence that Casas took the next step, we're still betting on the comeback. There's no denying potential power. It's still unclear whether Casas will be a four-category monster or a batting average risk. He also needs to show he can play 150 games. Caveat emptor: The market isn't likely to discount Casas.
G
115
AB
302
AVG
.212
HR
9
RBI
30
SB
5
R
36
Mayo has logged two seasons of excellence at Triple-A before turning 23 this December, but he failed in his first cup of coffee with the big club. A scouting and developmental success story that the organization takes a lot of pride in, Mayo has been on a steady incline as a dynasty asset since he received a seven-figure bonus after going in the fourth round of the 2020 draft. He is a passable defender at third base and moves well for his 6-foot-5 frame, but long-term in Baltimore, Mayo makes the most sense at first base. He slashed .293/.372/.592 with 25 home runs, four steals and excellent hard-hit data (33.7 Hard%, 13.3 Soft%) in 93 minor-league games but .098 with 22 strikeouts, four walks and zero extra-base hits in 46 MLB plate appearances. After logging a 71.5 percent contact rate in the minors, he made contact at just a 56.7 percent clip in the majors. It was a humbling debut for the hulking corner infielder, but his youth and track record scream "buy low" in dynasty and redraft.
Mayo has logged two seasons of excellence at Triple-A before turning 23 this December, but he failed in his first cup of coffee with the big club. A scouting and developmental success story that the organization takes a lot of pride in, Mayo has been on a steady incline as a dynasty asset since he received a seven-figure bonus after going in the fourth round of the 2020 draft. He is a passable defender at third base and moves well for his 6-foot-5 frame, but long-term in Baltimore, Mayo makes the most sense at first base. He slashed .293/.372/.592 with 25 home runs, four steals and excellent hard-hit data (33.7 Hard%, 13.3 Soft%) in 93 minor-league games but .098 with 22 strikeouts, four walks and zero extra-base hits in 46 MLB plate appearances. After logging a 71.5 percent contact rate in the minors, he made contact at just a 56.7 percent clip in the majors. It was a humbling debut for the hulking corner infielder, but his youth and track record scream "buy low" in dynasty and redraft.
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G
137
AB
496
AVG
.246
HR
26
RBI
73
SB
31
R
72
Chisholm enjoyed the healthiest season of his career as he finally broke the 125 games played total in a season while splitting his time between Miami and New York. The games played was not the only career high as he also set a new high in every counting category as well as batting average and strikeout rate. The change in venues from the spacious Marlins Stadium to the coziness of Yankee Stadium did wonders for Chisholm, as he hit 11 of his 24 homers in the 46 games with the Yankees while also stealing 18 of the 40 bases. We have known for some time what Chisholm is capable of while on the field, but the time lost in 2021-2023 due to multiple injuries impacted his value. He now gets to play the final two seasons of his arbitration years in a much better stadium and lineup than what he experienced in Miami and the cost of acquisition this winter will rise accordingly. The decision fantasy managers must make: Is the juice worth the squeeze given how much time the talented player has missed over the past four seasons? The 3B and OF eligibility is a nice added bonus.
Chisholm enjoyed the healthiest season of his career as he finally broke the 125 games played total in a season while splitting his time between Miami and New York. The games played was not the only career high as he also set a new high in every counting category as well as batting average and strikeout rate. The change in venues from the spacious Marlins Stadium to the coziness of Yankee Stadium did wonders for Chisholm, as he hit 11 of his 24 homers in the 46 games with the Yankees while also stealing 18 of the 40 bases. We have known for some time what Chisholm is capable of while on the field, but the time lost in 2021-2023 due to multiple injuries impacted his value. He now gets to play the final two seasons of his arbitration years in a much better stadium and lineup than what he experienced in Miami and the cost of acquisition this winter will rise accordingly. The decision fantasy managers must make: Is the juice worth the squeeze given how much time the talented player has missed over the past four seasons? The 3B and OF eligibility is a nice added bonus.
G
133
AB
525
AVG
.286
HR
21
RBI
65
SB
15
R
83
Altuve was an everyday presence in the lineup last season after being limited to 90 games in 2023, though he wasn't as productive at the plate with a .789 OPS being his worst full-season mark since 2013. He still delivered 20 homers and 22 steals, which was his best work on the basepaths in seven years, but it's fair to wonder if Father Time is starting to catch up to him. Altuve will turn 35 years old in May, and it's worth noting that his .264 xBA and .406 xSLG were each 30-plus points lower than the actual figures. He has significantly outperformed those expected stats throughout his MLB career, but it's more of a concern as he moves through his mid-30s. Altuve is still a decent bet for a high batting average, another 20-20 campaign and strong counting stats in 2025, but the risk of a fall-off is increasing with each passing season.
Altuve was an everyday presence in the lineup last season after being limited to 90 games in 2023, though he wasn't as productive at the plate with a .789 OPS being his worst full-season mark since 2013. He still delivered 20 homers and 22 steals, which was his best work on the basepaths in seven years, but it's fair to wonder if Father Time is starting to catch up to him. Altuve will turn 35 years old in May, and it's worth noting that his .264 xBA and .406 xSLG were each 30-plus points lower than the actual figures. He has significantly outperformed those expected stats throughout his MLB career, but it's more of a concern as he moves through his mid-30s. Altuve is still a decent bet for a high batting average, another 20-20 campaign and strong counting stats in 2025, but the risk of a fall-off is increasing with each passing season.
G
136
AB
535
AVG
.243
HR
19
RBI
70
SB
10
R
81
Like many other Rangers hitters, Semien struggled last season. The difference between Semien and most of his teammates is Semien's game is subject to more variance, and his underlying metrics were nearly identical to his recent levels, he simply didn't enjoy the same outcomes. Barrel rate, hard-hit rate and strikeout rate were typical. The only small change was a small drop in launch angle, generating fewer fly balls, resulting in Semien's fewest homers in a full season since 2018. He also failed to steal double-digit bases for the first time ever in a full season, but running often wanes in an off year. After missing just one game the prior three seasons, Semien was out for a whopping three. Semien is now 34 years old, so expecting a seventh consecutive full season with over 700 plate appearances is aggressive. He's still one of the best at a weaker position, but Semien can't get the same plaudits for durability and reliability as he could previously.
Like many other Rangers hitters, Semien struggled last season. The difference between Semien and most of his teammates is Semien's game is subject to more variance, and his underlying metrics were nearly identical to his recent levels, he simply didn't enjoy the same outcomes. Barrel rate, hard-hit rate and strikeout rate were typical. The only small change was a small drop in launch angle, generating fewer fly balls, resulting in Semien's fewest homers in a full season since 2018. He also failed to steal double-digit bases for the first time ever in a full season, but running often wanes in an off year. After missing just one game the prior three seasons, Semien was out for a whopping three. Semien is now 34 years old, so expecting a seventh consecutive full season with over 700 plate appearances is aggressive. He's still one of the best at a weaker position, but Semien can't get the same plaudits for durability and reliability as he could previously.
G
127
AB
454
AVG
.244
HR
24
RBI
70
SB
6
R
67
Lowe is entering a crossroads with Tampa Bay as the guaranteed years of his contract extension are over and he is now playing on a year-to-year basis on two club options. 2021 remains the high-water mark for Lowe's career, as he has struggled with injuries in each of the past three seasons. He has several measures in the 80th percentile or better but the swing and miss rates limit the batting average ceiling as Lowe has failed to hit over .250 since 2020. Lowe is about as steady as they come statistically, but his medical issues have included an oblique strain, a toe infection, a finger injury, a fractured kneecap, and a stress reaction in his back in recent seasons. The club did use him at first base while his foot bothered him this past summer and perhaps that becomes a new full-time home for him should Yandy Diaz get traded. Lowe's fantasy value would further decline moving off second base unless he solves his health troubles and/or finds a better home park.
Lowe is entering a crossroads with Tampa Bay as the guaranteed years of his contract extension are over and he is now playing on a year-to-year basis on two club options. 2021 remains the high-water mark for Lowe's career, as he has struggled with injuries in each of the past three seasons. He has several measures in the 80th percentile or better but the swing and miss rates limit the batting average ceiling as Lowe has failed to hit over .250 since 2020. Lowe is about as steady as they come statistically, but his medical issues have included an oblique strain, a toe infection, a finger injury, a fractured kneecap, and a stress reaction in his back in recent seasons. The club did use him at first base while his foot bothered him this past summer and perhaps that becomes a new full-time home for him should Yandy Diaz get traded. Lowe's fantasy value would further decline moving off second base unless he solves his health troubles and/or finds a better home park.
G
133
AB
469
AVG
.258
HR
13
RBI
61
SB
19
R
61
Keaschall's breakout season was cut short by Tommy John surgery in August, but it won't affect him long term and he could be ready for the start of the 2025 season. A second baseman by trade who'd also seen time in center field, Keaschall had been playing out of position at designated hitter or first base for a good chunk of the season due to his ailing throwing arm before eventually getting the surgery. A second-round pick in 2023 out of Arizona State, Keaschall showed that he is good at everything that matters in fantasy: hitting for average/OBP, hitting for power and stealing bases. He slashed .307/.426/.489 with 17 home runs, 24 steals, a 30.2 percent hard-hit rate, a 14 percent soft-hit rate and a 17 percent strikeout rate in 110 games split between High-A and Double-A. For the sake of comparison, Keaschall is two weeks older than 2024 first-overall pick Travis Bazzana and four weeks older than 2024 fifth-overall pick JJ Wetherholt, and of the three second basemen, Keaschall's statistical exploits in pro ball are easily the most impressive. His prospect Q rating lags well behind the tools and performance he showed in 2024, so this offseason is a prime time to buy in dynasty leagues.
Keaschall's breakout season was cut short by Tommy John surgery in August, but it won't affect him long term and he could be ready for the start of the 2025 season. A second baseman by trade who'd also seen time in center field, Keaschall had been playing out of position at designated hitter or first base for a good chunk of the season due to his ailing throwing arm before eventually getting the surgery. A second-round pick in 2023 out of Arizona State, Keaschall showed that he is good at everything that matters in fantasy: hitting for average/OBP, hitting for power and stealing bases. He slashed .307/.426/.489 with 17 home runs, 24 steals, a 30.2 percent hard-hit rate, a 14 percent soft-hit rate and a 17 percent strikeout rate in 110 games split between High-A and Double-A. For the sake of comparison, Keaschall is two weeks older than 2024 first-overall pick Travis Bazzana and four weeks older than 2024 fifth-overall pick JJ Wetherholt, and of the three second basemen, Keaschall's statistical exploits in pro ball are easily the most impressive. His prospect Q rating lags well behind the tools and performance he showed in 2024, so this offseason is a prime time to buy in dynasty leagues.
G
151
AB
531
AVG
.222
HR
15
RBI
57
SB
13
R
69
Holliday was not included on the Orioles' Opening Day roster even after a big spring, but he didn't have to wait long for a promotion, getting the call on April 10. He was back in the minors before the end of April after going 2-for-34 with 18 strikeouts in 10 games and stayed there for the next three months. Holliday experienced some initial success upon his return to the O's, but he was dreadful for the final six weeks and by the end of the regular season was no longer a regular. The skills which made Holliday arguably the top prospect in baseball were still on display at Triple-A Norfolk, but he simply looked overmatched in his first taste of the majors, with a 33.2 percent strikeout rate particularly worrisome. Holliday isn't the first top prospect to struggle in his first exposure to big-league pitching, and odds are things will click for him sooner or later. Less certain is whether he'll be handed a job out of spring training next year.
Holliday was not included on the Orioles' Opening Day roster even after a big spring, but he didn't have to wait long for a promotion, getting the call on April 10. He was back in the minors before the end of April after going 2-for-34 with 18 strikeouts in 10 games and stayed there for the next three months. Holliday experienced some initial success upon his return to the O's, but he was dreadful for the final six weeks and by the end of the regular season was no longer a regular. The skills which made Holliday arguably the top prospect in baseball were still on display at Triple-A Norfolk, but he simply looked overmatched in his first taste of the majors, with a 33.2 percent strikeout rate particularly worrisome. Holliday isn't the first top prospect to struggle in his first exposure to big-league pitching, and odds are things will click for him sooner or later. Less certain is whether he'll be handed a job out of spring training next year.
G
137
AB
499
AVG
.240
HR
13
RBI
54
SB
8
R
73
India's time with the Reds has come to an end following a November trade to the Royals. The National League Rookie of the Year in 2021, India hit .247/.343/.393 over the subsequent three seasons. He reached a career-high 151 games last season after battling injuries over the prior two years, including plantar fasciitis. India was openly critical of how the team assessed the injury to his plantar fascia in 2023 and called out the losing culture last season, which set the table for his departure from the organization. While the change of scenery was needed, the move to Kansas City comes with a huge park downgrade. He packs a decent power-speed combo, but he's also a HBP magnet, adding to his injury risk. This will be a prove-it year for the second baseman as he looks to re-establish himself in a new league.
India's time with the Reds has come to an end following a November trade to the Royals. The National League Rookie of the Year in 2021, India hit .247/.343/.393 over the subsequent three seasons. He reached a career-high 151 games last season after battling injuries over the prior two years, including plantar fasciitis. India was openly critical of how the team assessed the injury to his plantar fascia in 2023 and called out the losing culture last season, which set the table for his departure from the organization. While the change of scenery was needed, the move to Kansas City comes with a huge park downgrade. He packs a decent power-speed combo, but he's also a HBP magnet, adding to his injury risk. This will be a prove-it year for the second baseman as he looks to re-establish himself in a new league.
G
130
AB
454
AVG
.233
HR
10
RBI
50
SB
19
R
55
Gimenez has developed into one of the game's best defenders at any position. Unfortunately, he regressed at the plate in 2024 for the second straight season, managing a lousy .638 OPS and wRC+ of 83 while popping only nine home runs. He also ranked in the bottom 10 percent in baseball both in hard-hit rate (28.5 percent) and walk rate (4.1 percent) for the second year in a row. Gimenez was not a lost cause in fantasy, however, thanks to 30 stolen bases and a 15.3 percent strikeout rate which allowed him to keep his head above water in the average department. The left-handed hitting Gimenez was dreadful versus southpaws in 2024 (.574 OPS) and looks like more of a bottom-third of the lineup hitter, but his defense ensures his spot in the everyday lineup. For fantasy, think of him as a stolen-base specialist and consider anything else he might provide to be a bonus.
Gimenez has developed into one of the game's best defenders at any position. Unfortunately, he regressed at the plate in 2024 for the second straight season, managing a lousy .638 OPS and wRC+ of 83 while popping only nine home runs. He also ranked in the bottom 10 percent in baseball both in hard-hit rate (28.5 percent) and walk rate (4.1 percent) for the second year in a row. Gimenez was not a lost cause in fantasy, however, thanks to 30 stolen bases and a 15.3 percent strikeout rate which allowed him to keep his head above water in the average department. The left-handed hitting Gimenez was dreadful versus southpaws in 2024 (.574 OPS) and looks like more of a bottom-third of the lineup hitter, but his defense ensures his spot in the everyday lineup. For fantasy, think of him as a stolen-base specialist and consider anything else he might provide to be a bonus.
G
108
AB
265
AVG
.245
HR
8
RBI
36
SB
8
R
34
Gonzalez visited the IL twice in the first half of the 2024 season, first for a wrist issue and then for a sore hamstring. When healthy, he served as the right-handed part of a platoon, appearing everywhere but catcher. He usually hits left-handers better than righties and did so again last season. For the first time, well over half of Gonzalez's plate appearances were versus left-handers, fueling a 97 wRC+, by far a career high. Gonzalez hits the ball hard, but he's an extreme groundball hitter (career 54.4 percent rate) with a high strikeout rate (26.9 percent last season). A low fly-ball rate caps power while the punch-outs hurt his batting average. He sports 90th percentile sprint speed, helping him swipe 18 bases in 21 tries over the past two seasons. Gonzalez' versatile glove work will keep him employed. Fantasy-wise, he's best-suited for daily leagues when he's facing a southpaw.
Gonzalez visited the IL twice in the first half of the 2024 season, first for a wrist issue and then for a sore hamstring. When healthy, he served as the right-handed part of a platoon, appearing everywhere but catcher. He usually hits left-handers better than righties and did so again last season. For the first time, well over half of Gonzalez's plate appearances were versus left-handers, fueling a 97 wRC+, by far a career high. Gonzalez hits the ball hard, but he's an extreme groundball hitter (career 54.4 percent rate) with a high strikeout rate (26.9 percent last season). A low fly-ball rate caps power while the punch-outs hurt his batting average. He sports 90th percentile sprint speed, helping him swipe 18 bases in 21 tries over the past two seasons. Gonzalez' versatile glove work will keep him employed. Fantasy-wise, he's best-suited for daily leagues when he's facing a southpaw.
The rest of our Fantasy Baseball Outlooks & Rankings are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
G
158
AB
606
AVG
.282
HR
31
RBI
95
SB
39
R
103
Ramirez shored up his Hall of Fame case with what very well could have been a 40-40 campaign if not for a rainout on the final day of the regular season. The third baseman was an All-Star for the fourth consecutive year (sixth overall) and helped lead Cleveland to the ALCS. He's as durable as they come; Ramirez played in 158 games in 2024 and has now reached at least 152 games in seven of the last eight full MLB seasons. While he's been in the majors for over a decade, Ramirez is still just 32 years old, so he's not at the age where one might suspect the skills could drop off the table. There was some giveback with his walk rate last season, which led to a 21-point drop in OBP, and the batted-ball numbers don't jump off the page. That said, Ramirez is great at pulling flyballs, and his run production improved significantly last season with help from Steven Kwan and others around him. Fantasy managers should be thrilled to have to settle for Ramirez in the first round.
Ramirez shored up his Hall of Fame case with what very well could have been a 40-40 campaign if not for a rainout on the final day of the regular season. The third baseman was an All-Star for the fourth consecutive year (sixth overall) and helped lead Cleveland to the ALCS. He's as durable as they come; Ramirez played in 158 games in 2024 and has now reached at least 152 games in seven of the last eight full MLB seasons. While he's been in the majors for over a decade, Ramirez is still just 32 years old, so he's not at the age where one might suspect the skills could drop off the table. There was some giveback with his walk rate last season, which led to a 21-point drop in OBP, and the batted-ball numbers don't jump off the page. That said, Ramirez is great at pulling flyballs, and his run production improved significantly last season with help from Steven Kwan and others around him. Fantasy managers should be thrilled to have to settle for Ramirez in the first round.
G
155
AB
603
AVG
.245
HR
26
RBI
88
SB
8
R
76
Caminero's 2024 debut came much later in the season than fantasy managers had hoped for when drafting him prior to the season. Tampa Bay premier prospects are always delayed by service time manipulation, but Caminero's progress was twice disrupted by left leg injuries which led to him playing just 53 games in Triple-A and eventually 43 games at the big-league level. The overall numbers were not nearly as impressive as what he did in 2023, but the quad and hamstring injuries never allowed him to get into much of a rhythm. It is important to remember he already has over 200 plate appearances at the big-league level before his 22nd birthday, as he will not turn 22 until early July. The sample sizes remain too small to draw any conclusions, but Caminero has six of his seven homers against righties while his batting average against righties is nearly 100 points below what he has done against lefties. Caminero should be with the Rays for the entirety of the 2025 season as long as his body holds up, but expect more growing pains.
Caminero's 2024 debut came much later in the season than fantasy managers had hoped for when drafting him prior to the season. Tampa Bay premier prospects are always delayed by service time manipulation, but Caminero's progress was twice disrupted by left leg injuries which led to him playing just 53 games in Triple-A and eventually 43 games at the big-league level. The overall numbers were not nearly as impressive as what he did in 2023, but the quad and hamstring injuries never allowed him to get into much of a rhythm. It is important to remember he already has over 200 plate appearances at the big-league level before his 22nd birthday, as he will not turn 22 until early July. The sample sizes remain too small to draw any conclusions, but Caminero has six of his seven homers against righties while his batting average against righties is nearly 100 points below what he has done against lefties. Caminero should be with the Rays for the entirety of the 2025 season as long as his body holds up, but expect more growing pains.
G
150
AB
557
AVG
.264
HR
10
RBI
63
SB
28
R
76
Garcia finished third in the American League in steals last season with 37 in 39 attempts. However, he managed just a .231 average, seven homers and 58 RBI in 626 plate appearances. The Royals' Opening Day leadoff man, Garcia ended up making 101 starts in the leadoff spot, but he fell to the bottom third toward the end of the year and it will be tough to justify returning him to the top of the order if he doesn't improve significantly upon his .281 on-base percentage. Garcia makes consistent contact but is allergic to walks, and his offense graded out as 31 percent worse than league average by wRC+ last season. His contributions on the bases make him very much relevant in fantasy leagues with rotisserie scoring, but less so in points and OBP leagues. Entering his age-25 season, Garcia has eligibility at both second base and third base.
Garcia finished third in the American League in steals last season with 37 in 39 attempts. However, he managed just a .231 average, seven homers and 58 RBI in 626 plate appearances. The Royals' Opening Day leadoff man, Garcia ended up making 101 starts in the leadoff spot, but he fell to the bottom third toward the end of the year and it will be tough to justify returning him to the top of the order if he doesn't improve significantly upon his .281 on-base percentage. Garcia makes consistent contact but is allergic to walks, and his offense graded out as 31 percent worse than league average by wRC+ last season. His contributions on the bases make him very much relevant in fantasy leagues with rotisserie scoring, but less so in points and OBP leagues. Entering his age-25 season, Garcia has eligibility at both second base and third base.
G
138
AB
481
AVG
.252
HR
18
RBI
60
SB
7
R
69
Westburg had a solid sophomore campaign in the Charm City despite Lord Walltimore stealing some homers from him. Westburg, in fact, loved hitting at home where he hit .303 with half of his homers there compared to a .228 average on the road. Westburg was at his best at home against righties, which is the exact opposite of what we would expect from a righty hitter in Baltimore, but the numbers back it up. His percentile rankings are heavily red despite both his bat speed and chase rate being near the bottom third of the league, and his swing and miss rate and walk rate were in the bottom 20th percentile. Westburg suffered a broken hand after being hit by a pitch on July 31, which nearly cost him the rest of the season. Westburg made it back in spirit with a week left in the season, but went 5 for 32 with one extra base hit when factoring in the two games of the postseason. Westburg should be 100 percent this spring and should hit near the top of the lineup as he looks to build upon his successful 2024 campaign while remaining dual eligible at second and third on draft day.
Westburg had a solid sophomore campaign in the Charm City despite Lord Walltimore stealing some homers from him. Westburg, in fact, loved hitting at home where he hit .303 with half of his homers there compared to a .228 average on the road. Westburg was at his best at home against righties, which is the exact opposite of what we would expect from a righty hitter in Baltimore, but the numbers back it up. His percentile rankings are heavily red despite both his bat speed and chase rate being near the bottom third of the league, and his swing and miss rate and walk rate were in the bottom 20th percentile. Westburg suffered a broken hand after being hit by a pitch on July 31, which nearly cost him the rest of the season. Westburg made it back in spirit with a week left in the season, but went 5 for 32 with one extra base hit when factoring in the two games of the postseason. Westburg should be 100 percent this spring and should hit near the top of the lineup as he looks to build upon his successful 2024 campaign while remaining dual eligible at second and third on draft day.
G
129
AB
459
AVG
.246
HR
22
RBI
70
SB
1
R
61
After a breakout 2023 with Tampa Bay and a good start to 2024, Paredes was shipped to the Cubs over the summer prior to the trade deadline. The move returned him to the team that drafted him back in 2015, though he never actually played for Chicago during that previous stint, as he was traded to Detroit as a prospect in 2018. Paredes struggled a bit initially in his debut for the Cubs, and his OPS across 52 games with his new team was just .632, compared to the .792 OPS he posted in 101 games for the Rays. Still just 25 years old, Paredes should be able to get back on track in 2025. He popped 20 home runs and recorded a .739 OPS as a 23-year-old back in 2022, then followed that up with 31 long balls and an .840 OPS a year later. Paredes also tallied an impressive 98 RBI during that 2023 campaign. The young infielder is just a .232 career hitter and may never make huge strides there, but he's already displayed good power potential at the MLB level, and that's where he should be able to once again make his mark in 2025. Being traded to Houston should allow Paredes to boost his power numbers since he's a pull hitter that will now have the advantage of the Crawford Boxes.
After a breakout 2023 with Tampa Bay and a good start to 2024, Paredes was shipped to the Cubs over the summer prior to the trade deadline. The move returned him to the team that drafted him back in 2015, though he never actually played for Chicago during that previous stint, as he was traded to Detroit as a prospect in 2018. Paredes struggled a bit initially in his debut for the Cubs, and his OPS across 52 games with his new team was just .632, compared to the .792 OPS he posted in 101 games for the Rays. Still just 25 years old, Paredes should be able to get back on track in 2025. He popped 20 home runs and recorded a .739 OPS as a 23-year-old back in 2022, then followed that up with 31 long balls and an .840 OPS a year later. Paredes also tallied an impressive 98 RBI during that 2023 campaign. The young infielder is just a .232 career hitter and may never make huge strides there, but he's already displayed good power potential at the MLB level, and that's where he should be able to once again make his mark in 2025. Being traded to Houston should allow Paredes to boost his power numbers since he's a pull hitter that will now have the advantage of the Crawford Boxes.
G
123
AB
454
AVG
.271
HR
15
RBI
57
SB
1
R
61
Correa showed last year he can still be a star at the plate as Minnesota's starting shortstop, but struggled again to stay healthy. Correa had just a 95 wRC+ in 2023 as he battled plantar fasciitis in his left foot. Fully healthy at the start of the season, Correa hit .308 with a .896 OPS in the first half and was named to the AL All-Star team. After struggling against fastballs for the first time in his career in 2023 (-5 Run Value per Baseball Savant), he bounced back with a .425 wOBA against fastballs (+5 run value). All his success came to a halt just before the All-Star break when Correa was sidelined with plantar fasciitis in his right foot. He was able to return in September, hitting .325 with a .960 OPS in 11 games. He was clearly not moving at full speed when he returned, but rest and rehab in the offseason should have him ready for spring training. He showed he still has above-average power (70th percentile in Avg. Exit Velocity and 71st in Hard-Hit Rate) and an outstanding eye at the plate (155 wRC+) along with premium defense. However, his foot issues along with long-term concerns about his ankle (a plate inserted in his ankle from a 2014 injury scared off teams from signing him in 2023) make him a major injury risk.
Correa showed last year he can still be a star at the plate as Minnesota's starting shortstop, but struggled again to stay healthy. Correa had just a 95 wRC+ in 2023 as he battled plantar fasciitis in his left foot. Fully healthy at the start of the season, Correa hit .308 with a .896 OPS in the first half and was named to the AL All-Star team. After struggling against fastballs for the first time in his career in 2023 (-5 Run Value per Baseball Savant), he bounced back with a .425 wOBA against fastballs (+5 run value). All his success came to a halt just before the All-Star break when Correa was sidelined with plantar fasciitis in his right foot. He was able to return in September, hitting .325 with a .960 OPS in 11 games. He was clearly not moving at full speed when he returned, but rest and rehab in the offseason should have him ready for spring training. He showed he still has above-average power (70th percentile in Avg. Exit Velocity and 71st in Hard-Hit Rate) and an outstanding eye at the plate (155 wRC+) along with premium defense. However, his foot issues along with long-term concerns about his ankle (a plate inserted in his ankle from a 2014 injury scared off teams from signing him in 2023) make him a major injury risk.
G
143
AB
503
AVG
.229
HR
19
RBI
57
SB
4
R
64
McMahon hit the ball harder than he ever has in 2024 with an average exit velocity in the 91st percentile and hard-hit rate in the 92nd percentile. He also hit lefties better than he had in years (.740 OPS). Unfortunately, he ended with just a .714 OPS versus righties and a dreadful second half (.592 OPS) wiped out all the good work he did in the first half (.797 OPS, 14 home runs). McMahon has never been even a league-average hitter in terms of OPS+ and his swing-and-miss issues mean he's more likely to hurt than help in the average department. However, the 30-year-old has been very durable and will keep getting the Coors Field boost, assuming the Rockies continue to resist any trade overtures.
McMahon hit the ball harder than he ever has in 2024 with an average exit velocity in the 91st percentile and hard-hit rate in the 92nd percentile. He also hit lefties better than he had in years (.740 OPS). Unfortunately, he ended with just a .714 OPS versus righties and a dreadful second half (.592 OPS) wiped out all the good work he did in the first half (.797 OPS, 14 home runs). McMahon has never been even a league-average hitter in terms of OPS+ and his swing-and-miss issues mean he's more likely to hurt than help in the average department. However, the 30-year-old has been very durable and will keep getting the Coors Field boost, assuming the Rockies continue to resist any trade overtures.
G
111
AB
380
AVG
.245
HR
16
RBI
56
SB
8
R
48
After playing just 70 games in his first two seasons due to a myriad of injuries, including two torn ACLs, Lewis looked set to become a star. Alas after hitting a home run on Opening Day, he pulled up with a right quadriceps strain and missed 58 games. He returned on fire at the plate by hitting nine home runs with a .984 OPS in 23 games when he returned. He then missed two weeks with adductor strain. When he returned in late July, he slumped at the plate for the first time of his career and had an underwhelming second half of the season. He hit just .207 with six home runs and a .620 OPS over his final 56 games. Whether it was not being used to the wear of a long season or bad luck (.248 BABIP over that stretch), Lewis looked mortal at the plate for the first time. He also struggled at third base (-2 Defensive Runs Saved) with the Twins giving him some time at second base for a likely move there in 2025. Lewis also did not attempt to steal any bases due to injury concerns despite decent speed. Still, he hit 16 homeruns in 82 games and posted a 108 wRC+ and was well above average in most advanced batted-ball metrics. He could bounce back with some better luck and a move to second base as he's enter his prime as he'll turn 26 next season.
After playing just 70 games in his first two seasons due to a myriad of injuries, including two torn ACLs, Lewis looked set to become a star. Alas after hitting a home run on Opening Day, he pulled up with a right quadriceps strain and missed 58 games. He returned on fire at the plate by hitting nine home runs with a .984 OPS in 23 games when he returned. He then missed two weeks with adductor strain. When he returned in late July, he slumped at the plate for the first time of his career and had an underwhelming second half of the season. He hit just .207 with six home runs and a .620 OPS over his final 56 games. Whether it was not being used to the wear of a long season or bad luck (.248 BABIP over that stretch), Lewis looked mortal at the plate for the first time. He also struggled at third base (-2 Defensive Runs Saved) with the Twins giving him some time at second base for a likely move there in 2025. Lewis also did not attempt to steal any bases due to injury concerns despite decent speed. Still, he hit 16 homeruns in 82 games and posted a 108 wRC+ and was well above average in most advanced batted-ball metrics. He could bounce back with some better luck and a move to second base as he's enter his prime as he'll turn 26 next season.
G
121
AB
439
AVG
.251
HR
16
RBI
52
SB
6
R
54
Jung had a productive rookie campaign in 2023 with 23 home runs and a .782 OPS in 122 games, but his season was derailed by wrist issues in 2024. He was sidelined for four months after suffering a fracture in early April, and he underwent tendon release surgery in October after missing the final week-plus of the regular season. Jung played in just 46 games and had a .264/.298/.421 slash line with seven homers and 16 RBI, but the numbers are a secondary concern to the injury situation. He also missed about six weeks due to a thumb issue in 2023 and has played in just 168 of 324 possible regular-season games across the past two seasons. Jung is entering his age-27 campaign and still has plenty of upside -- his power potential is obvious with 35 long balls in his first 805 plate appearances -- but he's a risky fantasy asset until he can show an ability to stay on the field.
Jung had a productive rookie campaign in 2023 with 23 home runs and a .782 OPS in 122 games, but his season was derailed by wrist issues in 2024. He was sidelined for four months after suffering a fracture in early April, and he underwent tendon release surgery in October after missing the final week-plus of the regular season. Jung played in just 46 games and had a .264/.298/.421 slash line with seven homers and 16 RBI, but the numbers are a secondary concern to the injury situation. He also missed about six weeks due to a thumb issue in 2023 and has played in just 168 of 324 possible regular-season games across the past two seasons. Jung is entering his age-27 campaign and still has plenty of upside -- his power potential is obvious with 35 long balls in his first 805 plate appearances -- but he's a risky fantasy asset until he can show an ability to stay on the field.
G
142
AB
449
AVG
.254
HR
13
RBI
51
SB
4
R
60
Keith inked a six-year, $28.64 million contract extension with the Tigers last January, which ensured his spot on the Opening Day roster even as he had yet to play an inning in the big leagues. The youngster had stretches when he looked like one of Detroit's better hitters, specifically in May - when he had an .881 OPS - and July - when he collected a 1.048 OPS and clubbed seven homers. Keith was pretty dreadful in the four other months and also did very little during the Tigers' surprising postseason run. The 23-year-old's 87.8 mph average exit velocity and 5.6 percent barrel rate were both well below average, but a 19.8 percent strikeout rate and .305/.352/.366 line versus southpaws for the left-handed swinger was encouraging. Keith could take a step forward in 2025, but he'll always be held back to some degree by being a lefty hitter at Comerica Park. The Tigers are moving him to first base following the signing of Gleyber Torres, so Keith will have gain dual-position eligibility early in 2025 after exclusively playing the keystone as a rookie.
Keith inked a six-year, $28.64 million contract extension with the Tigers last January, which ensured his spot on the Opening Day roster even as he had yet to play an inning in the big leagues. The youngster had stretches when he looked like one of Detroit's better hitters, specifically in May - when he had an .881 OPS - and July - when he collected a 1.048 OPS and clubbed seven homers. Keith was pretty dreadful in the four other months and also did very little during the Tigers' surprising postseason run. The 23-year-old's 87.8 mph average exit velocity and 5.6 percent barrel rate were both well below average, but a 19.8 percent strikeout rate and .305/.352/.366 line versus southpaws for the left-handed swinger was encouraging. Keith could take a step forward in 2025, but he'll always be held back to some degree by being a lefty hitter at Comerica Park. The Tigers are moving him to first base following the signing of Gleyber Torres, so Keith will have gain dual-position eligibility early in 2025 after exclusively playing the keystone as a rookie.
G
131
AB
367
AVG
.281
HR
9
RBI
46
SB
7
R
49
Clement has shown an ability to hit minor league pitching, but even that was only recently, as he had a solid season for Triple-A Buffalo around between moving to and from the big league roster. However, Clement left Triple-A in the rearview mirror in 2024 and went on to do something five other active players have done: He had an at-bat/strikeout ratio greater than 10.0 in a season of 450 or more plate appearances. Only David Fletcher, Kevin Newman, Jose Altuve and Luis Arraez (3x!) have that on their resumes. Clement, however, hit more homers than those players, with 12. Let's stay weird; despite all that contact, Clement had a poor .284 OBP because he put too many balls into play. He has dual-eligibility to the left side of the infield, but Bichette's return rules out shortstop, while Clement really is not an everyday player at third base. He is out of options, so he is all but certain to have a roster spot with the Jays. What he does with that roster spot is up to him, but he profiles more as a flexible reserve than he does an everyday corner man.
Clement has shown an ability to hit minor league pitching, but even that was only recently, as he had a solid season for Triple-A Buffalo around between moving to and from the big league roster. However, Clement left Triple-A in the rearview mirror in 2024 and went on to do something five other active players have done: He had an at-bat/strikeout ratio greater than 10.0 in a season of 450 or more plate appearances. Only David Fletcher, Kevin Newman, Jose Altuve and Luis Arraez (3x!) have that on their resumes. Clement, however, hit more homers than those players, with 12. Let's stay weird; despite all that contact, Clement had a poor .284 OBP because he put too many balls into play. He has dual-eligibility to the left side of the infield, but Bichette's return rules out shortstop, while Clement really is not an everyday player at third base. He is out of options, so he is all but certain to have a roster spot with the Jays. What he does with that roster spot is up to him, but he profiles more as a flexible reserve than he does an everyday corner man.
G
112
AB
347
AVG
.236
HR
9
RBI
32
SB
7
R
47
Between Josh Jung's wrist problems and Corey Seager getting nicked up, Smith finished third on the Rangers with nearly 600 plate appearances last season. He wound up winning the American League's Silver Slugger award at the utility spot, although the vast majority of Smith's production came in the first half when he collected an .861 OPS while slugging 10 of his 13 home runs. He had just a .565 OPS after the All-Star break, and Smith's .304 xwOBA versus his actual .323 wOBA suggests there was some good fortune involved. Smith should fill a super utility role again in 2025, although it's unlikely he'll play as much as he did in 2024. He'll be eligible at shortstop and third base out of the gate and could pick up additional eligibility, which is useful in deeper formats.ULL
Between Josh Jung's wrist problems and Corey Seager getting nicked up, Smith finished third on the Rangers with nearly 600 plate appearances last season. He wound up winning the American League's Silver Slugger award at the utility spot, although the vast majority of Smith's production came in the first half when he collected an .861 OPS while slugging 10 of his 13 home runs. He had just a .565 OPS after the All-Star break, and Smith's .304 xwOBA versus his actual .323 wOBA suggests there was some good fortune involved. Smith should fill a super utility role again in 2025, although it's unlikely he'll play as much as he did in 2024. He'll be eligible at shortstop and third base out of the gate and could pick up additional eligibility, which is useful in deeper formats.ULL
G
121
AB
314
AVG
.232
HR
10
RBI
34
SB
5
R
42
Mayer mastered Double-A (142 wRC+ in 77 games) after struggling at that level in 2023 (63 wRC+ in 43 games), but after another injury-marred season, his fragility is starting to become his most discussed quality. His 91 games in 2022 represent a career high, and perhaps fittingly, he was promoted to Triple-A in early August but never got into a game for Worcester due to hip and back injuries. He slashed .307/.370/.480 with eight home runs, 13 steals, a 19.7 percent strikeout rate and an excellent 31.5 percent hard-hit rate as a 21-year-old repeating Double-A. Mayer's best skills are his shortstop defense, followed by above-average power and a potentially above-average hit tool. He has multiple years with double-digit steals in the minors, but Mayer's pure speed is average at best, so we can't bank on him making a notable impact in stolen bases. Even if Mayer reached his realistic fantasy ceiling, he'd be a fringe top-15 fantasy shortstop due to the lack of a standout tool, and his durability issues make it difficult to sell him as a potential compiler in the Dansby Swanson mold. He'll be an option this summer if he's healthy and Trevor Story is hurt or struggling.
Mayer mastered Double-A (142 wRC+ in 77 games) after struggling at that level in 2023 (63 wRC+ in 43 games), but after another injury-marred season, his fragility is starting to become his most discussed quality. His 91 games in 2022 represent a career high, and perhaps fittingly, he was promoted to Triple-A in early August but never got into a game for Worcester due to hip and back injuries. He slashed .307/.370/.480 with eight home runs, 13 steals, a 19.7 percent strikeout rate and an excellent 31.5 percent hard-hit rate as a 21-year-old repeating Double-A. Mayer's best skills are his shortstop defense, followed by above-average power and a potentially above-average hit tool. He has multiple years with double-digit steals in the minors, but Mayer's pure speed is average at best, so we can't bank on him making a notable impact in stolen bases. Even if Mayer reached his realistic fantasy ceiling, he'd be a fringe top-15 fantasy shortstop due to the lack of a standout tool, and his durability issues make it difficult to sell him as a potential compiler in the Dansby Swanson mold. He'll be an option this summer if he's healthy and Trevor Story is hurt or struggling.
The rest of our Fantasy Baseball Outlooks & Rankings are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
G
159
AB
632
AVG
.302
HR
28
RBI
97
SB
38
R
107
Progress is not always linear, but Witt has been on an upward trajectory since breaking into the big leagues as the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in baseball in 2022. He improved upon all three elements of his slash line once again in 2024, adding nearly 60 points to his batting average to lead the majors at .332. At age 23/24, Witt played in all but one game for the Royals, earning his first All-Star selection and leading Kansas City to its first postseason appearance since 2015. He totaled 234 runs-plus-RBI while reaching 30 homers for a second straight season. The one area of decline was in the stolen-base department, as he fell back to 31 steals after totaling 49 the year prior. He was caught stealing 12 times in 43 attempts, but Witt ranked at the top of the sprint speed leaderboard at 30.5 ft/sec. Amazingly, there's still upside if he can improve his efficiency on the basepaths, and regardless he's already an elite fantasy producer. Despite a modest supporting cast, Witt should arguably be considered right alongside Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge at the very top of 2025 fantasy drafts.
Progress is not always linear, but Witt has been on an upward trajectory since breaking into the big leagues as the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in baseball in 2022. He improved upon all three elements of his slash line once again in 2024, adding nearly 60 points to his batting average to lead the majors at .332. At age 23/24, Witt played in all but one game for the Royals, earning his first All-Star selection and leading Kansas City to its first postseason appearance since 2015. He totaled 234 runs-plus-RBI while reaching 30 homers for a second straight season. The one area of decline was in the stolen-base department, as he fell back to 31 steals after totaling 49 the year prior. He was caught stealing 12 times in 43 attempts, but Witt ranked at the top of the sprint speed leaderboard at 30.5 ft/sec. Amazingly, there's still upside if he can improve his efficiency on the basepaths, and regardless he's already an elite fantasy producer. Despite a modest supporting cast, Witt should arguably be considered right alongside Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge at the very top of 2025 fantasy drafts.
G
155
AB
590
AVG
.271
HR
26
RBI
79
SB
22
R
99
Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury.
Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury.
G
153
AB
553
AVG
.246
HR
23
RBI
70
SB
23
R
79
The 24-year-old shortstop took a major step forward during his sophomore campaign in 2024 and finished with 23 homers, 30 steals and a .761 OPS in 155 games. He also provided plus-11 Defensive Runs Saved, though his range was limited with minus-five Outs Above Average. Neto was drafted during the first round of the 2022 Draft and has only 287 professional games under his belt, so he could continue to improve as he matures. He's a cornerstone piece up the middle for the Angels and got more starts in the two-hole than any other spot in the lineup last year. Early-November shoulder surgery clouds his status for Opening Day, and it could prevent him from achieving what otherwise seemed likely to be another 20-20 season.
The 24-year-old shortstop took a major step forward during his sophomore campaign in 2024 and finished with 23 homers, 30 steals and a .761 OPS in 155 games. He also provided plus-11 Defensive Runs Saved, though his range was limited with minus-five Outs Above Average. Neto was drafted during the first round of the 2022 Draft and has only 287 professional games under his belt, so he could continue to improve as he matures. He's a cornerstone piece up the middle for the Angels and got more starts in the two-hole than any other spot in the lineup last year. Early-November shoulder surgery clouds his status for Opening Day, and it could prevent him from achieving what otherwise seemed likely to be another 20-20 season.
G
149
AB
579
AVG
.282
HR
16
RBI
66
SB
20
R
79
Pena has failed to build upon a promising rookie season from 2022 which also featured ALCS and World Series MVP honors. He's been a reliable stats accumulator from a fantasy perspective, however, making him a solid starting option even at a robust position in shortstop. Pena finally began to take advantage of that elite sprint speed in jumping up to 20 stolen bases in 2024, and it's possible there's more in the tank there if he's able to refine his technique (he has just a 69 percent success rate over the last two seasons). He also cut down on the strikeouts for the second year in a row with a rate of just 17.4 percent in 2024, making Pena a solid bet for batting average even as he's a super aggressive hitter. While not a standout in any area, Pena makes for a viable option at shortstop once the bigger names are off the board.
Pena has failed to build upon a promising rookie season from 2022 which also featured ALCS and World Series MVP honors. He's been a reliable stats accumulator from a fantasy perspective, however, making him a solid starting option even at a robust position in shortstop. Pena finally began to take advantage of that elite sprint speed in jumping up to 20 stolen bases in 2024, and it's possible there's more in the tank there if he's able to refine his technique (he has just a 69 percent success rate over the last two seasons). He also cut down on the strikeouts for the second year in a row with a rate of just 17.4 percent in 2024, making Pena a solid bet for batting average even as he's a super aggressive hitter. While not a standout in any area, Pena makes for a viable option at shortstop once the bigger names are off the board.
G
128
AB
485
AVG
.278
HR
27
RBI
73
SB
4
R
75
Seager's tenure with the Rangers has been wildly successful so far, as he led the club to a championship in 2023, winning World Series MVP for a second time, and has now been an All-Star in all three seasons with Texas. However, he's done little to distance himself from the sketchy health reputation he developed during his time with the Dodgers. He underwent sports hernia surgery in September, which kept him from reaching 125 games played for the third time in four seasons. Granted, the shortstop played in even fewer games (119) in 2023 when he was the runner-up for regular-season MVP, and he still reached 30 homers last season despite the missed time. With a brilliant .290/.360/.512 slash line across his decade in the majors, Seager is well established as an absolute menace from the left side. Prospective fantasy managers will want to bake in an IL stint or two and may want to prioritize stolen bases with subsequent draft picks depending on the scoring format, given the 30-year-old is essentially a zero in the category.
Seager's tenure with the Rangers has been wildly successful so far, as he led the club to a championship in 2023, winning World Series MVP for a second time, and has now been an All-Star in all three seasons with Texas. However, he's done little to distance himself from the sketchy health reputation he developed during his time with the Dodgers. He underwent sports hernia surgery in September, which kept him from reaching 125 games played for the third time in four seasons. Granted, the shortstop played in even fewer games (119) in 2023 when he was the runner-up for regular-season MVP, and he still reached 30 homers last season despite the missed time. With a brilliant .290/.360/.512 slash line across his decade in the majors, Seager is well established as an absolute menace from the left side. Prospective fantasy managers will want to bake in an IL stint or two and may want to prioritize stolen bases with subsequent draft picks depending on the scoring format, given the 30-year-old is essentially a zero in the category.
G
147
AB
525
AVG
.240
HR
16
RBI
64
SB
23
R
61
Story endured a third consecutive injury-marred year and has played a season's worth of games (163) in a Red Sox uniform since signing with them in 2022. In 2024, it was a shoulder injury suffered in early April - it appeared to be season-ending - but the shortstop worked the rehab hard and returned in September. In 26 games, Story batted .255/.340/.394 with two home runs, 10 RBI and six steals. A.L. pitchers were still a puzzle for Story, whose 31.1 strikeout percentage was the third consecutive season north of 30 percent, and his hard-hit rate fell off the cliff to a career-low 29.5 percent. In addition to the toll injuries have taken, Story is entering his age-32 season, so expecting an appearance of the Colorado version of Story may be too much at this stage. However, he could still be an effective bat from the right side, which Boston desperately needs after Tyler O'Neill's departure.
Story endured a third consecutive injury-marred year and has played a season's worth of games (163) in a Red Sox uniform since signing with them in 2022. In 2024, it was a shoulder injury suffered in early April - it appeared to be season-ending - but the shortstop worked the rehab hard and returned in September. In 26 games, Story batted .255/.340/.394 with two home runs, 10 RBI and six steals. A.L. pitchers were still a puzzle for Story, whose 31.1 strikeout percentage was the third consecutive season north of 30 percent, and his hard-hit rate fell off the cliff to a career-low 29.5 percent. In addition to the toll injuries have taken, Story is entering his age-32 season, so expecting an appearance of the Colorado version of Story may be too much at this stage. However, he could still be an effective bat from the right side, which Boston desperately needs after Tyler O'Neill's departure.
G
123
AB
419
AVG
.236
HR
24
RBI
70
SB
4
R
62
A prospect who is more highly thought of by some real-life prospect rankers than those who focus on fantasy value, Montgomery has yet to hit above .250 at Double-A or Triple-A, and he has less foot speed/stolen base upside than the typical acclaimed shortstop prospect. The biggest selling points are opportunity - the White Sox seem set on shoehorning him in as their shortstop of the future - power and on-base percentage. His poor showing as an age-appropriate player at Triple-A (.214/.329/.381 triple-slash, 88 wRC+, 28.6 K%) should be weighed more heavily than his 1.167 OPS, three home runs and 6:10 K:BB in 11 Arizona Fall League games, although the AFL showing does at least give those rostering him in dynasty leagues and 2025 draft-and-hold leagues some hope. In a healthy organization, Montgomery would probably debut as a third baseman, but he's ticketed for shortstop work on the South Side. In OBP leagues, he should have a solid run as a power-hitting middle-infield option, but in batting average leagues, there's no guarantee he produces enough to be someone you want in your starting lineup.
A prospect who is more highly thought of by some real-life prospect rankers than those who focus on fantasy value, Montgomery has yet to hit above .250 at Double-A or Triple-A, and he has less foot speed/stolen base upside than the typical acclaimed shortstop prospect. The biggest selling points are opportunity - the White Sox seem set on shoehorning him in as their shortstop of the future - power and on-base percentage. His poor showing as an age-appropriate player at Triple-A (.214/.329/.381 triple-slash, 88 wRC+, 28.6 K%) should be weighed more heavily than his 1.167 OPS, three home runs and 6:10 K:BB in 11 Arizona Fall League games, although the AFL showing does at least give those rostering him in dynasty leagues and 2025 draft-and-hold leagues some hope. In a healthy organization, Montgomery would probably debut as a third baseman, but he's ticketed for shortstop work on the South Side. In OBP leagues, he should have a solid run as a power-hitting middle-infield option, but in batting average leagues, there's no guarantee he produces enough to be someone you want in your starting lineup.
G
129
AB
470
AVG
.221
HR
14
RBI
54
SB
19
R
59
Volpe was a disappointment in his sophomore season, losing more than a third of his homers despite nearly 90 more plate appearances on the season. His defense deservedly keeps him in the lineup every day, and his speed somehow allowed him to accumulate half of his plate appearances in the leadoff spot despite a .293 OBP both overall as well as when he hit first in the lineup. Who are we to judge since the club made it to the World Series? We only bring it up because Volpe's run scoring total will likely decline if the Yankees find a better fit for leadoff, as Volpe's speed makes him a better fit to lead off a 1980's Yankee lineup than it does a modern day one. That would leave us with his steals as his most redeeming quality, and 12 of those came from the leadoff spot. Volpe did improve his strikeout rate, yet it, his walk rate and his ability to lay off pitches out of the zone all remain below league average. Beware the Yankee tariff, because the pinstripes make this player appear better than he actually is at this moment.
Volpe was a disappointment in his sophomore season, losing more than a third of his homers despite nearly 90 more plate appearances on the season. His defense deservedly keeps him in the lineup every day, and his speed somehow allowed him to accumulate half of his plate appearances in the leadoff spot despite a .293 OBP both overall as well as when he hit first in the lineup. Who are we to judge since the club made it to the World Series? We only bring it up because Volpe's run scoring total will likely decline if the Yankees find a better fit for leadoff, as Volpe's speed makes him a better fit to lead off a 1980's Yankee lineup than it does a modern day one. That would leave us with his steals as his most redeeming quality, and 12 of those came from the leadoff spot. Volpe did improve his strikeout rate, yet it, his walk rate and his ability to lay off pitches out of the zone all remain below league average. Beware the Yankee tariff, because the pinstripes make this player appear better than he actually is at this moment.
G
135
AB
348
AVG
.230
HR
8
RBI
39
SB
31
R
49
Caballero comes into the 2025 season with eligibility at three infield positions as well as the American League stolen base crown. That is roughly where the good news of his 2024 season ends. Caballero also led the league in caught stealings (16), putting his stolen-base success rate below the league average. Caballero was allowed to run in this manner because Tampa Bay was not a serious contender and the club was desperate to generate offense as the club fell back into its previous offensive patterns after a surprising 2023 season. Caballero's defense will keep him in the lineup, but the remainder of his skills, or lack thereof, will keep him in the bottom of the lineup. Caballero already saw his playing time getting squeezed later in the season once Junior Caminero was promoted with Christopher Morel and Brandon Lowe taking time away at second base. Caballero would ideally be a utility player as the club's offensive issues were exacerbated with him and his statistically-flawed twin Jose Siri in the same lineup.
Caballero comes into the 2025 season with eligibility at three infield positions as well as the American League stolen base crown. That is roughly where the good news of his 2024 season ends. Caballero also led the league in caught stealings (16), putting his stolen-base success rate below the league average. Caballero was allowed to run in this manner because Tampa Bay was not a serious contender and the club was desperate to generate offense as the club fell back into its previous offensive patterns after a surprising 2023 season. Caballero's defense will keep him in the lineup, but the remainder of his skills, or lack thereof, will keep him in the bottom of the lineup. Caballero already saw his playing time getting squeezed later in the season once Junior Caminero was promoted with Christopher Morel and Brandon Lowe taking time away at second base. Caballero would ideally be a utility player as the club's offensive issues were exacerbated with him and his statistically-flawed twin Jose Siri in the same lineup.
G
137
AB
504
AVG
.244
HR
13
RBI
53
SB
6
R
71
Crawford was perhaps the biggest disappointment amongst a host of them in Seattle's position player group last season. Out of 169 players to accrue at least 450 plate appearances, Crawford ranked 163rd with a .625 OPS, which was nearly a 200-point drop from his .818 mark in 2023. Crawford's offensive performance in 2023 is the clear outlier in his career, particularly from a power perspective, so a repeat in 2024 wasn't expected. The fall was alarming, though, particularly against right-handers, with the left-handed batting Crawford slashing a paltry .173/.283/.282 versus righties. A modest bounceback in 2025 is likely, especially if the Mariners give Crawford another shot in the leadoff spot. That said, Crawford's fantasy ceiling is limited even if things break right.
Crawford was perhaps the biggest disappointment amongst a host of them in Seattle's position player group last season. Out of 169 players to accrue at least 450 plate appearances, Crawford ranked 163rd with a .625 OPS, which was nearly a 200-point drop from his .818 mark in 2023. Crawford's offensive performance in 2023 is the clear outlier in his career, particularly from a power perspective, so a repeat in 2024 wasn't expected. The fall was alarming, though, particularly against right-handers, with the left-handed batting Crawford slashing a paltry .173/.283/.282 versus righties. A modest bounceback in 2025 is likely, especially if the Mariners give Crawford another shot in the leadoff spot. That said, Crawford's fantasy ceiling is limited even if things break right.
G
145
AB
500
AVG
.264
HR
11
RBI
50
SB
6
R
63
Wilson rarely strikes out and is a big-league caliber defensive shortstop. Beyond that, he may not bring much to the table. The No. 6 overall pick in 2023, Wilson has only needed around 25 games at each of the three highest levels of the minors en route to his big-league debut just after the All-Star break. He quickly suffered a hamstring strain that kept him out until late-August, so he didn't end up playing enough to exhaust his prospect eligibility. Wilson struck out just over 10 percent of the time at High-A and Double-A and he struck out 4.3 percent of the time at Triple-A and 9.7 percent of the time in the majors. He is an elite contact hitter, but he is also aggressive at the dish, and he needs the pitcher to make a mistake for him to get a ball he can drive out of the park. He had a poor 24.4 percent hard-hit rate and a 22.2 percent soft-hit rate in the minors, and of his eight pro homers in 107 games, three came in the Pacific Coast League bandbox in Las Vegas and one came in the hitter-friendly road park at Amarillo when he as at Double-A. Wilson is hit-over-power to the extreme, and there's little evidence that there's more than 10-15 homer juice in his bat at peak. He's also attempted just eight steals in pro ball, with zero attempted steals in 28 games in the majors. Wilson should play every day and help your batting average while potentially hurting you everywhere else.
Wilson rarely strikes out and is a big-league caliber defensive shortstop. Beyond that, he may not bring much to the table. The No. 6 overall pick in 2023, Wilson has only needed around 25 games at each of the three highest levels of the minors en route to his big-league debut just after the All-Star break. He quickly suffered a hamstring strain that kept him out until late-August, so he didn't end up playing enough to exhaust his prospect eligibility. Wilson struck out just over 10 percent of the time at High-A and Double-A and he struck out 4.3 percent of the time at Triple-A and 9.7 percent of the time in the majors. He is an elite contact hitter, but he is also aggressive at the dish, and he needs the pitcher to make a mistake for him to get a ball he can drive out of the park. He had a poor 24.4 percent hard-hit rate and a 22.2 percent soft-hit rate in the minors, and of his eight pro homers in 107 games, three came in the Pacific Coast League bandbox in Las Vegas and one came in the hitter-friendly road park at Amarillo when he as at Double-A. Wilson is hit-over-power to the extreme, and there's little evidence that there's more than 10-15 homer juice in his bat at peak. He's also attempted just eight steals in pro ball, with zero attempted steals in 28 games in the majors. Wilson should play every day and help your batting average while potentially hurting you everywhere else.
G
139
AB
505
AVG
.251
HR
7
RBI
31
SB
15
R
61
Meidroth may not have gotten a shot at all in Boston in 2025, but after getting dealt this winter to the White Sox in the Garrett Crochet trade, he has a path to spending the entire season as a big-league regular. Public projection systems project Meidroth as one of the best hitters on Chicago's entire roster on a per-plate appearance basis, and Andrew Vaughn is the only infielder who is assured of everyday playing time. Meidroth is eligible at shortstop to start the year, but his two best positions are second base and third base, so he could add eligibility at one or two spots during the season. Unfortunately for fantasy purposes, power and speed are Meidroth's weakest tools, so he'll need to be playing every day to provide the necessary counting stats. He has a very good eye at the plate and a short swing, which results in very low strikeout rates (12.7 K% at Triple-A) and little power (ISO below .125 at High-A, Double-A and Triple-A). A strong batting average/on-base percentage and respectable runs totals via a high spot in the lineup are Meidroth's most realistic paths to providing fantasy value.
Meidroth may not have gotten a shot at all in Boston in 2025, but after getting dealt this winter to the White Sox in the Garrett Crochet trade, he has a path to spending the entire season as a big-league regular. Public projection systems project Meidroth as one of the best hitters on Chicago's entire roster on a per-plate appearance basis, and Andrew Vaughn is the only infielder who is assured of everyday playing time. Meidroth is eligible at shortstop to start the year, but his two best positions are second base and third base, so he could add eligibility at one or two spots during the season. Unfortunately for fantasy purposes, power and speed are Meidroth's weakest tools, so he'll need to be playing every day to provide the necessary counting stats. He has a very good eye at the plate and a short swing, which results in very low strikeout rates (12.7 K% at Triple-A) and little power (ISO below .125 at High-A, Double-A and Triple-A). A strong batting average/on-base percentage and respectable runs totals via a high spot in the lineup are Meidroth's most realistic paths to providing fantasy value.
G
125
AB
412
AVG
.228
HR
11
RBI
53
SB
8
R
49
Baez's move to Detroit has been a disaster and 2024 may have marked the low point. The shortstop batted .184 with a career-worst .515 OPS and mustered only six home runs and 37 RBI across 80 games. A hip injury eventually shut Baez down, and he underwent surgery in early September. The veteran should be ready for 2025 and the organization has said he will have a role with the team, but it's possible that he shifts to the bench. Rookie Trey Sweeney took over when Baez went out, and though the former predictably endured some struggles as a young player, he's much more in line with the rest of Detroit's youth movement. Baez has three years and $73 million remaining on his contract, so he won't be cut, while a trade also feels unlikely unless Detroit is willing to eat a decent amount of salary. The most likely scenario has the 31-year-old back with the team, and it's also quite possible he starts again on Opening Day. However, the Tigers are unlikely to show much patience with Baez, and fantasy managers should look elsewhere until further notice.
Baez's move to Detroit has been a disaster and 2024 may have marked the low point. The shortstop batted .184 with a career-worst .515 OPS and mustered only six home runs and 37 RBI across 80 games. A hip injury eventually shut Baez down, and he underwent surgery in early September. The veteran should be ready for 2025 and the organization has said he will have a role with the team, but it's possible that he shifts to the bench. Rookie Trey Sweeney took over when Baez went out, and though the former predictably endured some struggles as a young player, he's much more in line with the rest of Detroit's youth movement. Baez has three years and $73 million remaining on his contract, so he won't be cut, while a trade also feels unlikely unless Detroit is willing to eat a decent amount of salary. The most likely scenario has the 31-year-old back with the team, and it's also quite possible he starts again on Opening Day. However, the Tigers are unlikely to show much patience with Baez, and fantasy managers should look elsewhere until further notice.
G
137
AB
392
AVG
.237
HR
9
RBI
38
SB
15
R
51
Across five MLB seasons, McKinstry has pretty much settled in as a light-hitting utility player known primarily for his defensive abilities. The 29-year-old batted .286 across a small sample of four games as a rookie with the Dodgers back in 2020, but he's batted .231 or worse in each of his seasons since then. He's also never reached double figures in home runs, as he topped out at nine long balls two years ago with Detroit, when he had a career-best 464 at-bats. McKinstry's value from a real-life perspective comes from his versatility. He appeared at every infield position except for first base last season and also saw time in the corner outfield spots. That makes McKinstry a useful MLB bench player, but it doesn't translate to fantasy impact. Heading into 2025, McKinstry should once again be a utility option who has some flashes of offensive ability but no real consistent value in most fantasy leagues.
Across five MLB seasons, McKinstry has pretty much settled in as a light-hitting utility player known primarily for his defensive abilities. The 29-year-old batted .286 across a small sample of four games as a rookie with the Dodgers back in 2020, but he's batted .231 or worse in each of his seasons since then. He's also never reached double figures in home runs, as he topped out at nine long balls two years ago with Detroit, when he had a career-best 464 at-bats. McKinstry's value from a real-life perspective comes from his versatility. He appeared at every infield position except for first base last season and also saw time in the corner outfield spots. That makes McKinstry a useful MLB bench player, but it doesn't translate to fantasy impact. Heading into 2025, McKinstry should once again be a utility option who has some flashes of offensive ability but no real consistent value in most fantasy leagues.
G
120
AB
398
AVG
.231
HR
11
RBI
53
SB
6
R
38
Lee, the No. 8 overall pick in 2022, held his own in his first trip to the majors and enters spring training looking set to win an everyday role at third base or second base. Lee suffered a herniated disc in his back during spring training which delayed his debut until June. He was quickly called up after posting a .974 OPS at Triple-A. He had a hot start to his major league career by hitting .300 with a .816 OPS in his first ten games, but then hit just .197 with a .514 OPS the rest of the season. Brooks has a good eye at the plate and makes excellent contact (just a 14.6% K%), but struggled to generate power in the majors with a 40.1% ground-ball rate. He can play around the infield, but may be Minnesota's best fielding third baseman. He'll compete for a starting job at second base or third base and could improve dramatically in his second full season.
Lee, the No. 8 overall pick in 2022, held his own in his first trip to the majors and enters spring training looking set to win an everyday role at third base or second base. Lee suffered a herniated disc in his back during spring training which delayed his debut until June. He was quickly called up after posting a .974 OPS at Triple-A. He had a hot start to his major league career by hitting .300 with a .816 OPS in his first ten games, but then hit just .197 with a .514 OPS the rest of the season. Brooks has a good eye at the plate and makes excellent contact (just a 14.6% K%), but struggled to generate power in the majors with a 40.1% ground-ball rate. He can play around the infield, but may be Minnesota's best fielding third baseman. He'll compete for a starting job at second base or third base and could improve dramatically in his second full season.
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G
143
AB
504
AVG
.312
HR
51
RBI
113
SB
9
R
117
Judge had some noise surrounding his status during spring training around lingering pain from the toe injury after the incident with the right field wall at Dodger Stadium. Those concerns were not exactly assuaged when Judge had a .180/.315/.348 slash line a month into the regular season with three home runs. He hit three homers in one week toward the end of April and went on to hit 52 more the rest of the season and put up a Ruthian .349/.484/.768 slash line the rest of the season while driving in 133 runs and scoring 114 while chipping in nine steals. In a year where homers were down overall in the league, Judge nearly matched his 2022 season. About the only thing Judge has never done is have consecutive 50-plus homer seasons, but that is nitpicking. It will be interesting to see what happens should Juan Soto not return in free agency, as Soto's presence on base was a contributing factor in Judge setting a new career high in RBI.
Judge had some noise surrounding his status during spring training around lingering pain from the toe injury after the incident with the right field wall at Dodger Stadium. Those concerns were not exactly assuaged when Judge had a .180/.315/.348 slash line a month into the regular season with three home runs. He hit three homers in one week toward the end of April and went on to hit 52 more the rest of the season and put up a Ruthian .349/.484/.768 slash line the rest of the season while driving in 133 runs and scoring 114 while chipping in nine steals. In a year where homers were down overall in the league, Judge nearly matched his 2022 season. About the only thing Judge has never done is have consecutive 50-plus homer seasons, but that is nitpicking. It will be interesting to see what happens should Juan Soto not return in free agency, as Soto's presence on base was a contributing factor in Judge setting a new career high in RBI.
G
153
AB
625
AVG
.270
HR
28
RBI
88
SB
30
R
95
After underwhelming throughout the vast majority of the regular season, Rodriguez caught fire again late to reach 20-20 for the third straight year to begin his MLB career. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Rodriguez sat with a .660 OPS, 11 homers and 40 RBI on the morning of Aug. 28. He would go on to slash .349/.386/.597 with nine homers and 28 RBI over his final 29 games, though it wasn't enough to drag the Mariners and their bottom-10 scoring offense to the postseason. He was efficient on the basepaths, but his attempts dipped, in particular after he returned from an IL stint due to a right ankle sprain. Rodriguez struggled against offspeed pitches to the tune of a .173 average and .199 xBA last season, but he made up for it to an extent by punishing fastballs. While his strikeout and walk numbers have not shown any tangible improvement in his three years in the league, and he looked more like a star than a superstar in 2024, it's important to remember he's still just entering his age-24 season.
After underwhelming throughout the vast majority of the regular season, Rodriguez caught fire again late to reach 20-20 for the third straight year to begin his MLB career. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Rodriguez sat with a .660 OPS, 11 homers and 40 RBI on the morning of Aug. 28. He would go on to slash .349/.386/.597 with nine homers and 28 RBI over his final 29 games, though it wasn't enough to drag the Mariners and their bottom-10 scoring offense to the postseason. He was efficient on the basepaths, but his attempts dipped, in particular after he returned from an IL stint due to a right ankle sprain. Rodriguez struggled against offspeed pitches to the tune of a .173 average and .199 xBA last season, but he made up for it to an extent by punishing fastballs. While his strikeout and walk numbers have not shown any tangible improvement in his three years in the league, and he looked more like a star than a superstar in 2024, it's important to remember he's still just entering his age-24 season.
G
150
AB
558
AVG
.269
HR
33
RBI
92
SB
7
R
81
Pick a stat, any stat, it doesn't matter. Counting stat, ratio, whatever. It was a personal best for Rooker. His 28.8 percent strikeout rate was still too high and is a concern, since it's rare for a player to repeat a career year. Moving out of the Coliseum and playing in Sutter Health Park, the home field for Triple-A Sacramento River Rats should help assuage regression. After the season, it was reported that Rooker experienced soreness in his right arm for most of the season, ostensibly explaining why Rooker appeared exclusively at DH after only 14 games in the outfield. Rooker is expected to be 100 percent in the spring. He'll start the season with UT-only designation but should pick up outfield eligibility. The initial UT-only status could render a buying opportunity, helping buffer the likely fall off from last season. Rooker inked a five-year, $60 million extension with the Athletics in January, which should put an end to any trade chatter for the foreseeable future.
Pick a stat, any stat, it doesn't matter. Counting stat, ratio, whatever. It was a personal best for Rooker. His 28.8 percent strikeout rate was still too high and is a concern, since it's rare for a player to repeat a career year. Moving out of the Coliseum and playing in Sutter Health Park, the home field for Triple-A Sacramento River Rats should help assuage regression. After the season, it was reported that Rooker experienced soreness in his right arm for most of the season, ostensibly explaining why Rooker appeared exclusively at DH after only 14 games in the outfield. Rooker is expected to be 100 percent in the spring. He'll start the season with UT-only designation but should pick up outfield eligibility. The initial UT-only status could render a buying opportunity, helping buffer the likely fall off from last season. Rooker inked a five-year, $60 million extension with the Athletics in January, which should put an end to any trade chatter for the foreseeable future.
G
145
AB
540
AVG
.267
HR
25
RBI
73
SB
18
R
92
There were signs that Springer was approaching a production cliff in his career, but nothing truly pointed to him having this type of falloff. Springer posted the worst batting average of his full-season career by nearly 40 points and failed to reach 20 homers in a full season for the first time since 2015 when he appeared in just 102 games. The walk rate and the contact rates remained constant, yet Springer's bat appeared at times as if it still had a weighted doughnut on it. Springer has made a career of feasting off fastballs, but hit just .241 against fastballs in 2024 and .192 against non-fastballs. He no longer has the juice to get into the elevate-and-celebrate crowd as his groundball to fly-ball ratio has dropped from 0.70 in 2021 to 1.54 this past season. His 50.7 percent groundball rate was the highest of his career, while his 39.8 percent pull percentage was a continuation of the 2023 struggles. His contract will guarantee him playing time in Toronto, but where that playing time comes in the lineup is anyone's guess. He no longer profiles as a top-of-the-lineup hitter, so his production could be further impacted hitting down in the lineup as Toronto either looks to make one final push in the Vlad era or begins a tear-down after multiple disappointing seasons. Springer is absolutely on his descent down the aging curve and appears to be in a rapidly accelerating phase at this time.
There were signs that Springer was approaching a production cliff in his career, but nothing truly pointed to him having this type of falloff. Springer posted the worst batting average of his full-season career by nearly 40 points and failed to reach 20 homers in a full season for the first time since 2015 when he appeared in just 102 games. The walk rate and the contact rates remained constant, yet Springer's bat appeared at times as if it still had a weighted doughnut on it. Springer has made a career of feasting off fastballs, but hit just .241 against fastballs in 2024 and .192 against non-fastballs. He no longer has the juice to get into the elevate-and-celebrate crowd as his groundball to fly-ball ratio has dropped from 0.70 in 2021 to 1.54 this past season. His 50.7 percent groundball rate was the highest of his career, while his 39.8 percent pull percentage was a continuation of the 2023 struggles. His contract will guarantee him playing time in Toronto, but where that playing time comes in the lineup is anyone's guess. He no longer profiles as a top-of-the-lineup hitter, so his production could be further impacted hitting down in the lineup as Toronto either looks to make one final push in the Vlad era or begins a tear-down after multiple disappointing seasons. Springer is absolutely on his descent down the aging curve and appears to be in a rapidly accelerating phase at this time.
G
145
AB
558
AVG
.276
HR
15
RBI
69
SB
28
R
82
Duran built on his breakthrough 2023 season by walking more while fanning less. It was Duran's third straight season with an improved strikeout rate and second consecutive season with a better walk rate. A career-high barrel rate helped Duran lead MLB in both double and triples, elevating his stead in points and Best Ball formats. He faded down the stretch, posting a 61 wRC+ in September, after ranging between 102 and 193 the prior five months. Fatigue may have been the season considering the only games Duran missed were in August due to a two-game suspension for an audible homophobic slur. This was the only blight on a season in which Duran captured down ballot MVP votes. He rebounded from adversity before and is likely to do it again. The safe play is pulling back from a career year, but Duran has the skill set to keep getting better.
Duran built on his breakthrough 2023 season by walking more while fanning less. It was Duran's third straight season with an improved strikeout rate and second consecutive season with a better walk rate. A career-high barrel rate helped Duran lead MLB in both double and triples, elevating his stead in points and Best Ball formats. He faded down the stretch, posting a 61 wRC+ in September, after ranging between 102 and 193 the prior five months. Fatigue may have been the season considering the only games Duran missed were in August due to a two-game suspension for an audible homophobic slur. This was the only blight on a season in which Duran captured down ballot MVP votes. He rebounded from adversity before and is likely to do it again. The safe play is pulling back from a career year, but Duran has the skill set to keep getting better.
G
156
AB
577
AVG
.236
HR
24
RBI
72
SB
25
R
89
The Home Run Derby curse is mostly pseudo-science, but Arozarena is doing his best to disprove that line of thought. Arozarena was arguably on the best run of his regular-season career in 2023 prior to the derby, but he was terrible after it, and the 2024 season was mostly an extension of the same. Arozarena did get to another 20-20 season, and only he and Jose Ramirez have done that each of the past four seasons, but Arozarena has now had 926 post-derby plate appearances and has a .219/.332/.382 slash line with 27 homers and 32 steals. It was long expected the Rays would deal Arozarena in his expensive years, but the move to Seattle was a terrible one for his run production, and he hit five homers in 54 games after the trade. The puzzling part with Arozarena is the increased strikeout rate does not come from him chasing out of the zone, but instead because his in-zone contact rate has declined now for three consecutive seasons. He has become a more disciplined hitter these days, but his struggles against fastballs in 2024 (.221 vs .282 in 2023) were extremely concerning. The volume should once again be there, but at what cost?
The Home Run Derby curse is mostly pseudo-science, but Arozarena is doing his best to disprove that line of thought. Arozarena was arguably on the best run of his regular-season career in 2023 prior to the derby, but he was terrible after it, and the 2024 season was mostly an extension of the same. Arozarena did get to another 20-20 season, and only he and Jose Ramirez have done that each of the past four seasons, but Arozarena has now had 926 post-derby plate appearances and has a .219/.332/.382 slash line with 27 homers and 32 steals. It was long expected the Rays would deal Arozarena in his expensive years, but the move to Seattle was a terrible one for his run production, and he hit five homers in 54 games after the trade. The puzzling part with Arozarena is the increased strikeout rate does not come from him chasing out of the zone, but instead because his in-zone contact rate has declined now for three consecutive seasons. He has become a more disciplined hitter these days, but his struggles against fastballs in 2024 (.221 vs .282 in 2023) were extremely concerning. The volume should once again be there, but at what cost?
G
146
AB
551
AVG
.265
HR
26
RBI
82
SB
5
R
80
Greene's quality of contact is borderline elite, but a 20th percentile strikeout rate keeps him from taking full advantage of 90th percentile barrel and 83rd percentile hard hit rates. Greene's contact on pitches out of the zone is his undoing, but there are harbingers for improved contact. His strikeout rate has dropped each of the past two seasons, albeit just slightly. More importantly, Greene doesn't chase, and he walks at an 11 percent clip. Together, these bode well for better swing decisions. Greene's power metrics are also on the upswing, as he had a career-high 34.6 percent fly ball rate last season, 10 points above his first two seasons. Greene doesn't run much, and he needs to establish durability after missing more than three weeks with a hamstring issue. This could be the last year to draft Greene outside of the top 75; he has the makings of a four-category star.
Greene's quality of contact is borderline elite, but a 20th percentile strikeout rate keeps him from taking full advantage of 90th percentile barrel and 83rd percentile hard hit rates. Greene's contact on pitches out of the zone is his undoing, but there are harbingers for improved contact. His strikeout rate has dropped each of the past two seasons, albeit just slightly. More importantly, Greene doesn't chase, and he walks at an 11 percent clip. Together, these bode well for better swing decisions. Greene's power metrics are also on the upswing, as he had a career-high 34.6 percent fly ball rate last season, 10 points above his first two seasons. Greene doesn't run much, and he needs to establish durability after missing more than three weeks with a hamstring issue. This could be the last year to draft Greene outside of the top 75; he has the makings of a four-category star.
G
141
AB
517
AVG
.246
HR
20
RBI
70
SB
21
R
76
Bucking the traditional prospect path, Langford made the Rangers' Opening Day roster in spring training 2024 and debuted in the big leagues after just 44 games in the minors. The fourth overall pick in 2023, Langford struggled out of the gates last season, posting a .588 OPS through his first 31 MLB games before a right hamstring strain put him on the injured list. He would bat .300 or higher in two of the final fourth months while adding eight homers in September to bring him up to a 110 wRC+ for the season. On the strength of 98th percentile sprint speed, Langford stole 19 bases in 22 attempts. While it wasn't the Rookie of the Year campaign many expected, he showcased a highly advanced plate approach for a 22-year-old (20.6 K%, 9.2 BB%). His strong finish should renew excitement heading into 2025. A step forward could easily vault Langford into the top 15 among fantasy outfielders.
Bucking the traditional prospect path, Langford made the Rangers' Opening Day roster in spring training 2024 and debuted in the big leagues after just 44 games in the minors. The fourth overall pick in 2023, Langford struggled out of the gates last season, posting a .588 OPS through his first 31 MLB games before a right hamstring strain put him on the injured list. He would bat .300 or higher in two of the final fourth months while adding eight homers in September to bring him up to a 110 wRC+ for the season. On the strength of 98th percentile sprint speed, Langford stole 19 bases in 22 attempts. While it wasn't the Rookie of the Year campaign many expected, he showcased a highly advanced plate approach for a 22-year-old (20.6 K%, 9.2 BB%). His strong finish should renew excitement heading into 2025. A step forward could easily vault Langford into the top 15 among fantasy outfielders.
G
142
AB
526
AVG
.240
HR
26
RBI
79
SB
5
R
77
Ward offered some rare stability amidst another dud of a season from the Angels. The 31-year-old showed no ill effects from a scary incident which ended his 2023 campaign when a hit by pitch in the face resulted in multiple fractures, setting career highs in home runs, RBI and games played. Ward's 13 percent barrel rate and 90.9 mph average exit velocity also represented full-season highs. If anything, Ward underperformed relative to his batted ball data, as his .351 xwOBA was 26 points higher than his actual .325 wOBA. Ward appears likely to be held back by his supporting cast again in 2025, although a healthy season out of Mike Trout would certainly help. While he doesn't offer standout production in any area, Ward was a top-40 outfielder in 2024 and it's reasonable to think he could finish in that range again.
Ward offered some rare stability amidst another dud of a season from the Angels. The 31-year-old showed no ill effects from a scary incident which ended his 2023 campaign when a hit by pitch in the face resulted in multiple fractures, setting career highs in home runs, RBI and games played. Ward's 13 percent barrel rate and 90.9 mph average exit velocity also represented full-season highs. If anything, Ward underperformed relative to his batted ball data, as his .351 xwOBA was 26 points higher than his actual .325 wOBA. Ward appears likely to be held back by his supporting cast again in 2025, although a healthy season out of Mike Trout would certainly help. While he doesn't offer standout production in any area, Ward was a top-40 outfielder in 2024 and it's reasonable to think he could finish in that range again.
G
120
AB
430
AVG
.251
HR
23
RBI
64
SB
13
R
72
Buxton played over 100 games for just the second time in his career as he returned to playing center field after knee problems in 2023 limited him to DH. Buxton still struggled to stay healthy, however, as he spent time on the injured list for right knee inflammation and a right hip injury. Compared to the rest of his career, his injuries were not as debilitating or as long lasting and he was able to play in the field. The Twins also gave him frequent off days. When in the lineup, Buxton bounced back from a subpar 2023 season at the plate. He posted a .859 OPS and returned to showing plus power. He was in the 86th percentile in hard-hit rate and 87th for exit velocity, according to Baseball Savant. He appeared to slip slightly in center field by most advanced metrics from the best in baseball to just well above average ( 82nd percentile in Outs Above Average, per Baseball Savant). He stole just seven bases as the Twins limit his opportunities due to minimizing injury risk even though he still has top notch speed (97th percentile spring speed). Buxton enters 2025 coming off a rare season where he finished the year healthy and isn't facing any offseason surgeries or rehabilitations. At age 31 could he finally put together the full MVP season that is always so tantalizing? History says temper your expectations for his games played, but his health outlook has rarely been brighter.
Buxton played over 100 games for just the second time in his career as he returned to playing center field after knee problems in 2023 limited him to DH. Buxton still struggled to stay healthy, however, as he spent time on the injured list for right knee inflammation and a right hip injury. Compared to the rest of his career, his injuries were not as debilitating or as long lasting and he was able to play in the field. The Twins also gave him frequent off days. When in the lineup, Buxton bounced back from a subpar 2023 season at the plate. He posted a .859 OPS and returned to showing plus power. He was in the 86th percentile in hard-hit rate and 87th for exit velocity, according to Baseball Savant. He appeared to slip slightly in center field by most advanced metrics from the best in baseball to just well above average ( 82nd percentile in Outs Above Average, per Baseball Savant). He stole just seven bases as the Twins limit his opportunities due to minimizing injury risk even though he still has top notch speed (97th percentile spring speed). Buxton enters 2025 coming off a rare season where he finished the year healthy and isn't facing any offseason surgeries or rehabilitations. At age 31 could he finally put together the full MVP season that is always so tantalizing? History says temper your expectations for his games played, but his health outlook has rarely been brighter.
G
145
AB
581
AVG
.277
HR
11
RBI
52
SB
18
R
86
After clubbing only 11 homers in his first 305 games, Kwan knocked 14 out of the yard last season, most down the line at home. The surge was supported by a higher fly-ball rate and an increased average fly ball distance, but until Kwan displays the same level of pop again, it's best to temper expectations and consider double digits a bonus. His game is still elite contact with a good eye and opportunistic base running. Kwan's exit velocity, hard-hit rate and barrel rate are in single-digit percentiles, but only Luis Arraez has sported a lower strikeout rate since 2022. Kwan was limited to only 122 games last season, missing time early with a hamstring issue, then late with a sore back. Neither are worrisome for this season. Kwan is an ideal ballast for a roster with some high-power, low-average contributors.
After clubbing only 11 homers in his first 305 games, Kwan knocked 14 out of the yard last season, most down the line at home. The surge was supported by a higher fly-ball rate and an increased average fly ball distance, but until Kwan displays the same level of pop again, it's best to temper expectations and consider double digits a bonus. His game is still elite contact with a good eye and opportunistic base running. Kwan's exit velocity, hard-hit rate and barrel rate are in single-digit percentiles, but only Luis Arraez has sported a lower strikeout rate since 2022. Kwan was limited to only 122 games last season, missing time early with a hamstring issue, then late with a sore back. Neither are worrisome for this season. Kwan is an ideal ballast for a roster with some high-power, low-average contributors.
G
129
AB
485
AVG
.231
HR
23
RBI
76
SB
10
R
65
After enjoying a career year in 2023 recording a 126 wRC+, Garcia turned in his worst season, posting a 92 wRC+. He continued to sting the ball with 87th percentile hard-hit rate and 85th percentile barrel rate, but both lagged the previous year's near-elite levels. Garcia fanned at the same clip, but he was less patient, perhaps from pressing. Garcia eclipsed triple digits in runs and RBI in 2023, buoyed by his success and the Rangers scoring the third most runs in the league. Last year, the club dropped to 18th with Garcia registering career lows in runs and RBI. Totaling 25 homers and 11 steals in an off year speaks towards Garcia's floor. Reverting to 2023 is a big ask, but splitting the difference and matching 2022's level is a reasonable expectation, plus the Rangers offense should be more productive.
After enjoying a career year in 2023 recording a 126 wRC+, Garcia turned in his worst season, posting a 92 wRC+. He continued to sting the ball with 87th percentile hard-hit rate and 85th percentile barrel rate, but both lagged the previous year's near-elite levels. Garcia fanned at the same clip, but he was less patient, perhaps from pressing. Garcia eclipsed triple digits in runs and RBI in 2023, buoyed by his success and the Rangers scoring the third most runs in the league. Last year, the club dropped to 18th with Garcia registering career lows in runs and RBI. Totaling 25 homers and 11 steals in an off year speaks towards Garcia's floor. Reverting to 2023 is a big ask, but splitting the difference and matching 2022's level is a reasonable expectation, plus the Rangers offense should be more productive.
G
125
AB
450
AVG
.233
HR
19
RBI
55
SB
25
R
61
Robert took the first step toward shedding the injury-prone label with 145 games played in 2023, but he was limited to 100 contests last season due to a hip flexor strain. He also wasn't nearly as effective while playing through the injury with 14 homers, a .224/.278/.379 slash line and 33.3 percent strikeout rate, though he did record a career-high 23 stolen bases. The down season is likely enough to keep him with the White Sox through the offseason, since the organization won't want to sell low on its best position player. Robert is a strong candidate to rebound in 2025, but there's plenty of risk given the injury history and poor Chicago lineup that surrounds him. A trade at the summer deadline would boost his fantasy value and potential for counting stats, but there's no guarantee he's healthy enough to take advantage of a new situation.
Robert took the first step toward shedding the injury-prone label with 145 games played in 2023, but he was limited to 100 contests last season due to a hip flexor strain. He also wasn't nearly as effective while playing through the injury with 14 homers, a .224/.278/.379 slash line and 33.3 percent strikeout rate, though he did record a career-high 23 stolen bases. The down season is likely enough to keep him with the White Sox through the offseason, since the organization won't want to sell low on its best position player. Robert is a strong candidate to rebound in 2025, but there's plenty of risk given the injury history and poor Chicago lineup that surrounds him. A trade at the summer deadline would boost his fantasy value and potential for counting stats, but there's no guarantee he's healthy enough to take advantage of a new situation.
G
142
AB
503
AVG
.262
HR
16
RBI
61
SB
9
R
79
Anthony is not the consensus No. 1 overall prospect, but his credentials stack up with any prospect in the minors and he should make his big-league debut early this season. He won't turn 21 until May, but Anthony already cuts an imposing figure at 6-foot-2, 200 pounds. After playing 10 games at Double-A to close 2023, Anthony returned there and got off to a slow start, but he seemed to improve with each passing month, culminating with a dominant 35-game run at Triple-A to close the year. All told, Anthony slashed .291/.396/.498 with 18 home runs, 21 steals, an excellent 34.6 hard-hit rate and a passable 23.7 percent strikeout rate in 119 games. His walk rate jumped from 12.8 percent to 18.9 percent after the jump to Triple-A, while his strikeout rate improved from 25.5 percent to 18.9 percent, so his improving contact skill and swing decisions allow for a wide range of outcomes as a rookie. In Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, Wilyer Abreu and Masataka Yoshida, it seems Boston has four players for the three outfield spots and designated hitter, so an offseason trade would be needed for Anthony to have an obvious spot in the Opening Day lineup. Long term, Anthony could profile similarly to the MVP version of Christian Yelich if he reaches his ceiling.
Anthony is not the consensus No. 1 overall prospect, but his credentials stack up with any prospect in the minors and he should make his big-league debut early this season. He won't turn 21 until May, but Anthony already cuts an imposing figure at 6-foot-2, 200 pounds. After playing 10 games at Double-A to close 2023, Anthony returned there and got off to a slow start, but he seemed to improve with each passing month, culminating with a dominant 35-game run at Triple-A to close the year. All told, Anthony slashed .291/.396/.498 with 18 home runs, 21 steals, an excellent 34.6 hard-hit rate and a passable 23.7 percent strikeout rate in 119 games. His walk rate jumped from 12.8 percent to 18.9 percent after the jump to Triple-A, while his strikeout rate improved from 25.5 percent to 18.9 percent, so his improving contact skill and swing decisions allow for a wide range of outcomes as a rookie. In Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, Wilyer Abreu and Masataka Yoshida, it seems Boston has four players for the three outfield spots and designated hitter, so an offseason trade would be needed for Anthony to have an obvious spot in the Opening Day lineup. Long term, Anthony could profile similarly to the MVP version of Christian Yelich if he reaches his ceiling.
G
138
AB
436
AVG
.257
HR
22
RBI
67
SB
4
R
61
Carpenter was affected by injury in 2024 for the second year in a row, this time missing almost three months of action with a lumbar spine stress fracture. He had collected a .914 OPS before getting hurt and didn't miss a beat after returning, putting up a .954 OPS and 10 home runs over his final 133 plate appearances before adding another homer in the playoffs. Carpenter again stood out for his quality of contact, boasting a 46.4 percent hard-hit rate and 17.7 percent barrel rate. The 27-year-old's big bugaboo is that he can't hit left-handed pitching (.408 OPS in 2024) and rarely gets the opportunity to do so. It certainly limits how much volume he's able to provide, and that's even before factoring in Carpenter's increasing injury concerns. That said, Carpenter's 149 wRC+ versus righties since the start of 2023 is the 11th highest in baseball among players with at least 500 plate appearances. When he's in the lineup, he's going to mash.
Carpenter was affected by injury in 2024 for the second year in a row, this time missing almost three months of action with a lumbar spine stress fracture. He had collected a .914 OPS before getting hurt and didn't miss a beat after returning, putting up a .954 OPS and 10 home runs over his final 133 plate appearances before adding another homer in the playoffs. Carpenter again stood out for his quality of contact, boasting a 46.4 percent hard-hit rate and 17.7 percent barrel rate. The 27-year-old's big bugaboo is that he can't hit left-handed pitching (.408 OPS in 2024) and rarely gets the opportunity to do so. It certainly limits how much volume he's able to provide, and that's even before factoring in Carpenter's increasing injury concerns. That said, Carpenter's 149 wRC+ versus righties since the start of 2023 is the 11th highest in baseball among players with at least 500 plate appearances. When he's in the lineup, he's going to mash.
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